Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

Hyundai Glovis Co., Ltd. provides domestic and international logistic services. The Company's services include domestic transportation, storage, packaging, vehicle logistic, and logistic consulting.  GLOVIS also runs automobile auction market for used vehicle.

<ul>
<li>Finding a trading entry point during a stock dividend event is tough, but locally, stock prices often rise post-ex-rights date and stabilize after listing, over 70% of the time.</li>
<li>There’s speculation that local flow trading, mainly driven by local prop traders, might target this pattern in Glovis’s stock dividend as well.</li>
<li>While I wouldn’t recommend banking on this probabilistic trading setup, it's important to be aware that this could significantly impact stock movements from the ex-rights date to the listing date.</li>
</ul>


Finding a trading entry point during a stock dividend event is tough, but locally, stock prices often rise post-ex-rights date and stabilize after listing, over 70% of the time.
There’s speculation that local flow trading, mainly driven by local prop traders, might target this pattern in Glovis’s stock dividend as well.
While I wouldn’t recommend banking on this probabilistic trading setup, it's important to be aware that this could significantly impact stock movements from the ex-rights date to the listing date.


Potential Recurrence of Local Flow Trade Patterns in Hyundai Glovis's Stock Dividend Event

SK Networks Co., Ltd. is a general trading company.  The Company trades general merchandise, such as steel, oil, timber, petrochemical, household appliances, clothing, textile products, and information technology equipment.  SK Networks provides insurance and financial services through subsidiaries.

<ul>
<li>SK Square's market cap exceeds SK Networks' by over 10 times, qualifying this merger as small-scale. Thus, only SK Networks needs shareholder approval and grants appraisal rights solely to shareholders.</li>
<li>The current arbitrage spread for SK Networks' appraisal rights is 1.95%, and for the swap, it's 4.16%. These are nominal values excluding trading costs and taxes.</li>
<li>Today's SK Square and SK Networks prices reflect arbitrage spreads. Yesterday's 8% spread widened, focusing on narrowing appraisal rights and swap spreads, essential before next week's announcement.</li>
</ul>


SK Square's market cap exceeds SK Networks' by over 10 times, qualifying this merger as small-scale. Thus, only SK Networks needs shareholder approval and grants appraisal rights solely to shareholders.
The current arbitrage spread for SK Networks' appraisal rights is 1.95%, and for the swap, it's 4.16%. These are nominal values excluding trading costs and taxes.
Today's SK Square and SK Networks prices reflect arbitrage spreads. Yesterday's 8% spread widened, focusing on narrowing appraisal rights and swap spreads, essential before next week's announcement.


SK Square + SK Networks Merger Swap: A Guide to Pre-Merger Arb Spread Calculations

ILOODA Co., Ltd. is engaged in the manufacturing and development of medical devices. It develops and produces laser system for skin, beauty, plastic surgery and dental areas. The company was founded on November 1, 2006 and is headquartered in Suwon-si, South Korea.

<ul>
<li>The spread is appealing, and Classys' shorting instrument's liquidity issue shouldn't be critical with a manageable position size. The concern is shareholder approval and the stock purchase cost under ₩30B.</li>
<li>Despite cancellation risks, there are reasons to stay interested. Bain Capital aims to merge with Ilooda to boost Classys' valuation, suggesting the merger may proceed even if ₩30B is exceeded.</li>
<li>The deadline for dissenting votes and appraisal rights at Ilooda's meeting is July 8th, ex-rights date July 9th. Shareholders' meeting: August 13th; rights exercise: August 13th to September 2nd.</li>
</ul>


The spread is appealing, and Classys' shorting instrument's liquidity issue shouldn't be critical with a manageable position size. The concern is shareholder approval and the stock purchase cost under ₩30B.
Despite cancellation risks, there are reasons to stay interested. Bain Capital aims to merge with Ilooda to boost Classys' valuation, suggesting the merger may proceed even if ₩30B is exceeded.
The deadline for dissenting votes and appraisal rights at Ilooda's meeting is July 8th, ex-rights date July 9th. Shareholders' meeting: August 13th; rights exercise: August 13th to September 2nd.


Arb Spread Has Opened Today in Classys & Ilooda Merger Swap: Checking Trade Feasibility

Equity Capital Markets

LG Electronics Inc. manufactures and markets digital display equipment and home appliances. The Company produces and markets flat panel televisions, A/V products, washing machines, air conditioners and refrigerators as well as telecommunications equipment such as smart phones and tablets.

<ul>
<li>LG Electronics’ Indian subsidiary, fully owned, saw 2023 sales grow 17% to ₩3.3T and net profit rise 14% to ₩231.3B, driven by strong appliance demand.</li>
<li>LG Electronics aims for a ₩5T-₩6T valuation, planning to sell 15-20% of their Indian subsidiary to raise at least $500M.</li>
<li>LG Electronics plans to invest the $500M raised into their EV components business, moving quickly with the IPO due to urgent funding needs in the downturn-hit sector.</li>
</ul>


LG Electronics’ Indian subsidiary, fully owned, saw 2023 sales grow 17% to ₩3.3T and net profit rise 14% to ₩231.3B, driven by strong appliance demand.
LG Electronics aims for a ₩5T-₩6T valuation, planning to sell 15-20% of their Indian subsidiary to raise at least $500M.
LG Electronics plans to invest the $500M raised into their EV components business, moving quickly with the IPO due to urgent funding needs in the downturn-hit sector.


LG Electronics' Indian Subsidiary Is Gearing up for an IPO on the Indian Stock Market

Lotte Non Life Insurance Co / Event-Driven

Lotte Non-Life Insurance Company Ltd. provides a variety of non-life insurance services, such as auto, fire, marine, long-term casualty and property, pension, and retirement insurance products. The Company also operates a foreign reinsurance business.

<ul>
<li>There is a high likelihood of information leaking through the lead securities firm when the tender offer prospectus is provided to branches about three days before the disclosure.</li>
<li>With the FSS's stricter stance, tender offer candidates may act swiftly before new regulations, prompting attention to potential surges in tender offers.</li>
<li>Our approach is clear: identify short-term tender offer candidates, monitor trading volumes for spikes, and use the three-day pre-disclosure surge to time our positions effectively.</li>
</ul>


There is a high likelihood of information leaking through the lead securities firm when the tender offer prospectus is provided to branches about three days before the disclosure.
With the FSS's stricter stance, tender offer candidates may act swiftly before new regulations, prompting attention to potential surges in tender offers.
Our approach is clear: identify short-term tender offer candidates, monitor trading volumes for spikes, and use the three-day pre-disclosure surge to time our positions effectively.


Chronic Insider Trading in the Korean Tender Offer Market & Time Positions for Short-Term Targets

I investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Sanghyun Park
Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing
• Clepsydra Capital

Potential Recurrence of Local Flow Trade Patterns in Hyundai Glovis's Stock Dividend Event

This post analyzes the potential recurrence of local flow trade patterns, mainly driven by local proprietary traders, in Hyundai Glovis's 100%...

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SK Square + SK Networks Merger Swap: A Guide to Pre-Merger Arb Spread Calculations

This post is a guide to pre-merger arb trading setups for merger swap events in the Korean local market, considering this potential merger...

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Arb Spread Has Opened Today in Classys & Ilooda Merger Swap: Checking Trade Feasibility

The Classys & Ilooda merger swap spread has opened at a significant level today. This post examines the feasibility of arbitrage trades.

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LG Electronics' Indian Subsidiary Is Gearing up for an IPO on the Indian Stock Market

This post shares the latest updates circulating in the local market regarding the listing of LG Electronics' Indian subsidiary on the Indian stock...

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Chronic Insider Trading in the Korean Tender Offer Market & Time Positions for Short-Term Targets

This post examines the persistent issue of insider trading in the Korean tender offer market and discusses how we should time positions for short...

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