Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Equity Capital Markets

LG Energy Solution / Equity Capital Markets

LG Energy Solution produces and sells batteries. The Company manufactures and sells automobile batteries, small batteries, energy storage system batteries, and other products. LG Energy Solution markets its products worldwide.

<ul>
<li>The local market’s buzzing that LG Chem could face a 200-300 billion KRW tax hit from Pillar Two next year, with LGES ramping up U.S. production.</li>
<li>LG Chem may be reconsidering its plan to sell 2% of its LGES stake, dropping ownership below 80%, shifting the tax burden to LGES instead of itself.</li>
<li>Flagging this now—LG Chem’s tax burden looms. Consider shorting LGES or a long-short with LG Chem, plus prep for the 2T KRW block deal with the pre-disclosure process.</li>
</ul>


The local market’s buzzing that LG Chem could face a 200-300 billion KRW tax hit from Pillar Two next year, with LGES ramping up U.S. production.
LG Chem may be reconsidering its plan to sell 2% of its LGES stake, dropping ownership below 80%, shifting the tax burden to LGES instead of itself.
Flagging this now—LG Chem’s tax burden looms. Consider shorting LGES or a long-short with LG Chem, plus prep for the 2T KRW block deal with the pre-disclosure process.


LG Chem's Tax Alarm: Pillar Two Tax Could Soar Next Year + LGES Block Deal on the Horizon

Event-Driven

Shinsung Delta Tech Co., Ltd. manufactures electronic components. The company's product includes control panel, top cover, drum tub, and blower for washing machine and air conditioner.  The Company also produces automobile part and light guide panel for Thin Film Transistor-Liquid Crystal Display (TFT-LCD).

<ul>
<li>KOSPI 200 &amp; KOSDAQ 150 Dec reshuffle looks set—official lineup drops post-close today.</li>
<li>Passive flows for KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 are estimated at 40T KRW and 3.5T KRW, based on typical flow sizes until the effective date.</li>
<li>These predictions combine my sim results with reliable local intel. The accuracy’s solid enough to start pulling the trigger on trades.</li>
</ul>


KOSPI 200 &amp; KOSDAQ 150 Dec reshuffle looks set—official lineup drops post-close today.
Passive flows for KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 are estimated at 40T KRW and 3.5T KRW, based on typical flow sizes until the effective date.
These predictions combine my sim results with reliable local intel. The accuracy’s solid enough to start pulling the trigger on trades.


KOSPI 200 & KOSDAQ 150 December Rejig Lineup

KT&G Corporation processes, produces, and sells cigarettes and other tobacco products.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, manufactures ginseng products such as red ginseng tea and herbal medicines.  KT&G is also involved in real estate development of its former factory sites.

<ul>
<li>The larger-than-expected Value-Up fund will drive passive flows surpassing the KRX 300 in both size and speed.</li>
<li>Value-Up ETFs' AUM is ₩636.5B, with retail dominating. Major institutions, like pensions, are on standby, but passive flows could hit ₩1.5T post-Dec 20 rebalancing.</li>
<li>Single-Stock setups may not fit, but for alpha-seeking Value-Up strategies, focus on names with higher passive impact from the boosted AUM.</li>
</ul>


The larger-than-expected Value-Up fund will drive passive flows surpassing the KRX 300 in both size and speed.
Value-Up ETFs' AUM is ₩636.5B, with retail dominating. Major institutions, like pensions, are on standby, but passive flows could hit ₩1.5T post-Dec 20 rebalancing.
Single-Stock setups may not fit, but for alpha-seeking Value-Up strategies, focus on names with higher passive impact from the boosted AUM.


₩200B Gov-Run Value-Up Fund Starts Buying Tomorrow, with Another ₩300B Set for Year-End

JB Financial Group Co. Ltd., a holding company, provides a full range of consumer and commercial banking-related financial services.

<ul>
<li>Since Sep 24, 32 companies made Value-Up disclosures. After filtering, 17 remain, but KRX will keep inclusions tight. They’ll likely use PBR and ROE rankings for final selection.</li>
<li>We have 6 names—3 financials, 2 healthcare, 1 industrial. New Value-Up disclosures through Dec 6 could add more, but these 6 are the frontrunners for now.</li>
<li>KRX is likely to announce results by Dec 10-11. Start eyeing entry points 10 days prior, and if price action heats up early, consider pulling the trigger sooner.</li>
</ul>


Since Sep 24, 32 companies made Value-Up disclosures. After filtering, 17 remain, but KRX will keep inclusions tight. They’ll likely use PBR and ROE rankings for final selection.
We have 6 names—3 financials, 2 healthcare, 1 industrial. New Value-Up disclosures through Dec 6 could add more, but these 6 are the frontrunners for now.
KRX is likely to announce results by Dec 10-11. Start eyeing entry points 10 days prior, and if price action heats up early, consider pulling the trigger sooner.


KRX Value-Up Special Rebalance in December: Playbook & Screening Rundown

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

<ul>
<li>The market's reaction to Samsung Fire's stake sale seems overhyped. Given past share sales, Life may outperform Fire as this momentum unfolds.</li>
<li>I don’t see SDS merging with Samsung Electronics. It lacks synergy and could stir up PR issues. If Sammy’s stock stalls, Lee Jae-yong might sell more of his SDS stake.</li>
<li>I’m still bullish on Sammy prefs. If the tax reform passes, a special dividend, not a buyback, will be the cleanest way for Samsung to address inheritance tax.</li>
</ul>


The market's reaction to Samsung Fire's stake sale seems overhyped. Given past share sales, Life may outperform Fire as this momentum unfolds.
I don’t see SDS merging with Samsung Electronics. It lacks synergy and could stir up PR issues. If Sammy’s stock stalls, Lee Jae-yong might sell more of his SDS stake.
I’m still bullish on Sammy prefs. If the tax reform passes, a special dividend, not a buyback, will be the cleanest way for Samsung to address inheritance tax.


My Take on the Three Scenarios that Sammy Buyback Stirred up in the Market Today

I investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Sanghyun Park
Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing
• Clepsydra Capital

LG Chem's Tax Alarm: Pillar Two Tax Could Soar Next Year + LGES Block Deal on the Horizon

LG Chem's tax situation is on the radar: Pillar Two tax hit could explode next year, and a LGES stake block deal appears to be coming down the...

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI 200 & KOSDAQ 150 December Rejig Lineup

This post provides KOSPI 200 & KOSDAQ 150 December rebalance lineup. These insights are based on my own simulations and solid local intel. The...

Sanghyun Park

₩200B Gov-Run Value-Up Fund Starts Buying Tomorrow, with Another ₩300B Set for Year-End

The ₩200B gov-backed fund for the KRX Value-Up Index kicks off buying tomorrow, with another ₩300B in the pipeline to wrap up by year-end.

Sanghyun Park

KRX Value-Up Special Rebalance in December: Playbook & Screening Rundown

This post breaks down KRX’s official PR on the December Value-Up Index special rebalance and gives a detailed look at the screening results.

Sanghyun Park

My Take on the Three Scenarios that Sammy Buyback Stirred up in the Market Today

This post contains my personal view on the three scenarios triggered by Samsung Electronics' buyback that shook the market today.

Sanghyun Park