Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Private Capital Markets

Revolut Limited / Private Capital Markets

Revolut Limited designs and develops application software. The Company offers money transfers, vaults, budgeting, cryptocurrency, mobile phone, and medical insurance. Revolut serves customers in the United Kingdom.

<ul>
<li>Management is targeting a USD40bn IPO valuation for Revolut; the last funding round in 2021 valued it at USD33bn, but current year investor valuations have ranged from USD19.9bn to USD25.7bn</li>
<li>We provide key fintech and bank ratios for the UK digital banks; Revolut is more an FX paytech with a small loan book; Starling is a more “balanced” digital bank</li>
<li>Relative to its UK unlisted peers and select listed digital peers, Revolut’s target IPO valuation does appear to be rich; it is also still seeking a UK bank licence</li>
</ul>


Management is targeting a USD40bn IPO valuation for Revolut; the last funding round in 2021 valued it at USD33bn, but current year investor valuations have ranged from USD19.9bn to USD25.7bn
We provide key fintech and bank ratios for the UK digital banks; Revolut is more an FX paytech with a small loan book; Starling is a more “balanced” digital bank
Relative to its UK unlisted peers and select listed digital peers, Revolut’s target IPO valuation does appear to be rich; it is also still seeking a UK bank licence


Revolut IPO Prospects – Rich Target Valuation Relative to Digital Bank Peers

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Equity Bottom-Up

Mercari, Inc. operates as an electronic commercial company. The Company offers electronic commercial software, operation management, marketing planning, and other marketplace services. Mercari serves customers worldwide.

<ul>
<li>Mercari's US operations, responsible for major losses, saw a workforce reduction by 45%, potentially preceding a market exit to improve overall margins.</li>
<li>Fintech growth is strong, with Mercari issuing over 3 million credit cards, achieving a 67% YoY credit balance increase, despite current operational losses</li>
<li>Mercari Hallo, an on-demand work platform, has rapidly gained users and business partners, positioning it to capitalize on Japan's growing gig economy.</li>
</ul>


Mercari's US operations, responsible for major losses, saw a workforce reduction by 45%, potentially preceding a market exit to improve overall margins.
Fintech growth is strong, with Mercari issuing over 3 million credit cards, achieving a 67% YoY credit balance increase, despite current operational losses
Mercari Hallo, an on-demand work platform, has rapidly gained users and business partners, positioning it to capitalize on Japan's growing gig economy.


Mercari (4385) | Fintech and Gig Economy as Key Catalysts

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>ONDC to Integrate Banks and Fintechs to Expand Credit Services</li>
<li>SEBI Reduces Corporate Bond Face Value to Boost Retail Participation</li>
<li>Vedanta's Q1 FY25 sees mixed results; aluminium and iron ore output rise</li>
</ul>


ONDC to Integrate Banks and Fintechs to Expand Credit Services
SEBI Reduces Corporate Bond Face Value to Boost Retail Participation
Vedanta's Q1 FY25 sees mixed results; aluminium and iron ore output rise


#24 India Insight: ONDC to Integrate Banks, Corporate Bond Value Decreased, Indiabulls Name Change

<ul>
<li>India's fintech startups to dominate future unicorns, contributing $11.4 billion value</li>
<li>Electronics manufacturing sector projected to hit $500 billion valuation by 2030</li>
<li>Tata Steel might expedite furnace closures amid strike and job cut disputes</li>
</ul>


India's fintech startups to dominate future unicorns, contributing $11.4 billion value
Electronics manufacturing sector projected to hit $500 billion valuation by 2030
Tata Steel might expedite furnace closures amid strike and job cut disputes


#17 India Insight: Fintech Dominance, Electronics Boom, Tata Steel Challenge

Event-Driven

Rakuten Bank, Ltd. operates as an Internet based bank. The Company provides banking services including deposits, loans, exchange transactions, and other services. Rakuten Bank also provides financial services including investment trusts, securities, credit and cash cards, lottery tickets, and others.

<ul>
<li>Rakuten Bank, in its present form, is positioned to benefit from rising interest rates in Japan, with its low LDR, high cash balances, growing loan book and healthy capital ratio</li>
<li>The proposed FinTech reorganization of the group around the bank should drive further potential shareholder benefits; higher ROE, lower customer acquisition costs, increased active account penetration and lower operating costs</li>
<li>We believe that there will be effective governance checks and balances in place to ensure fair valuations of the FinTech segments pre-reorganization; we include our base valuations in this report</li>
</ul>


Rakuten Bank, in its present form, is positioned to benefit from rising interest rates in Japan, with its low LDR, high cash balances, growing loan book and healthy capital ratio
The proposed FinTech reorganization of the group around the bank should drive further potential shareholder benefits; higher ROE, lower customer acquisition costs, increased active account penetration and lower operating costs
We believe that there will be effective governance checks and balances in place to ensure fair valuations of the FinTech segments pre-reorganization; we include our base valuations in this report


Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) – The Bank in Current Form and the Promise of FinTech Reorganization

Payments, e-wallets, digital banks, DLT and more

Fintech
Payments, e-wallets, digital banks, DLT and more

Revolut IPO Prospects – Rich Target Valuation Relative to Digital Bank Peers

Revolut targets a USD40bn IPO valuation, but recent investor valuations range from USD19.9bn to USD25.7bn; compared to a broad peer group,...

Victor Galliano

Mercari (4385) | Fintech and Gig Economy as Key Catalysts

Mercari's US operations cut workforce by 45% to improve margins, while fintech growth remains strong and Mercari Hallo gains traction in Japan's...

Mark Chadwick

#24 India Insight: ONDC to Integrate Banks, Corporate Bond Value Decreased, Indiabulls Name Change

ONDC bridges banks and fintechs for wider credit; SEBI lowers bond face value to attract retail investors; Vedanta's Q1 FY25 shows varied results,...

Sudarshan Bhandari

#17 India Insight: Fintech Dominance, Electronics Boom, Tata Steel Challenge

India's fintech startups and electronics manufacturing sector are poised for significant growth, while Tata Steel faces challenges with potential...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) – The Bank in Current Form and the Promise of FinTech Reorganization

Rakuten Bank is set to benefit from rising interest rates in Japan, with potential shareholder benefits from proposed FinTech reorganization; we...

Victor Galliano

Revolut IPO Prospects – Rich Target Valuation Relative to Digital Bank Peers

​Revolut targets a USD40bn IPO valuation, but recent investor valuations range from USD19.9bn to USD25.7bn; compared to a broad peer group,...

Victor Galliano

Mercari (4385) | Fintech and Gig Economy as Key Catalysts

​Mercari's US operations cut workforce by 45% to improve margins, while fintech growth remains strong and Mercari Hallo gains traction in Japan's...

Mark Chadwick

#24 India Insight: ONDC to Integrate Banks, Corporate Bond Value Decreased, Indiabulls Name Change

ONDC bridges banks and fintechs for wider credit; SEBI lowers bond face value to attract retail investors; Vedanta's Q1 FY25 shows varied results,...

Sudarshan Bhandari

#17 India Insight: Fintech Dominance, Electronics Boom, Tata Steel Challenge

​India's fintech startups and electronics manufacturing sector are poised for significant growth, while Tata Steel faces challenges with potential...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) – The Bank in Current Form and the Promise of FinTech Reorganization

​Rakuten Bank is set to benefit from rising interest rates in Japan, with potential shareholder benefits from proposed FinTech reorganization; we...

Victor Galliano

Revolut targets a USD40bn IPO valuation, but recent investor valuations range from USD19.9bn to USD25.7bn; compared to a broad peer group,...

Mercari's US operations cut workforce by 45% to improve margins, while fintech growth remains strong and Mercari Hallo gains traction in Japan's...

India's fintech startups and electronics manufacturing sector are poised for significant growth, while Tata Steel faces challenges with potential...

Rakuten Bank is set to benefit from rising interest rates in Japan, with potential shareholder benefits from proposed FinTech reorganization; we...