Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

LG Chem Ltd. is a chemical manufacturer. The Company's products include petrochemicals, plastic resins, and engineering plastics. LG Chem also produces industrial and electronic materials.

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss a pair trade between LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS) (common) and LG Chem (051915 KS) (preferred). </li>
<li>The price ratio (LG Chem common/preferred) is now at 2.16x, which is more than 2 STD (standard deviations). Our trading strategy involves revert to the mean. </li>
<li>One of the key reasons why LG Chem (preferred)'s share price has fared much worse YTD than LG Chem (common) is due to much larger selling by the foreign investors. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss a pair trade between LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS) (common) and LG Chem (051915 KS) (preferred). 
The price ratio (LG Chem common/preferred) is now at 2.16x, which is more than 2 STD (standard deviations). Our trading strategy involves revert to the mean. 
One of the key reasons why LG Chem (preferred)'s share price has fared much worse YTD than LG Chem (common) is due to much larger selling by the foreign investors. 


A Pair Trade Between LG Chem (Common) And LG Chem (Preferred)

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

CK Hutchison Holdings Limited holds all of the non-property businesses of the Cheung Kong Group and the Hutchison Group, including ports and related services, telecommunications, retail, infrastructure, energy, and movable assets leasing operations.

<ul>
<li>As part of a US$22.8bn transaction, BlackRock, Global Infrastructure Partners and Terminal Investment, have <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0304/2025030402128.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">agreed to buy</a> two contentious Panama ports from Li Ka-shing's <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-hutchison-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:132:1" rel="noopener">CK Hutchison (1 HK)</a> (CKH).</li>
<li>The transaction also includes an 80% stake in CKH's ports subsidiaries, which operate 43 ports comprising 199 berths in 23 countries.</li>
<li>CKH expects cash proceeds in excess of US$19bn. CKH's current market cap was - at the time of deal - also  ~US$19bn. </li>
</ul>


As part of a US$22.8bn transaction, BlackRock, Global Infrastructure Partners and Terminal Investment, have agreed to buy two contentious Panama ports from Li Ka-shing's CK Hutchison (1 HK) (CKH).
The transaction also includes an 80% stake in CKH's ports subsidiaries, which operate 43 ports comprising 199 berths in 23 countries.
CKH expects cash proceeds in excess of US$19bn. CKH's current market cap was - at the time of deal - also  ~US$19bn. 


Li Ka-Ching! Cheung Kong (1 HK) Offloads Panama Ports To Blackrock

REA Group Limited provides online property listings, web development and internet related technology services to the real estate industry along with providing advertising services to Australian companies.  The Company also offers online real estate search services to the Australian public.

<ul>
<li>A double dose of StubWorld this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rea-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:699:1" rel="noopener">REA Group Ltd (REA AU)</a>'s rolls over as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costar-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16907:1" rel="noopener">CoStar Group (CSGP US)</a> bets big on key rival <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/domain-holdings-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26033:1" rel="noopener">Domain Holdings Australia (DHG AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on REA and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/news-corp-class-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5543:1" rel="noopener">News Corp (NWSA US)</a> are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>


A double dose of StubWorld this week: REA Group Ltd (REA AU)'s rolls over as CoStar Group (CSGP US) bets big on key rival Domain Holdings Australia (DHG AU).
Preceding my comments on REA and News Corp (NWSA US) are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: REA Group Dives As CoStar Muscles Into Turf

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Communications Construction / Equity Bottom-Up

China Communications Construction Company Ltd. is a transportation infrastructure group.  The Company is involved in infrastructure construction, infrastructure design, dredging, and port machinery manufacturing.  China Communications has operations worldwide.

China Communications Construction (1800 HK)

<ul>
<li>Long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-communications-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:265:1" rel="noopener">China Communications Construction (1800 HK)</a>, short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-group-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:264:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Group Ltd H (390 HK)</a> is a good strategy to capitalise on the recent underperformance of CCCC.</li>
<li>CCCC has a stronger contract momentum than CRG - its FY24 new contracts were up 7.3%, but CRG was down 12.4%. CCCC is also better positioned for urban construction growth.</li>
<li>In terms of dividend yield, CCCC is higher at 6.8% for FY25, yet CRG is only 6.3%. CCCC's performance should pick up in the rest of 2025.</li>
</ul>


Long China Communications Construction (1800 HK), short China Railway Group Ltd H (390 HK) is a good strategy to capitalise on the recent underperformance of CCCC.
CCCC has a stronger contract momentum than CRG - its FY24 new contracts were up 7.3%, but CRG was down 12.4%. CCCC is also better positioned for urban construction growth.
In terms of dividend yield, CCCC is higher at 6.8% for FY25, yet CRG is only 6.3%. CCCC's performance should pick up in the rest of 2025.


China Pair Trade: Long China Comm Const (1800 HK), Short China Railway Group (390 HK)

Get Nice Financial Group Ltd / Event-Driven

Get Nice Financial Group Limited is an investment holding company. The Company provides services including securities, futures, and options broking, securities margin financing, and corporate finance services.

<ul>
<li>Back on the 5th November, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16415:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice Holdings (64 HK)</a> (GNH) announced a scrip Offer, by way of a Scheme, for 72.99%-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29667:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK)</a> (GNF).</li>
<li>The (then) HK$1.116/share implied scrip price &amp; divvy compared to a book value of HK1.736/share. and net cash of ~HK$1.00/share. At the 22nd January EGM, GNH shareholders <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0122/2025012200343.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">backed the Offer</a>.</li>
<li>The Scheme Doc is now <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0210/2025021000033.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">out</a>, with a Court Meeting on the 7th March,  with new GNH shares trading on the 7th April. The IFA (Veda Capital) botched its peer analysis.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 5th November, Get Nice Holdings (64 HK) (GNH) announced a scrip Offer, by way of a Scheme, for 72.99%-held Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK) (GNF).
The (then) HK$1.116/share implied scrip price &amp; divvy compared to a book value of HK1.736/share. and net cash of ~HK$1.00/share. At the 22nd January EGM, GNH shareholders backed the Offer.
The Scheme Doc is now out, with a Court Meeting on the 7th March,  with new GNH shares trading on the 7th April. The IFA (Veda Capital) botched its peer analysis.


Get Nice Financial (1469 HK)'s Scheme Vote On The 7th March

Research on Long and Short Asian Largecap Ideas

Long and Short Ideas on Asian Largecaps
Research on Long and Short Asian Largecap Ideas

Jardine Matheson (JM SP): Squeezing More Life Out Of The NAV

I've bolted on US$0.5bn to NAV. That adjustment doesn't move the needle. Look to set up the stub: Long JMH, short DFI, HKL, MO & JC&C on a...

David Blennerhassett

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: August'24 Report

Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos did not follow a clear trend during August. What seems interesting (unchanged views): Porsche SE vs. listed...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Li Ning (2331 HK) - We See Long-Term Value but Short-Term Risks

Maintain BUY but trim our TP to HK$ 16.18, based on 12x FY24E P/E (cut from 15x, to factor in the industry de-rating). It is trading at 10x FY24E P/E.

CMB International

Long 6920 Lasertec Corp | Short 6525 Kokusai Electric

Long Lasertech after a good set of numbers, Scorpion Capital concerns debunked; Short 6525 Kokusai Electric over continuing concerns over the US...

Andrew Jackson

Long 7747 Asahi Intec | Short 7733 Olympus

Asahi Intec announces strong FY06/25 guidance, potential for short squeeze and upside; Olympus losing momentum with declining domestic sales.

Andrew Jackson

Jardine Matheson (JM SP): Squeezing More Life Out Of The NAV

I've bolted on US$0.5bn to NAV. That adjustment doesn't move the needle. Look to set up the stub: Long JMH, short DFI, HKL, MO & JC&C on a...

David Blennerhassett

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: August'24 Report

Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos did not follow a clear trend during August. What seems interesting (unchanged views): Porsche SE vs. listed...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Li Ning (2331 HK) - We See Long-Term Value but Short-Term Risks

Maintain BUY but trim our TP to HK$ 16.18, based on 12x FY24E P/E (cut from 15x, to factor in the industry de-rating). It is trading at 10x FY24E P/E.

CMB International

Long 6920 Lasertec Corp | Short 6525 Kokusai Electric

Long Lasertech after a good set of numbers, Scorpion Capital concerns debunked; Short 6525 Kokusai Electric over continuing concerns over the US...

Andrew Jackson

Long 7747 Asahi Intec | Short 7733 Olympus

​Asahi Intec announces strong FY06/25 guidance, potential for short squeeze and upside; Olympus losing momentum with declining domestic sales.

Andrew Jackson

Asahi Intec announces strong FY06/25 guidance, potential for short squeeze and upside; Olympus losing momentum with declining domestic sales.