Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

ASAHI INTECC CO., LTD. manufactures medical tools as well as both medical and industrial-use stainless wire rope.  The Company's main products include catheters, guidewires, and miniature coils for endoscopic devices.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asahi-intecc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15915:1" rel="noopener">Asahi Intecc (7747 JP)</a> reported strong FY24 result, with all key parameters beating estimates. FY24 revenue exceeds ¥100B, a significant milestone of the mid-term management plan.</li>
<li>For FY25, Asahi Intecc has guided for revenue of ¥117B (up 9% YoY), operating profit of ¥25B (up 14% YoY), and net profit of ¥19B (up 19% YoY).</li>
<li>Growth will be driven by increase in overseas revenue in medical division despite the impact of stronger yen. Positive environment and strong demand enhance conviction on the long-term growth prospect.</li>
</ul>



Asahi Intecc (7747 JP) reported strong FY24 result, with all key parameters beating estimates. FY24 revenue exceeds ¥100B, a significant milestone of the mid-term management plan.
For FY25, Asahi Intecc has guided for revenue of ¥117B (up 9% YoY), operating profit of ¥25B (up 14% YoY), and net profit of ¥19B (up 19% YoY).
Growth will be driven by increase in overseas revenue in medical division despite the impact of stronger yen. Positive environment and strong demand enhance conviction on the long-term growth prospect.


2024 High Conviction Update: Asahi Intecc (7747 JP)- FY24 Result Tops Guidance; Positive Outlook

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Innovent Biologics Inc / Equity Bottom-Up

Innovent Biologics, Inc. operates as a biopharmaceutical company. The Company develops, manufactures, and distributes monoclonal antibody drug candidates for the treatment of oncology, ophthalmology, autoimmune, cardiovascular, and other diseases. Innovent Biologics serves customers in China.

<ul>
<li>Innovent’s 24H1 product revenue exceeded RMB3.7 billion.Due to anti-corruption campaign, newly marketed PD-1s are unable to be admitted to the hospitals normally, which indirectly promotes the sales performance of sintilimab.</li>
<li>2024 full-year product revenue is estimated to reach RMB7.7 billion. IBI363 has the potential to be blockbuster variety in global markets, which may put Innovent’s valuation on a new level.</li>
<li>Innovent is undervalued if market value is below RMB38.5 billion.If mazdutide is able to contribute RMB10 billion sales, Innovent’s market value would reach about RMB90-100 billion (based on 5 P/S).</li>
</ul>


Innovent’s 24H1 product revenue exceeded RMB3.7 billion.Due to anti-corruption campaign, newly marketed PD-1s are unable to be admitted to the hospitals normally, which indirectly promotes the sales performance of sintilimab.
2024 full-year product revenue is estimated to reach RMB7.7 billion. IBI363 has the potential to be blockbuster variety in global markets, which may put Innovent’s valuation on a new level.
Innovent is undervalued if market value is below RMB38.5 billion.If mazdutide is able to contribute RMB10 billion sales, Innovent’s market value would reach about RMB90-100 billion (based on 5 P/S).


2024 High Conviction Update: Innovent (1801.HK) 24Q2 - Valuation Upside Will Be Further Opened Up

Agri | Weather | Energy Transition, Mint Finance

Srinidhi Raghavendra

Agri | Weather | Energy Transition

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related accessories. The Company also offers payment, digital content, cloud and advertising services. Apple Inc.'s customers are primarily in consumer, small & mid-sized business, education, enterprise and government markets worldwide.

<ul>
<li>Despite being a hated stock among the Super Sevens, Apple shares are up &gt;51% YTD this year. Apple has had little to claim for within captivating AI hype.</li>
<li>Apple is not a first mover. Its reputation is of a late comer. But its superior products with mind bending experiences blows competition out of the water.</li>
<li>Outperformance of iPhone 15, deepening services penetration, and roll out of AI-features will propel Apple to a USD 4 trillion market cap in 2024.</li>
</ul>


Despite being a hated stock among the Super Sevens, Apple shares are up &gt;51% YTD this year. Apple has had little to claim for within captivating AI hype.
Apple is not a first mover. Its reputation is of a late comer. But its superior products with mind bending experiences blows competition out of the water.
Outperformance of iPhone 15, deepening services penetration, and roll out of AI-features will propel Apple to a USD 4 trillion market cap in 2024.


2024 High Conviction: Apple’s AI Foray & Services to Power Its Journey to USD 4 Trillion Valuation

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

<ul>
<li>TSMC looks set for a significant recovery in top-line growth in 2024F, driven by continued faster-than-expected demand for its 3nm volume production leading to significantly improved overall ASP.</li>
<li>This should be supported by a concurrent improvement in the inventory cycle at major clients, helping recover TSMC’s utilisation back to historic norms.</li>
<li>Lower capital intensity, improving internal inventory levels, and accelerating top-line growth should all combine to drive record levels of Free Cash Flow generation during 2024F.</li>
</ul>


TSMC looks set for a significant recovery in top-line growth in 2024F, driven by continued faster-than-expected demand for its 3nm volume production leading to significantly improved overall ASP.
This should be supported by a concurrent improvement in the inventory cycle at major clients, helping recover TSMC’s utilisation back to historic norms.
Lower capital intensity, improving internal inventory levels, and accelerating top-line growth should all combine to drive record levels of Free Cash Flow generation during 2024F.


2024 High Conviction: TSMC (2330 TT) Is Perfectly Poised for Revenue and FCF Growth Acceleration

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

BILL Holdings, Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, offers cloud-based applications that simplifies, digitizes, and automates back-office financial processes for small and mid-sized businesses. BILL Holdings serves customers worldwide.

<ul>
<li>BILL Holdings shares significantly underperformed in 2024 with shares down ~37% year-to-date versus a 12% gain on the Nasdaq Composite Index.  </li>
<li>Shares saw sell-off post 3Q’FY24 earnings as results indicated a weak 4Q’FY24 guidance and customer churn while SMBs continue to be pressured by high inflation and interest rates.</li>
<li>My bear case implies a $31 valuation (vs. prior $25 PT), based on ~2x FY25E EV/Revenue and bear case FY25E revenue of $1368M, representing ~40% downside vs. current levels.</li>
</ul>


BILL Holdings shares significantly underperformed in 2024 with shares down ~37% year-to-date versus a 12% gain on the Nasdaq Composite Index.  
Shares saw sell-off post 3Q’FY24 earnings as results indicated a weak 4Q’FY24 guidance and customer churn while SMBs continue to be pressured by high inflation and interest rates.
My bear case implies a $31 valuation (vs. prior $25 PT), based on ~2x FY25E EV/Revenue and bear case FY25E revenue of $1368M, representing ~40% downside vs. current levels.


2024 High Conviction Update: BILL Holdings, End of the Share Repurchase Program and Customer Churn

2024 High Conviction Ideas
High Conviction Ideas going into 2024

2024 High Conviction Update: Asahi Intecc (7747 JP)- FY24 Result Tops Guidance; Positive Outlook

Asahi Intecc reported ¥100B revenue for FY24, a significant milestone of the mid-term management plan. Even after excluding Fx, the company sees...

Tina Banerjee

2024 High Conviction Update: Innovent (1801.HK) 24Q2 - Valuation Upside Will Be Further Opened Up

Innovent's revenue growth in 24H1 was commendable. IBI363 has the potential to be blockbuster drug in global markets. Market value to reach above...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

2024 High Conviction: Apple’s AI Foray & Services to Power Its Journey to USD 4 Trillion Valuation

Apple briefly overtook Microsoft as the most valuable firm measured by market cap. Share prices retreated relative to Microsoft by close of...

Mint Finance

2024 High Conviction: TSMC (2330 TT) Is Perfectly Poised for Revenue and FCF Growth Acceleration

Given that we have reached the peak of the Capex cycle, along with normalisation in its internal working capital, and with revenue growth set to...

Wium Malan, CFA

2024 High Conviction Update: Asahi Intecc (7747 JP)- FY24 Result Tops Guidance; Positive Outlook

Asahi Intecc reported ¥100B revenue for FY24, a significant milestone of the mid-term management plan. Even after excluding Fx, the company sees...

Tina Banerjee

2024 High Conviction Update: Innovent (1801.HK) 24Q2 - Valuation Upside Will Be Further Opened Up

​Innovent's revenue growth in 24H1 was commendable. IBI363 has the potential to be blockbuster drug in global markets. Market value to reach above...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

2024 High Conviction: Apple’s AI Foray & Services to Power Its Journey to USD 4 Trillion Valuation

Apple briefly overtook Microsoft as the most valuable firm measured by market cap. Share prices retreated relative to Microsoft by close of...

Mint Finance

2024 High Conviction: TSMC (2330 TT) Is Perfectly Poised for Revenue and FCF Growth Acceleration

Given that we have reached the peak of the Capex cycle, along with normalisation in its internal working capital, and with revenue growth set to...

Wium Malan, CFA

2024 High Conviction Update: BILL Holdings, End of the Share Repurchase Program and Customer Churn

Shares of BILL Holdings significantly underperformed due to customer churn, bleak macro environment and continued growth slowdown in a core SMB...

Andrei Zakharov

Innovent's revenue growth in 24H1 was commendable. IBI363 has the potential to be blockbuster drug in global markets. Market value to reach above...