Head of Trading/ Partner, AceGama Advisors

Sankalp Singh

Head of Trading/ Partner

Proprietary Trading Desk

AceGama Advisors

Trading desk specializing in the Listed & OTC options strategies for risk management & investment purposes.

Event-Driven

The NIFTY 50 index is National Stock Exchange of India's benchmark stock market index for Indian equity market. Nifty is owned and managed by India Index Services and Products (IISL), which is a wholly owned subsidiary of the NSE Strategic Investment Corporation Limited.

<ul>
<li>Options Market caught flat-footed on hawkish Fed rhetoric. IVs corrected sharply higher, with Monthly IVs trading up to 15.5%.     </li>
<li>Vol Regime has switched to "High &amp; Up" state. IVs now in top percentile of historical ranges. Look for a quick switch back to "High &amp; Down" state.      </li>
<li>Smile dynamics unchanged. Skew has undergone compression. Vol term structure trading in inverted-V shape - should normalize once market-holiday drops off the calendar.</li>
</ul>


Options Market caught flat-footed on hawkish Fed rhetoric. IVs corrected sharply higher, with Monthly IVs trading up to 15.5%.     
Vol Regime has switched to "High &amp; Up" state. IVs now in top percentile of historical ranges. Look for a quick switch back to "High &amp; Down" state.      
Smile dynamics unchanged. Skew has undergone compression. Vol term structure trading in inverted-V shape - should normalize once market-holiday drops off the calendar.


EQD / NSE NIFTY50 Vol Update / Options Market Caught Flat-Footed on Hawkish Fed Rhetoric. IVs Jump.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Goldlion Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, distributes and manufactures garments and accessories.  The Company also invests in properties and operates a commercial center with restaurants and a business center.

<ul>
<li>On 17 December, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goldlion-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12359:1" rel="noopener">Goldlion Holdings (533 HK)</a> announced a scheme offer from Mr Tsang (Chairman/CEO) at HK$1.5232 per share, a 71.1% premium to the undisturbed price of HK$0.89 (20 November). </li>
<li>The key condition is the scheme approved by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% disinterested shareholders rejection). The shareholder with a blocking stake is a seller. </li>
<li>The offer is reasonable compared to peer multiples and historical trading ranges. At the last close and for a late April payment, the gross/annualised spread is 7.3%/22.7%.</li>
</ul>


On 17 December, Goldlion Holdings (533 HK) announced a scheme offer from Mr Tsang (Chairman/CEO) at HK$1.5232 per share, a 71.1% premium to the undisturbed price of HK$0.89 (20 November). 
The key condition is the scheme approved by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% disinterested shareholders rejection). The shareholder with a blocking stake is a seller. 
The offer is reasonable compared to peer multiples and historical trading ranges. At the last close and for a late April payment, the gross/annualised spread is 7.3%/22.7%.


Goldlion Holdings (533 HK): Chairman’s Scheme Privatisation Is a Done Deal

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

The Nikkei-225 Stock Average is a price-weighted average of 225 top-rated Japanese companies listed in the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The Nikkei Stock Average was first published on May 16, 1949, where the average price was ¥176.21 with a divisor of 225. 

<ul>
<li>All 5 trading days of the past week saw non-volatile price declines but with implied vols still ticking higher leaving historic vol and implied vol moving in opposite directions.</li>
<li>Trading activity focused on Puts, 59.5% of all options trades were Puts last week</li>
<li>Postions being covered into market weakness as seen from large decrease in open interest (60% of the decline was Puts).</li>
</ul>


All 5 trading days of the past week saw non-volatile price declines but with implied vols still ticking higher leaving historic vol and implied vol moving in opposite directions.
Trading activity focused on Puts, 59.5% of all options trades were Puts last week
Postions being covered into market weakness as seen from large decrease in open interest (60% of the decline was Puts).


EQD | Nikkei Index Options Weekly - December 16 - 20

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

The KOSPI 200 Index is a capitalization-weighted index of 200 Korean stocks which make up 93% of the total market value of the Korea Stock Exchange. The index was developed with a base value of 100 as of January 3, 1990.

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

<ul>
<li>Kospi is now off 20% from its 52-week highs. Historic vols are picking up and implieds looking like good value given market dynamics.</li>
<li>Hedging increased with broad based positioning in Puts across out-of-the-money strikes.</li>
<li>Heavier volume in Puts with 53.2% of added open interest being Puts.</li>
</ul>


Kospi is now off 20% from its 52-week highs. Historic vols are picking up and implieds looking like good value given market dynamics.
Hedging increased with broad based positioning in Puts across out-of-the-money strikes.
Heavier volume in Puts with 53.2% of added open interest being Puts.


EQD | Kospi Index Options Weekly - December 16 - 20

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

<ul>
<li>Communication Services had 39% of single stock option volumes vs only 22% of the open interest highlighting short expiry / speculative nature of trading.</li>
<li>Tencent and Baidu heading in opposite directions – Baidu vol on the inexpensive side vs Tencent vol.</li>
<li>Xiaomi one of only 2 optionable names trading at 52-week high (Sunny optical being the other).</li>
</ul>


Communication Services had 39% of single stock option volumes vs only 22% of the open interest highlighting short expiry / speculative nature of trading.
Tencent and Baidu heading in opposite directions – Baidu vol on the inexpensive side vs Tencent vol.
Xiaomi one of only 2 optionable names trading at 52-week high (Sunny optical being the other).


EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly December 16 – 20

Event-Driven
Event-Driven Insights

EQD / NSE NIFTY50 Vol Update / Options Market Caught Flat-Footed on Hawkish Fed Rhetoric. IVs Jump.

Options market surprised by Fed's hawkish tone, IVs spike to 15.5%. Volatility regime now "High & Up", expect quick shift back. Skew compressed,...

AceGama Advisors

Goldlion Holdings (533 HK): Chairman’s Scheme Privatisation Is a Done Deal

The offer is reasonable compared to peer multiples and historical trading ranges. At the last close and for a late April payment, the gross...

Arun George

EQD | Nikkei Index Options Weekly - December 16 - 20

Non-volatile price declines with implied vols rising, leading to historic vol and implied vol moving in opposite directions and implied vols not...

John Ley

EQD | Kospi Index Options Weekly - December 16 - 20

Kospi's 20% drop from 52-week highs prompts increased hedging through out-of-the-money Puts, with implied volatility offering good value vs normal...

John Ley

EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly December 16 – 20

Tencent and Baidu showing contrasting price and volatility levels with Baidu implied vol looking relatively inexpensive. Xiaomi stands out as one...

John Ley

EQD / NSE NIFTY50 Vol Update / Options Market Caught Flat-Footed on Hawkish Fed Rhetoric. IVs Jump.

​Options market surprised by Fed's hawkish tone, IVs spike to 15.5%. Volatility regime now "High & Up", expect quick shift back. Skew compressed,...

AceGama Advisors

Goldlion Holdings (533 HK): Chairman’s Scheme Privatisation Is a Done Deal

The offer is reasonable compared to peer multiples and historical trading ranges. At the last close and for a late April payment, the gross...

Arun George

EQD | Nikkei Index Options Weekly - December 16 - 20

​Non-volatile price declines with implied vols rising, leading to historic vol and implied vol moving in opposite directions and implied vols not...

John Ley

EQD | Kospi Index Options Weekly - December 16 - 20

​Kospi's 20% drop from 52-week highs prompts increased hedging through out-of-the-money Puts, with implied volatility offering good value vs normal...

John Ley

EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly December 16 – 20

Tencent and Baidu showing contrasting price and volatility levels with Baidu implied vol looking relatively inexpensive. Xiaomi stands out as one...

John Ley

Options market surprised by Fed's hawkish tone, IVs spike to 15.5%. Volatility regime now "High & Up", expect quick shift back. Skew compressed,...

Non-volatile price declines with implied vols rising, leading to historic vol and implied vol moving in opposite directions and implied vols not...

Kospi's 20% drop from 52-week highs prompts increased hedging through out-of-the-money Puts, with implied volatility offering good value vs normal...