Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>
Australia: RBA rate decision on 1 April. Expect no change.
</li>
<li>
Japan: Nikkei 225 rebalancing effective 31 March at the close.</li>
<li>
US reciprocal tariffs will keep everyone on their toes on 2 April.</li>
</ul>



Australia: RBA rate decision on 1 April. Expect no change.


Japan: Nikkei 225 rebalancing effective 31 March at the close.

US reciprocal tariffs will keep everyone on their toes on 2 April.


Market Movers: Key Dates at a Glance (31 March- 6 April)

Equity Derivatives

Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited provides banking services. The Company offers deposits, loans, fund underwriting, foreign currency settlement, and other services. Industrial and Commercial Bank of China provides its services to individuals, enterprises, and other clients.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industrial-and-commercial-bank-of-china-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1119:1" rel="noopener">ICBC (H) (1398 HK)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ind-comm-bk-of-china-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:494:1" rel="noopener">ICBC (A) (601398 CH)</a> is scheduled to report its annual 2024 financial results on 28 March 2025, 17:30-18:30, Beijing time. 
</li>
<li>
Expected Price Movement: Option implied movement and historically recorded movement both indicate price action comparable to that of a typical trading day. </li>
<li>
Dividend Outlook: ICBC has switched to semi-annual dividends, with current yields at 6.0% for H shares and 4.5% for A shares. The bank has a history of dividend increases.</li>
</ul>



ICBC (H) (1398 HK) / ICBC (A) (601398 CH) is scheduled to report its annual 2024 financial results on 28 March 2025, 17:30-18:30, Beijing time. 


Expected Price Movement: Option implied movement and historically recorded movement both indicate price action comparable to that of a typical trading day. 

Dividend Outlook: ICBC has switched to semi-annual dividends, with current yields at 6.0% for H shares and 4.5% for A shares. The bank has a history of dividend increases.


ICBC (1398 HK) Earnings on 28 Mar: Anticipated Price Move and Strategy

China Construction Bank H / Equity Derivatives

China Construction Bank Corporation provides a comprehensive range of commercial banking products and services to individuals and corporate customers. The Bank's business consists of three principal business segments: corporate banking, personal banking, and treasury operations. China Construction Bank also services infrastructure loans, residential mortgage, and bank cards.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-construction-bank-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45:1" rel="noopener">China Construction Bank H (939 HK)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-construction-bank-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24567:1" rel="noopener">China Construction Bank (601939 CH)</a> is scheduled to report its annual 2024 financial results on 28 March 2025, 17:00-18:15, Beijing time. 
</li>
<li>
Expected Price Movement: Option implied movement and historically recorded movement both indicate muted price action after earnings.</li>
<li>
Dividend Outlook: CCB has switched to semi-annual dividends, with current yields at 6.4% for H shares and 4.7% for A shares. The bank has a history of dividend increases.</li>
</ul>



China Construction Bank H (939 HK) / China Construction Bank (601939 CH) is scheduled to report its annual 2024 financial results on 28 March 2025, 17:00-18:15, Beijing time. 


Expected Price Movement: Option implied movement and historically recorded movement both indicate muted price action after earnings.

Dividend Outlook: CCB has switched to semi-annual dividends, with current yields at 6.4% for H shares and 4.7% for A shares. The bank has a history of dividend increases.


China Construction Bank (939 HK/601939 CH) Earnings on 28 Mar: Anticipated Price Move and Strategy

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Derivatives

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

<ul>
<li>This Insight analyses <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> multi-leg option strategies traded over the last five trading days on the Hong Kong Exchange. Strategy highlights and volatility context are provided.</li>
<li>These traders tailor structures to risk budgets and take calculated bets. With implied volatility below its median and below realized volatility, all strategies reviewed are long volatility.</li>
<li>Almost 20% of all strategies are Calendar or Diagonal Spreads. Diagonal spreads can even earn premium in the current volatility environment. A live strategy is examined.</li>
</ul>


This Insight analyses Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) multi-leg option strategies traded over the last five trading days on the Hong Kong Exchange. Strategy highlights and volatility context are provided.
These traders tailor structures to risk budgets and take calculated bets. With implied volatility below its median and below realized volatility, all strategies reviewed are long volatility.
Almost 20% of all strategies are Calendar or Diagonal Spreads. Diagonal spreads can even earn premium in the current volatility environment. A live strategy is examined.


Alibaba (9988 HK): Top Trades - Strategies That Stand Out.

Bank Of China Ltd (H) / Equity Derivatives

Bank of China Ltd provides a complete range of banking and other financial services to individual and corporation customers worldwide.  The bank's services include retail banking, Great Wall credit card and debit card services, consumer credit, foreign currency transaction, corporate banking, settlement and clearing,investment banking, and fund management businesses.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-china-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:656:1" rel="noopener">Bank Of China Ltd (H) (3988 HK)</a> /<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24574:1" rel="noopener">Bank of China (601988 CH)</a> is scheduled to report its annual 2024 financial results on 26 March 2025, after market close.</li>
<li>
Expected Price Movement: Option implied movement is above the historically recorded movement.</li>
<li>
Implied Volatility, Options Strategies and Dividends: Discussion of implied volatility term structure and option strategies. Dividends are now semi-annual.</li>
</ul>



Bank Of China Ltd (H) (3988 HK) /Bank of China (601988 CH) is scheduled to report its annual 2024 financial results on 26 March 2025, after market close.

Expected Price Movement: Option implied movement is above the historically recorded movement.

Implied Volatility, Options Strategies and Dividends: Discussion of implied volatility term structure and option strategies. Dividends are now semi-annual.


Bank Of China (3988 HK/601988 CH) Earnings on 26/3: Anticipated Price Movements and Options Insights

Financial Economist with over 20 years of investment experience across all asset classes. He has worked as a sell-side derivatives researcher and trader on one of London’s largest trading floors, and as a structurer and portfolio manager for the buy-side in Switzerland. As head of Quantitative Strategy at an Asian WealthTech company, Gaudi and his team designed over 50 distinct investment strategies for institutional clients in Australasia.

Gaudi’s analysis follows a scientific approach based on empirical research and quantitative evidence.

Gaudenz Schneider
Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Market Movers: Key Dates at a Glance (31 March- 6 April)

RBA expected to keep rates steady, Nikkei 225 rebalancing in Japan, India shifting its option expiration day, Exchange Holidays in India and...

Gaudenz Schneider

ICBC (1398 HK) Earnings on 28 Mar: Anticipated Price Move and Strategy

ICBC to report 2024 financial results on 28 March 2025, with expected price movement similar to a typical trading day. Investment decisions might...

Gaudenz Schneider

China Construction Bank (939 HK/601939 CH) Earnings on 28 Mar: Anticipated Price Move and Strategy

China Construction Bank to report 2024 financial results on 28 March 2025, with muted price movement expected post-earnings and a history of...

Gaudenz Schneider

Alibaba (9988 HK): Top Trades - Strategies That Stand Out.

Analysis of Alibaba's multi-leg option strategies on the HK Exchange shows traders taking calculated bets with long volatility strategies,...

Gaudenz Schneider

Bank Of China (3988 HK/601988 CH) Earnings on 26/3: Anticipated Price Movements and Options Insights

Bank of China Ltd set to report 2024 financial results on March 26, with option implied movement higher than historical levels. Discussion on...

Gaudenz Schneider

Market Movers: Key Dates at a Glance (31 March- 6 April)

​RBA expected to keep rates steady, Nikkei 225 rebalancing in Japan, India shifting its option expiration day, Exchange Holidays in India and...

Gaudenz Schneider

ICBC (1398 HK) Earnings on 28 Mar: Anticipated Price Move and Strategy

​ICBC to report 2024 financial results on 28 March 2025, with expected price movement similar to a typical trading day. Investment decisions might...

Gaudenz Schneider

China Construction Bank (939 HK/601939 CH) Earnings on 28 Mar: Anticipated Price Move and Strategy

​China Construction Bank to report 2024 financial results on 28 March 2025, with muted price movement expected post-earnings and a history of...

Gaudenz Schneider

Alibaba (9988 HK): Top Trades - Strategies That Stand Out.

​Analysis of Alibaba's multi-leg option strategies on the HK Exchange shows traders taking calculated bets with long volatility strategies,...

Gaudenz Schneider

Bank Of China (3988 HK/601988 CH) Earnings on 26/3: Anticipated Price Movements and Options Insights

​Bank of China Ltd set to report 2024 financial results on March 26, with option implied movement higher than historical levels. Discussion on...

Gaudenz Schneider

RBA expected to keep rates steady, Nikkei 225 rebalancing in Japan, India shifting its option expiration day, Exchange Holidays in India and...

ICBC to report 2024 financial results on 28 March 2025, with expected price movement similar to a typical trading day. Investment decisions might...

China Construction Bank to report 2024 financial results on 28 March 2025, with muted price movement expected post-earnings and a history of...

Analysis of Alibaba's multi-leg option strategies on the HK Exchange shows traders taking calculated bets with long volatility strategies,...

Bank of China Ltd set to report 2024 financial results on March 26, with option implied movement higher than historical levels. Discussion on...