Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. is a holding company which was established through the merger of Ito-Yokado Co., Seven Eleven Japan Co., and Denny's Japan. The Company plans, manages, and operates mainly convenience stores, supermarkets, and department stores.

<ul>
<li>On 10 March, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a> released a statement about its interactions with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alimentation-couche-tard-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25103:1" rel="noopener">Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN)</a>. The next day, ATD released its own. They didn't match. </li>
<li>The 7&amp;i spokesperson admitted one technical point, but investors seemed to believe ATD over 7&amp;i. On 13 March, ATD held a <a href="https://corporate.couche-tard.com/events-presentations?item=22" target="_blank" rel="noopener">presentation</a> in Tokyo. Materials? Unchanged. Earnings comments? Unchanged.</li>
<li>This morning, 7&amp;i released a document which "corrects the record regarding critical false and misleading claims about 7&amp;i’s engagement with Alimentation Couche-Tard (ACT)." OUCH. The stock fell.</li>
</ul>


On 10 March, Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP) released a statement about its interactions with Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN). The next day, ATD released its own. They didn't match. 
The 7&amp;i spokesperson admitted one technical point, but investors seemed to believe ATD over 7&amp;i. On 13 March, ATD held a presentation in Tokyo. Materials? Unchanged. Earnings comments? Unchanged.
This morning, 7&amp;i released a document which "corrects the record regarding critical false and misleading claims about 7&amp;i’s engagement with Alimentation Couche-Tard (ACT)." OUCH. The stock fell.


7&I (3382) - Clarifications of Clarifications But Progress Is Apparent

FUJI SOFT INCORPORATED is an independent software developer, specializing in communications and machine control software, business application software for bank and insurance companies, and operating system software.  Fuji Soft also installs, manages, and maintains computer systems.  The Company develops and sells word processing packaged software and also provides internet service.

<ul>
<li>KKR's Second Tender Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-soft-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17504:1" rel="noopener">Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP)</a> ended 19 February 2025 and KKR got a whopping 57.9% after Bain bowed out. It was close.</li>
<li>The Nozawa founder said it would not tender. Others family members may have, but now KKR has signed a deal with Nozawa family company YK NFC, to support the squeezeout.</li>
<li>Assuming, Nozawa Hiroshi's stake and the NFC stake remain unchanged, that cements the result of the 25 April AGM. But there may be games to play.</li>
</ul>


KKR's Second Tender Offer for Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP) ended 19 February 2025 and KKR got a whopping 57.9% after Bain bowed out. It was close.
The Nozawa founder said it would not tender. Others family members may have, but now KKR has signed a deal with Nozawa family company YK NFC, to support the squeezeout.
Assuming, Nozawa Hiroshi's stake and the NFC stake remain unchanged, that cements the result of the 25 April AGM. But there may be games to play.


Fuji Soft (9749 JP) - KKR Does Deal With the Family To Squeeze Out Minorities - You Can Join Too

TSURUHA HOLDINGS INC. is a holding company which manages subsidiaries that operate drug stores in Hokkaido and the Tohoku area.  The Company's product line includes drugs, cosmetics, and household utensils.

<ul>
<li>Tsuruha and Welcia are on the road to a merger, where Tsuruha takes over Welcia but Aeon ends up owning "more than 50% but less than 51%" of Tsuruha.</li>
<li>The Price Ratio is now 4.24x. Trailing EPS ratios is &gt;5. Forward EPS ratios are further above 5. BVPS ratio? Near 5. Welcia grows storecount. Tsuruha makes more money/store.</li>
<li>Tsuruha changed its FY-end to match that of Welcia/Aeon so both will report earnings/guidance in just over 3 weeks. That will likely influence the ratio.</li>
</ul>


Tsuruha and Welcia are on the road to a merger, where Tsuruha takes over Welcia but Aeon ends up owning "more than 50% but less than 51%" of Tsuruha.
The Price Ratio is now 4.24x. Trailing EPS ratios is &gt;5. Forward EPS ratios are further above 5. BVPS ratio? Near 5. Welcia grows storecount. Tsuruha makes more money/store.
Tsuruha changed its FY-end to match that of Welcia/Aeon so both will report earnings/guidance in just over 3 weeks. That will likely influence the ratio.


Tsuruha (3391) - Welcia (3141) - Tsuruha Earnings In a Week - Still Good To Be Long The Ratio

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Index Rebalance

Ocean Wilsons Holdings Ltd. is an investment holding company.  The Group's operations include towage, lighterage contracting, stevedoring, ship building and repairing, tug and launch services, warehousing and agricultural merchanting.  The Group has operations in Bermuda and Brazil.

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the June 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see up to five M&amp;A-related intra-review changes for the F250 index in the run up to the June 2025 review. Many could be very high impact.</li>
<li>Separately, there could be one regular index change for the F250 index in June 2025. At present, we do not see any changes for the F100 index.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the June 2025 index rebal event.
We see up to five M&amp;A-related intra-review changes for the F250 index in the run up to the June 2025 review. Many could be very high impact.
Separately, there could be one regular index change for the F250 index in June 2025. At present, we do not see any changes for the F100 index.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Jun25: Multiple High-Impact Intra-Review Index Additions Likely

David Blennerhassett

Gold Road Resources Limited operates as a mineral exploration and production company. The Company focuses on its Yamarna Gold Project located east of Laverton, Western Australia.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold-road-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6698:1" rel="noopener">Gold Road Resources (GOR AU)</a> has <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20250324/pdf/06gyn9td9070tr.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">rejected</a> an unsolicited offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold-fields-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25109:1" rel="noopener">Gold Fields Ltd (GFI SJ)</a>, </li>
<li>In a bid to secure control over the Gruyere JV mine in WA, Gold Roads offered A$2.27/share, "plus ... Gold Road’s interest in .. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/de-grey-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6192:1" rel="noopener">De Grey Mining (DEG AU)</a>."</li>
<li>To spice things up Gold Road countered with a proposal to acquire Gold Fields’ interest in Gruyere, which was also rejected by Gold Fields.</li>
</ul>



Gold Road Resources (GOR AU) has rejected an unsolicited offer from Gold Fields Ltd (GFI SJ), 
In a bid to secure control over the Gruyere JV mine in WA, Gold Roads offered A$2.27/share, "plus ... Gold Road’s interest in .. De Grey Mining (DEG AU)."
To spice things up Gold Road countered with a proposal to acquire Gold Fields’ interest in Gruyere, which was also rejected by Gold Fields.


More Gold Fever: Gold Field's Hostile Tilt For Gold Road

Quiddity Advisors
Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

7&I (3382) - Clarifications of Clarifications But Progress Is Apparent

Seven & i put out a Letter contesting Myths, responding with Facts. It appeared to address shareholder complaints and the fact that 7&i believes...

Travis Lundy

Fuji Soft (9749 JP) - KKR Does Deal With the Family To Squeeze Out Minorities - You Can Join Too

Post-close, KKR announced a deal with YK NFC - the Nozawa family company - to vote for the deal. With the options owned, that gets KKR the deal....

Travis Lundy

Tsuruha (3391) - Welcia (3141) - Tsuruha Earnings In a Week - Still Good To Be Long The Ratio

The Tsuruha/Welcia trade is a good-looking "guess the ratio" trade because Tsuruha wins on PBR, PER, forward PER, etc. The price ratio should be...

Travis Lundy

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Jun25: Multiple High-Impact Intra-Review Index Additions Likely

Most of the intra-review replacement candidates have well in excess of 10x ADV to buy if they get added to the F250 index. Some of these names...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

More Gold Fever: Gold Field's Hostile Tilt For Gold Road

Gold Road had a solid pop on the bell. Gold Fields has the clout to go higher. This is probably going higher. Gold Road needs to set the record...

David Blennerhassett