US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, Ortex

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

Ortex

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Event-Driven

AppLovin Corporation provides software solutions. The Company offers an end-to-end software that optimizes monetization, and uses machine learning to make data-driven marketing decisions for profitable growth. AppLovin serves clients worldwide.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applovin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32989:1" rel="noopener">AppLovin (APP US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apollo-global-management-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28770:1" rel="noopener">Apollo Global Management (APO US)</a> are the main candidates for addition by transition as they are passing the estimated transition threshold and have strong eligibility metrics.  </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/texas-pacific-land-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28693:1" rel="noopener">Texas Pacific Land (TPL US)</a> is the main candidate for addition by migration - despite failing eligibility - due to its significant distance above the minimum S&amp;P500 mcap threshold. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emcor-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20703:1" rel="noopener">Emcor Group (EME US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lennox-international-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16420:1" rel="noopener">Lennox International (LII US)</a> are the next candidates for addition by migration with both passing eligibility and adequate distance above the mcap threshold. </li>
</ul>



AppLovin (APP US) and Apollo Global Management (APO US) are the main candidates for addition by transition as they are passing the estimated transition threshold and have strong eligibility metrics.  

Texas Pacific Land (TPL US) is the main candidate for addition by migration - despite failing eligibility - due to its significant distance above the minimum S&amp;P500 mcap threshold. 

Emcor Group (EME US) and Lennox International (LII US) are the next candidates for addition by migration with both passing eligibility and adequate distance above the mcap threshold. 


S&P500 December 2024 Forecasts: APP, APO and TPL Leading the Pack

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Tuya Inc., doing business as Tuya Smart, provides IoT cloud platform. The Company offers solutions which enables brands, retailers, OEMs, and manufacturers to develop, launch, manage, and monetize software-enabled devices and services. Tuya Smart serves customers worldwide.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tuya-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32158:1" rel="noopener">Tuya Inc (TUYA US/2391 HK)</a>, a leading IoT cloud platform in China, was listed on the 18th March 2021 at <a href="https://ir.tuya.com/news/news-details/2021/Tuya-Inc.-Announces-Pricing-of-Initial-Public-Offering-3804b1542/default.aspx#:~:text=(%22Tuya%22%20or%20the%20%22,allotment%20option%20for%20underwriters%20to" target="_blank" rel="noopener">US$21.00/ADS</a>. The share price is currently down 92.5%. </li>
<li>Tuya subsequently established a primary dual-listing in Hong Kong on the 5th July 2022, priced at <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2022/0627/2022062701451.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">HK$19.30/share</a>. Those shares are down ~23% </li>
<li>Temasek-Backed 65 Equity Partners has now acquired a 13% stake (equivalent to ~6.2% of the voting rights) in Tuya, with a view to establishing a secondary listing on the SGX.</li>
</ul>



Tuya Inc (TUYA US/2391 HK), a leading IoT cloud platform in China, was listed on the 18th March 2021 at US$21.00/ADS. The share price is currently down 92.5%. 
Tuya subsequently established a primary dual-listing in Hong Kong on the 5th July 2022, priced at HK$19.30/share. Those shares are down ~23% 
Temasek-Backed 65 Equity Partners has now acquired a 13% stake (equivalent to ~6.2% of the voting rights) in Tuya, with a view to establishing a secondary listing on the SGX.


Tuya Inc (TUYA US/2391 HK): Third Listing A Charm? Not So Fast ...

Travis Lundy

Apollo Global Management, Inc. operates as an alternative investment management company. The Company focuses on investing in yield, hybrid, and equity markets to generate retirement and investment income for clients. Apollo Global Management serves businesses and individuals worldwide.

<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect two regular changes in December 2024. There are also several live spin-off and M&amp;A events which could trigger intra-review index changes in late-2024/early-2025.</li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.
In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the December 2024 index rebal event.
We expect two regular changes in December 2024. There are also several live spin-off and M&amp;A events which could trigger intra-review index changes in late-2024/early-2025.


Quiddity Leaderboard S&P 500 Dec 24: APP, APO, and TPL May Be ADDs, Watch SP600 DELs

Berry Global Group Inc. manufactures plastic products and containers. The Company produces agricultural film, moisture control products for buildings, closures, disposable cutlery, drop cloths, flexible packaging, overcaps, tapes, tubes, bottles, drink cups, lids, and trash bags. Berry Plastics markets its products worldwide.

<ul>
<li>Packing giants <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amcor-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:674:1" rel="noopener">Amcor Limited (AMCR US/AMC AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berry-global-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9428:1" rel="noopener">Berry Global Group (BERY US)</a> announced they will combine in an all-stock transaction, with a ~63%/37% ownership split (respectively) in the MergeCo.</li>
<li>Amcor will issue 7.25 Amcor shares for each Berry share, for a US$73.59/share implied price. US$650mn of benefits from identified cost, growth and financial synergies by end of third year.</li>
<li>Closing, subject to shareholder and reg approvals, is targeted in the middle of 2025. The transaction has been unanimously approved by the boards of both Amcor and Berry.</li>
</ul>


Packing giants Amcor Limited (AMCR US/AMC AU) and Berry Global Group (BERY US) announced they will combine in an all-stock transaction, with a ~63%/37% ownership split (respectively) in the MergeCo.
Amcor will issue 7.25 Amcor shares for each Berry share, for a US$73.59/share implied price. US$650mn of benefits from identified cost, growth and financial synergies by end of third year.
Closing, subject to shareholder and reg approvals, is targeted in the middle of 2025. The transaction has been unanimously approved by the boards of both Amcor and Berry.


Event-Driven Investment Opportunities, Special Situation Investments

Dalius Tauraitis

Event-Driven Investment Opportunities

Special Situation Investments

Focus on event-driven trades and low risk arbitrage opportunities with short term catalysts

Galaxy Gaming, Inc. develops casino table games, electronic table games, and wagering systems.  The Company markets its games in North America and to cruise ships.

<ul><li>Galaxy Gaming is being acquired by Evolution AB for $3.20/share, with a 17% spread and minimal regulatory hurdles.</li><li>OCI N.V. plans a $1bn capital return in H1 2025, equating to 40% of its market cap.</li><li>Benson Hill's buyout spread widened to 60% due to liquidity issues and ongoing buyout negotiations nearing completion.</li></ul>

Galaxy Gaming is being acquired by Evolution AB for $3.20/share, with a 17% spread and minimal regulatory hurdles.OCI N.V. plans a $1bn capital return in H1 2025, equating to 40% of its market cap.Benson Hill's buyout spread widened to 60% due to liquidity issues and ongoing buyout negotiations nearing completion.

SSI Weekly: Galaxy Gaming Acquisition and Other Portfolio Updates

US Event-Driven
US event-driven, risk-arb & special-sits

S&P500 December 2024 Forecasts: APP, APO and TPL Leading the Pack

Texas Pacific Land (TPL) - the top migration candidate - has been announced as an addition to S&P500 prior to the quarterly review as it is...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Tuya Inc (TUYA US/2391 HK): Third Listing A Charm? Not So Fast ...

This Temasek-led development will have a marginal impact on Tuya. And Temasek-held vehicles on the SGX are already aplenty. Unless you have strong...

David Blennerhassett

Quiddity Leaderboard S&P 500 Dec 24: APP, APO, and TPL May Be ADDs, Watch SP600 DELs

The S&P500/400/600 Dec24 review will be announced in just over 10 days. There is an intra-review change in SP600 first, and perhaps a few more in...

Travis Lundy

Amcor Ltd/Berry Global: Packing Them In

This looks done. IF you can take down borrow cheaply on Amcor, look to set up a long/short here. Bear in mind the divvies from both sides.

David Blennerhassett

SSI Weekly: Galaxy Gaming Acquisition and Other Portfolio Updates

Galaxy Gaming is being acquired by Evolution AB for $3.20/share, with a 17% spread and minimal regulatory hurdles. Other updates follow.

Special Situation Investments