External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Li Ning Company Limited researches, designs, manufactures, distributes, and retails sports footwear, apparel and accessories for sport and leisure use.

<ul><li>In the short run, we are still quite cautious about Li Ning in 2H24E, because of: 1) risks of greater retail discounts or promotion, 2) risks of trade fair orders adjustments, 3) unfavorable channel mix and operating deleverage and 4) relatively fixed opex.</li><li>However, from the long run prospective, we can still see the value in Li Ning, esp. when we consider its ex-cash FY24E P/E, which is only at 5-6x (excluding the net cash of RMB 17.6bn, in fact, we can also adjust for its RMB2.0-3.0bn worth of property investment in HK &amp; SH).</li><li>Maintain BUY but trim our TP to HK$ 16.18, based on 12x FY24E P/E (cut from 15x, to factor in the industry de-rating). It is trading at 10x FY24E P/E.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In the short run, we are still quite cautious about Li Ning in 2H24E, because of: 1) risks of greater retail discounts or promotion, 2) risks of trade fair orders adjustments, 3) unfavorable channel mix and operating deleverage and 4) relatively fixed opex.However, from the long run prospective, we can still see the value in Li Ning, esp. when we consider its ex-cash FY24E P/E, which is only at 5-6x (excluding the net cash of RMB 17.6bn, in fact, we can also adjust for its RMB2.0-3.0bn worth of property investment in HK &amp; SH).Maintain BUY but trim our TP to HK$ 16.18, based on 12x FY24E P/E (cut from 15x, to factor in the industry de-rating). It is trading at 10x FY24E P/E.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Li Ning (2331 HK) - We See Long-Term Value but Short-Term Risks

Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Independent Insight Provider

Lasertec Corporation develops, designs, manufactures and markets photomask inspection systems to make semiconductor devices, confocal scanning laser microscopes and liquid crystal display (LCD) inspection systems.

<ul>
<li>Long Lastertec after a solid set of numbers and the easing of concerns raised by the recent Scorpion Capital short sellers report.</li>
<li>Short 6525 Kokusai Electric over continuing concerns over the US upcoming trade restriction announcement in September.</li>
<li>This was previously seen as a dangerous short due to its high outstanding short interest, although it has now unwound to almost zero.</li>
</ul>


Long Lastertec after a solid set of numbers and the easing of concerns raised by the recent Scorpion Capital short sellers report.
Short 6525 Kokusai Electric over continuing concerns over the US upcoming trade restriction announcement in September.
This was previously seen as a dangerous short due to its high outstanding short interest, although it has now unwound to almost zero.


Long 6920 Lasertec Corp | Short 6525 Kokusai Electric

ASAHI INTECC CO., LTD. manufactures medical tools as well as both medical and industrial-use stainless wire rope.  The Company's main products include catheters, guidewires, and miniature coils for endoscopic devices.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asahi-intecc-co-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">7747 Asahi Intec</a> announced FY06/25 OP guidance of Y25.2bn, close to street expectations, pointing to substantial upside. GPM guidance has increased and continuation of strong 4Q YoY sales is expected.</li>
<li>Seven days of short interest outstanding could lead to a short squeeze; Earnings briefing tomorrow reinforcing these trends should be a further catalyst for upside.</li>
<li>With short interest now low and limited potential for further gains after the recent rebound, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/olympus-corp" target="_blank" rel="noopener">7733 Olympus</a> appears to be losing momentum, especially with China sales continuing to flag.</li>
</ul>



7747 Asahi Intec announced FY06/25 OP guidance of Y25.2bn, close to street expectations, pointing to substantial upside. GPM guidance has increased and continuation of strong 4Q YoY sales is expected.
Seven days of short interest outstanding could lead to a short squeeze; Earnings briefing tomorrow reinforcing these trends should be a further catalyst for upside.
With short interest now low and limited potential for further gains after the recent rebound, 7733 Olympus appears to be losing momentum, especially with China sales continuing to flag.


Long 7747 Asahi Intec | Short 7733 Olympus

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Hana Financial Group Inc., in accordance with Financial Holding Companies Act, was established on December 1, 2005, through stock transfer with the former shareholders of its subsidiaries in order to provide management services and financing to associated companies.

<ul>
<li>Among bigger cap GEM banks, we pick five longs and two shorts as our conviction calls; we add country-based equity risk premia to our screening process</li>
<li>Our core buys are Bank Mandiri from Indonesia, Hana Financial from South Korea, CIMB Group from Malaysia, Bradesco from Brazil and CCB from China; four of these are value picks</li>
<li>Our sells are Kotak Mahindra Bank and ICICI Bank from India, both richly valued larger cap banks that have benefited from past economic and political tailwinds with headwinds now emerging</li>
</ul>


Among bigger cap GEM banks, we pick five longs and two shorts as our conviction calls; we add country-based equity risk premia to our screening process
Our core buys are Bank Mandiri from Indonesia, Hana Financial from South Korea, CIMB Group from Malaysia, Bradesco from Brazil and CCB from China; four of these are value picks
Our sells are Kotak Mahindra Bank and ICICI Bank from India, both richly valued larger cap banks that have benefited from past economic and political tailwinds with headwinds now emerging


GEM Banks; Focus on Value Attributes and Returns Recovery Potential

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Amorepacific Corporation develops, manufactures, and exports skin care, make-up, and fragrance products. The Company also produces and markets personal care and health-related products, such as shampoos, soaps, toothpastes, and health teas.

<ul>
<li>A double dose of StubWorld this week: both the implied stub for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amorepacific-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12179:1" rel="noopener">Amorepacific Group (002790 KS)</a> and the simple ratio (Group/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amorepacific-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20854:1" rel="noopener">Amorepacific Corp (090430 KS)</a>) are around lifetime low levels.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Amorepacific are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>


A double dose of StubWorld this week: both the implied stub for Amorepacific Group (002790 KS) and the simple ratio (Group/Amorepacific Corp (090430 KS)) are around lifetime low levels.
Preceding my comments on Amorepacific are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld's: Amorepacific's NAV Discount Plumbs New Multi-Year Low

Research on Long and Short Asian Largecap Ideas

Long and Short Ideas on Asian Largecaps
Research on Long and Short Asian Largecap Ideas

Li Ning (2331 HK) - We See Long-Term Value but Short-Term Risks

Maintain BUY but trim our TP to HK$ 16.18, based on 12x FY24E P/E (cut from 15x, to factor in the industry de-rating). It is trading at 10x FY24E P/E.

CMB International

Long 6920 Lasertec Corp | Short 6525 Kokusai Electric

Long Lasertech after a good set of numbers, Scorpion Capital concerns debunked; Short 6525 Kokusai Electric over continuing concerns over the US...

Andrew Jackson

Long 7747 Asahi Intec | Short 7733 Olympus

Asahi Intec announces strong FY06/25 guidance, potential for short squeeze and upside; Olympus losing momentum with declining domestic sales.

Andrew Jackson

GEM Banks; Focus on Value Attributes and Returns Recovery Potential

Top picks for bigger cap GEM banks include Bank Mandiri, Hana Financial, CIMB Group, Bradesco, and CCB, while Kotak Mahindra Bank and ICICI Bank...

Victor Galliano

StubWorld's: Amorepacific's NAV Discount Plumbs New Multi-Year Low

The implied stub - and simple ratio - are currently at extreme levels. Setting up the stub here - long Group, short Corp - is the obvious trade;...

David Blennerhassett

Li Ning (2331 HK) - We See Long-Term Value but Short-Term Risks

Maintain BUY but trim our TP to HK$ 16.18, based on 12x FY24E P/E (cut from 15x, to factor in the industry de-rating). It is trading at 10x FY24E P/E.

CMB International

Long 6920 Lasertec Corp | Short 6525 Kokusai Electric

Long Lasertech after a good set of numbers, Scorpion Capital concerns debunked; Short 6525 Kokusai Electric over continuing concerns over the US...

Andrew Jackson

Long 7747 Asahi Intec | Short 7733 Olympus

​Asahi Intec announces strong FY06/25 guidance, potential for short squeeze and upside; Olympus losing momentum with declining domestic sales.

Andrew Jackson

GEM Banks; Focus on Value Attributes and Returns Recovery Potential

​Top picks for bigger cap GEM banks include Bank Mandiri, Hana Financial, CIMB Group, Bradesco, and CCB, while Kotak Mahindra Bank and ICICI Bank...

Victor Galliano

StubWorld's: Amorepacific's NAV Discount Plumbs New Multi-Year Low

The implied stub - and simple ratio - are currently at extreme levels. Setting up the stub here - long Group, short Corp - is the obvious trade;...

David Blennerhassett

Asahi Intec announces strong FY06/25 guidance, potential for short squeeze and upside; Olympus losing momentum with declining domestic sales.

Top picks for bigger cap GEM banks include Bank Mandiri, Hana Financial, CIMB Group, Bradesco, and CCB, while Kotak Mahindra Bank and ICICI Bank...