IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

ESR Group Limited operates as an integrated logistics real estate platform. The Company provides real estate private equity fund management, real estate investment trust, and other services. ESR Group conducts businesses in China, Japan, South Korea, Australia, Singapore, India, New Zealand, and other countries.

<ul>
<li>Bloomberg <a href="https://news.bloomberglaw.com/mergers-and-acquisitions/esr-bidders-said-to-weigh-bringing-in-more-investors-for-buyout" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reports</a> that the bidding consortium is in talks to bring in other partners, such as QIA, PIF, and CPP Investment Board, to aid in privatising <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR Group (1821 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>Warburg Pincus and OMERS have blocking stakes for a Cayman scheme. Warburg Pincus is seemingly supportive, and the consortium’s expansion talks suggest confidence in meeting OMERS’ price expectations.</li>
<li>Our best guess is that an offer is around HK$14.00. ESR’s current valuation is undemanding, with its forward EV/EBITDA multiple at a 40% discount compared to the median peers’ multiple.</li>
</ul>


Bloomberg reports that the bidding consortium is in talks to bring in other partners, such as QIA, PIF, and CPP Investment Board, to aid in privatising ESR Group (1821 HK).
Warburg Pincus and OMERS have blocking stakes for a Cayman scheme. Warburg Pincus is seemingly supportive, and the consortium’s expansion talks suggest confidence in meeting OMERS’ price expectations.
Our best guess is that an offer is around HK$14.00. ESR’s current valuation is undemanding, with its forward EV/EBITDA multiple at a 40% discount compared to the median peers’ multiple.


ESR Group (1821 HK): Consortium’s Expansion Talks Suggest Progress

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Tata Hitachi Targets Increased Market Share Amid Chinese Competition, Plans Manufacturing Expansion</li>
<li>Railways to Receive PLI Boost, Aiming to Reduce Import Dependency and Foster Local Manufacturing</li>
<li>India's Coal Production Surges 14% in June, Reaching 84.63 Million Tonnes, Boosting Sector Efficiency</li>
</ul>


Tata Hitachi Targets Increased Market Share Amid Chinese Competition, Plans Manufacturing Expansion
Railways to Receive PLI Boost, Aiming to Reduce Import Dependency and Foster Local Manufacturing
India's Coal Production Surges 14% in June, Reaching 84.63 Million Tonnes, Boosting Sector Efficiency


#23 India Insight: Tata Hitachi Market Share, Patanjali Acquires Non-Food Business, ITC Exports

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

<ul>
<li>SEBI asked Brokers to to be ‘true to the label’ in how they levy charges.</li>
<li>This can impact 10% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zerodha" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29664:1" rel="noopener">Zerodha (ZERO IN)</a> and 8% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/angel-one-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33510:1" rel="noopener">Angel One (ANGELONE IN)</a> Topline.</li>
<li>Rationale behind this circular and its impact on the market.</li>
</ul>


SEBI asked Brokers to to be ‘true to the label’ in how they levy charges.
This can impact 10% of Zerodha (ZERO IN) and 8% of Angel One (ANGELONE IN) Topline.
Rationale behind this circular and its impact on the market.


SEBI’s New “True to Label” Circular: End of Zero Fee Era

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul>
<li>Domestic credit growth in Hong Kong weakened further in latest monthly release at -2.2% YoY. Weekly Centa City Leading Index grinds lower, a more HFD point relevant to credit</li>
<li>The acceleration in domestic credit growth in Indonesia is unique, where growth is up to +11.2% YoY in most recent month vs +5.2% YoY in the same month last year  </li>
<li>We remain concerned about credit metrics for HK's banks given contracting growth, worsening property, which is collateral. Many HK banks have done little in provisioning </li>
</ul>


Domestic credit growth in Hong Kong weakened further in latest monthly release at -2.2% YoY. Weekly Centa City Leading Index grinds lower, a more HFD point relevant to credit
The acceleration in domestic credit growth in Indonesia is unique, where growth is up to +11.2% YoY in most recent month vs +5.2% YoY in the same month last year  
We remain concerned about credit metrics for HK's banks given contracting growth, worsening property, which is collateral. Many HK banks have done little in provisioning 


Asia Credit - HK Weakens More, Indonesia, Taiwan Remain Strong, and Improving

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Bonds / In Depth: China’s ultra-long bonds may test PBOC’s monetary toolkit</li><li>Badminton /: Teenage Chinese badminton star’s death draws criticism of first responders</li><li>Central bank /: PBOC bond-borrowing plan fuels expectation of action to raise yields</li></ul>

Bonds / In Depth: China’s ultra-long bonds may test PBOC’s monetary toolkitBadminton /: Teenage Chinese badminton star’s death draws criticism of first respondersCentral bank /: PBOC bond-borrowing plan fuels expectation of action to raise yields

CX Daily: China’s Ultra-Long Bonds May Test PBOC’s Monetary Toolkit 

China Largecap
Research on China largecaps

ESR Group (1821 HK): Consortium’s Expansion Talks Suggest Progress

The probability of an offer remains high, and the latest Bloomberg reports suggest progress towards a binding proposal. Our best guess is that an...

Arun George

SEBI’s New “True to Label” Circular: End of Zero Fee Era

SEBI's new directive on transparent charges could significantly affect Zerodha and Angel One's revenue, prompting market analysis on the rationale...

Nimish Maheshwari

Asia Credit - HK Weakens More, Indonesia, Taiwan Remain Strong, and Improving

Domestic credit growth HFD shows weakening figures in Hong Kong, far better figures and strong in Indonesia, and still strong, rising in Taiwan....

Daniel Tabbush

CX Daily: China’s Ultra-Long Bonds May Test PBOC’s Monetary Toolkit

Bonds / In Depth: China’s ultra-long bonds may test PBOC’s monetary toolkit After China’s Ministry of Finance kicked off this year’s 1 trillion...

Caixin Global

ESR Group (1821 HK): Consortium’s Expansion Talks Suggest Progress

The probability of an offer remains high, and the latest Bloomberg reports suggest progress towards a binding proposal. Our best guess is that an...

Arun George

#23 India Insight: Tata Hitachi Market Share, Patanjali Acquires Non-Food Business, ITC Exports

​Tata Hitachi aims for growth against Chinese competition, Railways to boost local manufacturing, India's coal production up 14% in June.

Sudarshan Bhandari

SEBI’s New “True to Label” Circular: End of Zero Fee Era

​SEBI's new directive on transparent charges could significantly affect Zerodha and Angel One's revenue, prompting market analysis on the rationale...

Nimish Maheshwari

Asia Credit - HK Weakens More, Indonesia, Taiwan Remain Strong, and Improving

Domestic credit growth HFD shows weakening figures in Hong Kong, far better figures and strong in Indonesia, and still strong, rising in Taiwan....

Daniel Tabbush

CX Daily: China’s Ultra-Long Bonds May Test PBOC’s Monetary Toolkit

Bonds / In Depth: China’s ultra-long bonds may test PBOC’s monetary toolkit After China’s Ministry of Finance kicked off this year’s 1 trillion...

Caixin Global

Tata Hitachi aims for growth against Chinese competition, Railways to boost local manufacturing, India's coal production up 14% in June.

SEBI's new directive on transparent charges could significantly affect Zerodha and Angel One's revenue, prompting market analysis on the rationale...