Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

<ul>
<li>2025 could be thorny for Asian equities. The main themes - "Trump turmoil", a slower Fed and a "stronger for longer" Dollar and continued AI boom - have mixed implications.</li>
<li>China's policy articulation to support consumption departing from earlier supply-side measures, would be an important investment driver. India, though expensive, has a few "unloved" sectors that investors should focus on.</li>
<li>Based on our five investment themes, we identify five high quality liquid top picks in Asia - two listed in Hong Kong and one each in Taiwan, India and Korea. </li>
</ul>


2025 could be thorny for Asian equities. The main themes - "Trump turmoil", a slower Fed and a "stronger for longer" Dollar and continued AI boom - have mixed implications.
China's policy articulation to support consumption departing from earlier supply-side measures, would be an important investment driver. India, though expensive, has a few "unloved" sectors that investors should focus on.
Based on our five investment themes, we identify five high quality liquid top picks in Asia - two listed in Hong Kong and one each in Taiwan, India and Korea. 


Asian Equities: 2025 High Conviction – Five Themes, Five Top Picks

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Wistron Corporation manufactures and markets notebook computers, personal computers, and other related information products.

<ul><li>China leads the battery materials market as South Korea's Posco considers exiting, while Lotte gears up for mass production of LFP batteries.</li><li>Rapidus focuses on installing EUV equipment for multiple units deployment amidst industry challenges, while Micron sees record data center sales but misses guidance targets.</li><li>Nvidia eyes Taiwan for humanoid robot assembly, Japan enters 2nm chip race alongside Samsung, Intel, and TSMC amid supply chain obstacles.</li></ul>

China leads the battery materials market as South Korea's Posco considers exiting, while Lotte gears up for mass production of LFP batteries.Rapidus focuses on installing EUV equipment for multiple units deployment amidst industry challenges, while Micron sees record data center sales but misses guidance targets.Nvidia eyes Taiwan for humanoid robot assembly, Japan enters 2nm chip race alongside Samsung, Intel, and TSMC amid supply chain obstacles.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Dec-2024): China leads battery materials, Posco Future M exits, Lotte eyes LFP production.

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alphabet-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33361:1" rel="noopener">Alphabet (GOOGL US)</a> Pixel 10 will use the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mediatek-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:772:1" rel="noopener">Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)</a> T9000 modem.  </li>
<li>The shipment quantity to the smartphone market is small, and we see this as a small triumph for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mediatek-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:772:1" rel="noopener">Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)</a>.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> is facing a 3nm process issue and lacks the capacity to support its own smartphone CPU Exynos 2400.</li>
</ul>



Alphabet (GOOGL US) Pixel 10 will use the Mediatek Inc (2454 TT) T9000 modem.  
The shipment quantity to the smartphone market is small, and we see this as a small triumph for Mediatek Inc (2454 TT).

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) is facing a 3nm process issue and lacks the capacity to support its own smartphone CPU Exynos 2400.


MediaTek (2454.TT): Google Pixel 10 Will Use MediaTek's Modem

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Phison Electronics Corp. manufactures and markets USB (Universal Serial Bus) flash pen drives, card readers, adapters, flash memory controllers, and integrated circuits (ICs).

<ul>
<li>There are 8 changes a side for the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index in December. The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919TW) has an AUM of US$9.3bn.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 17.2% and that will result in a round-trip trade of US$3.2bn. All adds and deletes have over 5x ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>The rebalance will be implemented over 8 trading days and the ETF started trading some stocks late last week and the rest from 17 December.</li>
</ul>


There are 8 changes a side for the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index in December. The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919TW) has an AUM of US$9.3bn.
Estimated one-way turnover is 17.2% and that will result in a round-trip trade of US$3.2bn. All adds and deletes have over 5x ADV to trade from passive trackers.
The rebalance will be implemented over 8 trading days and the ETF started trading some stocks late last week and the rest from 17 December.


TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: US$3.2bn Trade with BIG Impact

Founder, CEO, GSBR Research

Garvit Bhandari

Founder, CEO

Leading Provider of Equity and Investment Research

GSBR Research

We are an independent equity research provider focused on covering global markets. The aim of the research is to provide an unbiased view of the fundamentals of the company.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

<ul>
<li>TSM is upbeat on the AI demand and remains confident that the cycle has just begun with long a runway for growth ahead.</li>
<li>TSM's primary competitors, Intel and Samsung Electronics, are currently facing challenges within their foundry operations, placing TSM in a favorable position to expand its market share</li>
<li>The Company anticipates a strong closing for FY:24 and has guided for nearly 35% YOY revenue growth in Q4 2024. We believe the momentum will continue in 2024E-2026E.</li>
</ul>


TSM is upbeat on the AI demand and remains confident that the cycle has just begun with long a runway for growth ahead.
TSM's primary competitors, Intel and Samsung Electronics, are currently facing challenges within their foundry operations, placing TSM in a favorable position to expand its market share
The Company anticipates a strong closing for FY:24 and has guided for nearly 35% YOY revenue growth in Q4 2024. We believe the momentum will continue in 2024E-2026E.


2025 High Conviction - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (NYSE: TSM, TPE: 2330)

Taiwan Tech
Insights on Taiwan Tech Stocks

Asian Equities: 2025 High Conviction – Five Themes, Five Top Picks

2025 may be tricky for Asian equity with "Trump turmoil", slower Fed, strong Dollar. AI boom would help. Ditto China's consumption focus & India's...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Dec-2024): China leads battery materials, Posco Future M exits, Lotte eyes LFP production.

China leads battery materials market, Posco Future M may exit, Lotte to mass produce LFP batteries, Rapidus adopts EUV, Micron posts record sales...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

MediaTek (2454.TT): Google Pixel 10 Will Use MediaTek's Modem

Alphabet's Pixel 10 to use Mediatek T9000 modem, a small win for Mediatek. Samsung faces 3nm process issue for Exynos 2400 CPU.

Patrick Liao

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: US$3.2bn Trade with BIG Impact

There are 8 changes for the index. Estimated one-way turnover is 17.2% and round-trip trade is US$3.2bn. All add/deletes have over 5x ADV to trade...

Brian Freitas

2025 High Conviction - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (NYSE: TSM, TPE: 2330)

TSM is well positioned to ride the AI tailwind as competitors face challenges. Strong revenue growth expected for Q4 2024 and beyond.

GSBR Research

Asian Equities: 2025 High Conviction – Five Themes, Five Top Picks

​2025 may be tricky for Asian equity with "Trump turmoil", slower Fed, strong Dollar. AI boom would help. Ditto China's consumption focus & India's...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Dec-2024): China leads battery materials, Posco Future M exits, Lotte eyes LFP production.

China leads battery materials market, Posco Future M may exit, Lotte to mass produce LFP batteries, Rapidus adopts EUV, Micron posts record sales...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

MediaTek (2454.TT): Google Pixel 10 Will Use MediaTek's Modem

​Alphabet's Pixel 10 to use Mediatek T9000 modem, a small win for Mediatek. Samsung faces 3nm process issue for Exynos 2400 CPU.

Patrick Liao

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: US$3.2bn Trade with BIG Impact

There are 8 changes for the index. Estimated one-way turnover is 17.2% and round-trip trade is US$3.2bn. All add/deletes have over 5x ADV to trade...

Brian Freitas

2025 High Conviction - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (NYSE: TSM, TPE: 2330)

​TSM is well positioned to ride the AI tailwind as competitors face challenges. Strong revenue growth expected for Q4 2024 and beyond.

GSBR Research

2025 may be tricky for Asian equity with "Trump turmoil", slower Fed, strong Dollar. AI boom would help. Ditto China's consumption focus & India's...

Alphabet's Pixel 10 to use Mediatek T9000 modem, a small win for Mediatek. Samsung faces 3nm process issue for Exynos 2400 CPU.

TSM is well positioned to ride the AI tailwind as competitors face challenges. Strong revenue growth expected for Q4 2024 and beyond.