Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Health and Happiness H&H International Holdings Ltd provides health care supplements. The Company offers pediatric nutritional and baby care products. Health and Happiness H&H International Holdings serves nutrition and wellness industries worldwide.

<ul>
<li>Health and Happiness' (H&amp;H) proposed tender offer and new notes issuance will extend its debt maturity profile and alleviate debt repayment pressure in FY 2026.</li>
<li>In our view, the high tender offer price of 109.8 is to incentivise bondholders to tender and subscribe to the new notes.</li>
<li>We see fair value for the proposed notes at c. 8%.</li>
</ul>


Health and Happiness' (H&amp;H) proposed tender offer and new notes issuance will extend its debt maturity profile and alleviate debt repayment pressure in FY 2026.
In our view, the high tender offer price of 109.8 is to incentivise bondholders to tender and subscribe to the new notes.
We see fair value for the proposed notes at c. 8%.


Health And Happiness - Event Flash - Launches Tender Offer And Concurrent Notes Issuance

Trung Nguyen

China Hongqiao Group Ltd. manufactures aluminum products. The Company's aluminum products consist of molten aluminum alloy, aluminum alloy ingots and aluminum busbars.

<ul>
<li>This morning, China Hongqiao held a roadshow to market USD benchmark-sized three-year RegS bonds.</li>
<li>The expected issuance size is USD 300-400 mn (capped at USD 400 mn).</li>
<li>The order book is reported at USD 2 bn (including USD 395 mn interest from the 15 joint global coordinators).</li>
</ul>


This morning, China Hongqiao held a roadshow to market USD benchmark-sized three-year RegS bonds.
The expected issuance size is USD 300-400 mn (capped at USD 400 mn).
The order book is reported at USD 2 bn (including USD 395 mn interest from the 15 joint global coordinators).


China Hongqiao - Event Flash - Roadshowing USD 3Y Regs Notes - Lucror Analytics

Tanvi Arora

Adani Green Energy Limited operates as a producer of renewable energy. The Company builds, owns, and operates power plants for solar and wind energy. Adani Green Energy serves customers worldwide.


<ul>
<li>The US indictment of key executives is a material credit negative for the Adani Group, with the allegations being more serious than those from Hindenburg Research’s short-sell report in January 2023.</li>
<li>In the near term, the US indictment is likely to constrain the group’s access to financing, particularly in the offshore market.</li>
<li>We note that the Justice Department's charges are directed at the individual executives, not at Adani Green Energy or other group entities.</li>
</ul>


The US indictment of key executives is a material credit negative for the Adani Group, with the allegations being more serious than those from Hindenburg Research’s short-sell report in January 2023.
In the near term, the US indictment is likely to constrain the group’s access to financing, particularly in the offshore market.
We note that the Justice Department's charges are directed at the individual executives, not at Adani Green Energy or other group entities.


Adani Green Energy - Event Flash - US Charges Gautam Adani And 2 AGEL Executives

Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone / Credit

Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone operates a shipping port on the west coast of India.  The Company's port provides services for bulk and container cargo, crude oil, and railway and other added services.

Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone (ADSEZ IN)

Adani Ports - Event Flash - US Charges Gautam Adani And 2 AGEL Executives - Lucror Analytics

Vedanta Resources Limited operates as a diversified natural resource company. The Company extracts and process zinc, lead, aluminum, iron ore, copper, and silver, as well as focuses on oil and natural gas. Vedanta Resources serves clients worldwide.

Vedanta Resources (VRL) has launched a roadshow to market its USD 144A/RegS benchmark-sized notes (likely to be 5NC2 or mainly 5NC2, and/or 7NC3), with a potential total size of USD 1.5 bn. The proceeds will be used to refinance the USD 13.875% 2027 notes (USD 470 mn outstanding) and USD 13.875% 2028 notes (USD 1,008 mn outstanding). VRL has sent a conditional redemption notice to trustees of the 2027 notes and 2028 notes, assuming the proposed notes issuance is successful.​ VRL has concurrently launched a tender offer for the 2027 and 2028 notes.  We expect the proposed 5NC2 notes to price at c. 10%, and the 7NC3 notes at c. 11%.

  Vedanta Resources (VRL) has launched a roadshow to market its USD 144A/RegS benchmark-sized notes (likely to be 5NC2 or mainly 5NC2, and/or 7NC3), with a potential total size of USD 1.5 bn. The proceeds will be used to refinance the USD 13.875% 2027 notes (USD 470 mn outstanding) and USD 13.875% 2028 notes (USD 1,008 mn outstanding). VRL has sent a conditional redemption notice to trustees of the 2027 notes and 2028 notes, assuming the proposed notes issuance is successful.​ VRL has concurrently launched a tender offer for the 2027 and 2028 notes.    We expect the proposed 5NC2 notes to price at c. 10%, and the 7NC3 notes at c. 11%. 

Vedanta Resources - Event Flash - 5NC2/7NC3 Notes Offering - Lucror Analytics

Credit Events
Track catalysts impacting credits

Health And Happiness - Event Flash - Launches Tender Offer And Concurrent Notes Issuance

Health and Happiness' (H&H) proposed tender offer and new notes issuance will extend its debt maturity profile and alleviate debt repayment...

Lucror Analytics

China Hongqiao - Event Flash - Roadshowing USD 3Y Regs Notes - Lucror Analytics

This morning, China Hongqiao held a roadshow to market USD benchmark-sized three-year RegS bonds. The expected issuance size is USD 300-400 mn...

Lucror Analytics

Adani Green Energy - Event Flash - US Charges Gautam Adani And 2 AGEL Executives

The US indictment of key executives is a material credit negative for the Adani Group, with the allegations being more serious than those from...

Lucror Analytics

Adani Ports - Event Flash - US Charges Gautam Adani And 2 AGEL Executives - Lucror Analytics

The US indictment of key executives is a material credit negative for the Adani Group, with the allegations being more serious than those from...

Lucror Analytics

Vedanta Resources - Event Flash - 5NC2/7NC3 Notes Offering - Lucror Analytics

Vedanta Resources (VRL) has launched a roadshow to market its USD 144A/RegS benchmark-sized notes (likely to be 5NC2 or mainly 5NC2, and/or...

Lucror Analytics