Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Yangtze Optical Fibre And H / Event-Driven

Yangtze Optical Fibre & Cable Joint Stock Limited Company manufactures fiber and cable products. The Company researches, designs, develops, produces, processes, and sells communication fibers, communication cables, specialty fibers, and fiber optics related products. Yangtze Optical Fibre & Cable markets its products domestically and internationally.

<ul>
<li>Hs within the liquid AH pair universe UNDER-performed As on average by 0.87%. Beautiful Skew behaved BADLY. Spreads were a bit all over the place.</li>
<li>Quiddity H/A Portfolio performance slightly positive (+11-13bp). Low H/A "beta" helps. Stay the Beautiful Skew course.</li>
<li>The data tables below update daily in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Southbound Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there - free for all SK readers.</li>
</ul>


Hs within the liquid AH pair universe UNDER-performed As on average by 0.87%. Beautiful Skew behaved BADLY. Spreads were a bit all over the place.
Quiddity H/A Portfolio performance slightly positive (+11-13bp). Low H/A "beta" helps. Stay the Beautiful Skew course.
The data tables below update daily in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The Southbound Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there - free for all SK readers.


A/H Premium Tracker (Wk to 19 Dec 2025):  Hs Underperform Again, Beautiful Skew Behaving Badly

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

<ul>
<li>HK$82bn+/Day of gross SOUTHBOUND activity last week vs HK$90+bn the week before. Gross flows are winding down. Net rebounded to +HK$16bn.</li>
<li>Relatively high div low vol SOEs were net sold. Again. This is getting heavy. It matters because some have less international buying support (they are Trump military names).</li>
<li>The data tables below update daily in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Southbound Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there - free - for all SK readers.</li>
</ul>


HK$82bn+/Day of gross SOUTHBOUND activity last week vs HK$90+bn the week before. Gross flows are winding down. Net rebounded to +HK$16bn.
Relatively high div low vol SOEs were net sold. Again. This is getting heavy. It matters because some have less international buying support (they are Trump military names).
The data tables below update daily in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The Southbound Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there - free - for all SK readers.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (Wk To 19 Dec 2025) - Lower Activity, Net Buying, but High-Div SOEs Sold

David Blennerhassett

ANE (Cayman) Inc. operates as an integrated logistics company. The Company provides sorting, line-haul transportation, pickup and dispatch services, and other services. ANE (Cayman) offers services in China.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ane-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35025:1" rel="noopener">ANE Cayman (9956 HK)</a>'s Scheme Doc is out, absent any reference to CDH (holding an estimated 18%). Given precedents with similar fact patterns, this is probably one deal to avoid.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hogy-medical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10493:1" rel="noopener">Hogy Medical (3593 JP)</a>'s Offer Price is more than expected; but the fact that Dalton , who really wanted to sell, but isn't selling, suggests the price should be higher.</li>
<li>8th January vote on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hsbc-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:516:1" rel="noopener">HSBC (5 HK)</a>'s Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Bank (11 HK)</a>.  Safe deal. This is effectively a term deposit hybrid.</li>
</ul>



ANE Cayman (9956 HK)'s Scheme Doc is out, absent any reference to CDH (holding an estimated 18%). Given precedents with similar fact patterns, this is probably one deal to avoid.

Hogy Medical (3593 JP)'s Offer Price is more than expected; but the fact that Dalton , who really wanted to sell, but isn't selling, suggests the price should be higher.
8th January vote on HSBC (5 HK)'s Offer for Hang Seng Bank (11 HK).  Safe deal. This is effectively a term deposit hybrid.


Last Week In Event SPACE: ANE Cayman. Hogy Medical, Hang Seng, Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent

MANDOM CORPORATION manufactures and markets a variety of cosmetic products for men and women.  The Company's products include hair care and skin care cosmetics.

<ul>
<li>I tally xx - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.</li>
<li>Four new (ish) deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/360-capital-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11865:1" rel="noopener">360 Capital (TGP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/humm-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35366:1" rel="noopener">Humm Group (HUM AU)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hogy-medical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10493:1" rel="noopener">Hogy Medical (3593 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medical-data-vision-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8367:1" rel="noopener">Medical Data Vision (3902 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/predictive-discovery-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15374:1" rel="noopener">Predictive Discovery (PDI AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renew-energy-global-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37038:1" rel="noopener">ReNew Energy Global (RNW US)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mandom-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8353:1" rel="noopener">Mandom Corp (4917 JP)</a> </li>
</ul>


I tally xx - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.
Four new (ish) deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: 360 Capital (TGP AU), Humm Group (HUM AU) , Hogy Medical (3593 JP), and Medical Data Vision (3902 JP).
Key updates/news also took place on: Predictive Discovery (PDI AU), ReNew Energy Global (RNW US), and Mandom Corp (4917 JP) 


Asia-Pac M&A Weekly Wrap: Mandom Humm, Medical Data Vision, Predictive Disc., ReNew Energy Global

Leoch International Technology / Event-Driven

Leoch International Technology Limited is a lead-acid battery manufacturer, developer, and exporter. Their products are used in: telecommunications systems, uninterruptible power supplies (UPS), automotives, renewable energy storage systems, and other consumer and industrial products.

<ul>
<li>Back in February 2025, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/leoch-international-technology-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7957:1" rel="noopener">Leoch International Technology (842 HK)</a> ("LIT"), a leading manufacturer of lead-acid batteries, announced the spin-off and separate listing of wholly-owned Leoch Energy on a US exchange.</li>
<li>LIT will distribute all shares held in-specie. There will be no concurrent global offering.</li>
<li>Leoch Energy, the international  arm of the group, accounted for 32% of LIT's revs in the 1H25, and 15% of profit.</li>
</ul>


Back in February 2025, Leoch International Technology (842 HK) ("LIT"), a leading manufacturer of lead-acid batteries, announced the spin-off and separate listing of wholly-owned Leoch Energy on a US exchange.
LIT will distribute all shares held in-specie. There will be no concurrent global offering.
Leoch Energy, the international  arm of the group, accounted for 32% of LIT's revs in the 1H25, and 15% of profit.


Leoch Int'l (842 HK)'s Spin-Off and Listing Of Leoch Energy

Quiddity Advisors
Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

A/H Premium Tracker (Wk to 19 Dec 2025): Hs Underperform Again, Beautiful Skew Behaving Badly

Hs underperformed their A partner within the AH pair universe this past week. Every sector was bad. Consumer the worst. Beautiful Skew behaved very...

Travis Lundy

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (Wk To 19 Dec 2025) - Lower Activity, Net Buying, but High-Div SOEs Sold

SOUTHBOUND flows are still low in a year-end-lull but net flows are back to positive. High-div SOEs are seeing outflow. TECH and CONSUMER seeing...

Travis Lundy

Last Week In Event SPACE: ANE Cayman. Hogy Medical, Hang Seng, Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac M&A Weekly Wrap: Mandom Humm, Medical Data Vision, Predictive Disc., ReNew Energy Global

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Leoch Int'l (842 HK)'s Spin-Off and Listing Of Leoch Energy

Despite the size of Leoch Energy, relative to LIT, I'd expect the sum of the parts to be greater than the whole. If small, illiquid events are your...

David Blennerhassett