Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Fosun Pharma is acquiring 53% stake in Green Valley Pharmaceuticals for ~$200M, to bolster CNS portfolio. Hansoh Pharmaceutical entered an exclusive license agreement with Glenmark Pharma for NSCLC drug Ameile.</li>
<li>Daiichi Sankyo received FDA approval for Enhertu as first-line treatment for HER2+ breast cancer. Takeda Pharmaceutical announced positive topline results for two P3 studies of zasocitinib in moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis.</li>
<li>Hanmi Pharmaceutical filed domestic marketing application for efpeglenatide autoinjector, the first domestically developed GLP-1-based obesity drug. Max Healthcare announced INR10B+ investment for a ~450 bedded hospital in Pune.</li>
</ul>


Fosun Pharma is acquiring 53% stake in Green Valley Pharmaceuticals for ~$200M, to bolster CNS portfolio. Hansoh Pharmaceutical entered an exclusive license agreement with Glenmark Pharma for NSCLC drug Ameile.
Daiichi Sankyo received FDA approval for Enhertu as first-line treatment for HER2+ breast cancer. Takeda Pharmaceutical announced positive topline results for two P3 studies of zasocitinib in moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis.
Hanmi Pharmaceutical filed domestic marketing application for efpeglenatide autoinjector, the first domestically developed GLP-1-based obesity drug. Max Healthcare announced INR10B+ investment for a ~450 bedded hospital in Pune.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (December 21)–Fosun Pharma, Hansoh, Daiichi Sankyo, Takeda, Hanmi, Max Health

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Shanghai Henlius Biotech  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>1H25 results in line. Henlius reported revenue of RMB2.82bn in 1H25 (+3% YoY), in line with our expectations.</li><li>Drug sales reached RMB2.57bn, accounting for 49% of our prior full-year forecast.</li><li>Net profit came in at RMB390mn (+1% YoY), achieving 31% of our full-year estimate.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

1H25 results in line. Henlius reported revenue of RMB2.82bn in 1H25 (+3% YoY), in line with our expectations.Drug sales reached RMB2.57bn, accounting for 49% of our prior full-year forecast.Net profit came in at RMB390mn (+1% YoY), achieving 31% of our full-year estimate.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) - Updated Data of PD-L1 ADC at the Coming WCLC

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>Since the privatization of Henlius failed at the beginning of 2025, we have witnessed its stock price constantly hitting new highs.The market has recognized Henlius’ strong fundamentals and promising outlook.</li>
<li>Based on conservative forecast, the peak sales of important products +  other promising candidates/indication expansion/drug combination/new licensing cooperation, etc., total revenue of Henlius is expected to reach RMB10 billion.</li>
<li>RMB30 billion is the valuation bottom line for Henlius. The upper limit of valuation may reach RMB36-45 billion in the future. Exercise Price of the Options granted is HK$50.25/share.</li>
</ul>


Since the privatization of Henlius failed at the beginning of 2025, we have witnessed its stock price constantly hitting new highs.The market has recognized Henlius’ strong fundamentals and promising outlook.
Based on conservative forecast, the peak sales of important products +  other promising candidates/indication expansion/drug combination/new licensing cooperation, etc., total revenue of Henlius is expected to reach RMB10 billion.
RMB30 billion is the valuation bottom line for Henlius. The upper limit of valuation may reach RMB36-45 billion in the future. Exercise Price of the Options granted is HK$50.25/share.


Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) - Thoughts on the Valuation Outlook

<ul>
<li>LVC continues to increase its holdings in Henlius, indicating that LVC remains optimistic about Henlius as its internationalization process significantly accelerated. We are interested to see Lin Lijun’s next move. </li>
<li>In the short to medium term, based on our conservative forecast on peak sales of HANQUYOU/HANSIZHUANG in overseas markets and domestic product sales, Henlius’ market value could reach RMB13-16 billion.</li>
<li>Considering other candidates(e.g. HLX15, HLX11, HLX14), indication expansion, drug combination, etc., revenue of Henlius could reach about RMB8-9 billion in the long term, with market value to reach RMB24-27 billion.</li>
</ul>


LVC continues to increase its holdings in Henlius, indicating that LVC remains optimistic about Henlius as its internationalization process significantly accelerated. We are interested to see Lin Lijun’s next move. 
In the short to medium term, based on our conservative forecast on peak sales of HANQUYOU/HANSIZHUANG in overseas markets and domestic product sales, Henlius’ market value could reach RMB13-16 billion.
Considering other candidates(e.g. HLX15, HLX11, HLX14), indication expansion, drug combination, etc., revenue of Henlius could reach about RMB8-9 billion in the long term, with market value to reach RMB24-27 billion.


Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)- LVC Is Betting on Higher Valuation Upside Due to Business Update

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>You might have to go all the back to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guoco-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5290:1" rel="noopener">Guoco Group Ltd (53 HK)</a>'s 2012/2013 unconditional cash offer, which was ostensibly blocked by First Eagle AND Elliott Advisors.</li>
<li>Otherwise, it's slim pickings. Past Schemes or Tender Offers arguably failed as minorities were simply not supportive. There are exceptions, like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/soho-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4123:1" rel="noopener">Soho China (410 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">TCM (570 HK)</a>
</li>
<li>IF LVC wish to remain active in this space/region, they appear to be going about it in a counterproductive way. I still don't understand why they would want to block.</li>
</ul>


You might have to go all the back to Guoco Group Ltd (53 HK)'s 2012/2013 unconditional cash offer, which was ostensibly blocked by First Eagle AND Elliott Advisors.
Otherwise, it's slim pickings. Past Schemes or Tender Offers arguably failed as minorities were simply not supportive. There are exceptions, like Soho China (410 HK) and TCM (570 HK)

IF LVC wish to remain active in this space/region, they appear to be going about it in a counterproductive way. I still don't understand why they would want to block.


Henlius (2696 HK): So, When Was The Last Time A PE/VC Outfit Blocked A Deal?

China

Shanghai Henlius Biotech, Inc develops and produces drugs. The Company develops and produces monoclonal antibody biosimilar drugs, bio betters, novel monoclonal antibodys, and other drugs. Shanghai Henlius Biotech throughout China.

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Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)

APAC Healthcare Weekly (December 21)–Fosun Pharma, Hansoh, Daiichi Sankyo, Takeda, Hanmi, Max Health

Fosun Pharma is acquiring 53% stake in Green Valley. Hansoh inked exclusive license agreement with Glenmark Pharma. Daiichi Sankyo’s Enhertu got...

Tina Banerjee

Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) - Updated Data of PD-L1 ADC at the Coming WCLC

Henlius reported revenue of RMB2.82bn in 1H25 (+3% YoY), in line with our expectations. Drug sales reached RMB2.57bn, accounting for 49% of our...

CMB International