Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets, At Any Rate

At Any Rate

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets

Analysts from J.P. Morgan’s Research team take a closer look at the stories behind some of the biggest trends, themes and developments in markets today.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>The discussion focused on the importance of politics over economics for emerging markets in 2025, with a specific emphasis on fiscal trajectories.</li><li>Lessons learned include the need to expand imagination of possible scenarios, the impact of specific country situations on returns, and the caution against following consensus trades.</li><li>Market outlook for early 2025 is expected to be choppy and driven by policy announcements, with a key event being the US Inauguration Day on January 20th leading to potential market adjustments.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

The discussion focused on the importance of politics over economics for emerging markets in 2025, with a specific emphasis on fiscal trajectories.Lessons learned include the need to expand imagination of possible scenarios, the impact of specific country situations on returns, and the caution against following consensus trades.Market outlook for early 2025 is expected to be choppy and driven by policy announcements, with a key event being the US Inauguration Day on January 20th leading to potential market adjustments.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

EM Fixed Income: 'Tis the Season for Volatility

Commodities

Crude oil is a naturally occurring, unrefined petroleum product composed of hydrocarbon deposits and other organic materials. Crude oil can be refined to produce usable products such as gasoline, diesel and various forms of petrochemicals. It is a nonrenewable resource, also known as a fossil fuel, which means that it can't be replaced naturally at the rate we consume it and is therefore a limited resource.

<ul><li>Wall Street sell-side analysts discuss feedback and questions policies regarding oil price divergence in 2025</li><li>Consensus view among analysts suggests bearish sentiment in equity energy investors compared to forecasts</li><li>Market projections indicate potential tighter global oil balances and reduced likelihood of disorderly price collapse following OPEC meeting in early December 2024.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Wall Street sell-side analysts discuss feedback and questions policies regarding oil price divergence in 2025Consensus view among analysts suggests bearish sentiment in equity energy investors compared to forecastsMarket projections indicate potential tighter global oil balances and reduced likelihood of disorderly price collapse following OPEC meeting in early December 2024.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Event-Driven

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

<ul>
<li>Communication Services had 39% of single stock option volumes vs only 22% of the open interest highlighting short expiry / speculative nature of trading.</li>
<li>Tencent and Baidu heading in opposite directions – Baidu vol on the inexpensive side vs Tencent vol.</li>
<li>Xiaomi one of only 2 optionable names trading at 52-week high (Sunny optical being the other).</li>
</ul>


Communication Services had 39% of single stock option volumes vs only 22% of the open interest highlighting short expiry / speculative nature of trading.
Tencent and Baidu heading in opposite directions – Baidu vol on the inexpensive side vs Tencent vol.
Xiaomi one of only 2 optionable names trading at 52-week high (Sunny optical being the other).


EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly December 16 – 20

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>India's nuclear power capacity is projected to surge 2.7 times by 2031, reaching 22.3 GW and creating a lucrative investment landscape. </li>
<li>This expansion will unlock opportunities for companies like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-heavy-electricals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:460:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Heavy Electricals (BHEL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/walchandnagar-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9114:1" rel="noopener">Walchandnagar Industries (WI IN)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindustan-construction-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6446:1" rel="noopener">Hindustan Construction Co (HCC IN)</a> in manufacturing, construction, and auxiliary services. </li>
<li>The rollout of 50 Bharat Small Reactors (BSRs) presents a particularly enticing prospect with a projected investment of Rs. 2,00,000 Crore.</li>
</ul>


India's nuclear power capacity is projected to surge 2.7 times by 2031, reaching 22.3 GW and creating a lucrative investment landscape. 
This expansion will unlock opportunities for companies like Bharat Heavy Electricals (BHEL IN), Walchandnagar Industries (WI IN), and Hindustan Construction Co (HCC IN) in manufacturing, construction, and auxiliary services. 
The rollout of 50 Bharat Small Reactors (BSRs) presents a particularly enticing prospect with a projected investment of Rs. 2,00,000 Crore.


Thematic Report: India's Nuclear Power Boom: A 2.7x Growth Story

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

<ul>
<li>Alibaba sells 100% equities in Intime Department Store to Youngor.</li>
<li>Meituan plans to shorten delivery workers’ work hours due to sudden death cases.</li>
<li>Mixue, the lowest price fresh drink provider, began to raise its prices.</li>
</ul>


Alibaba sells 100% equities in Intime Department Store to Youngor.
Meituan plans to shorten delivery workers’ work hours due to sudden death cases.
Mixue, the lowest price fresh drink provider, began to raise its prices.


China Consumption Weekly (16 Dec 2024): Alibaba, Meituan, Mixue, Green Tea

Insights Relevant to South Africa Equity Markets

South Africa Asset Management
Insights Relevant to South Africa Equity Markets

EM Fixed Income: 'Tis the Season for Volatility

The EM Dollar Credit Market is showing divergence, with lessons learned for 2025 emphasizing the importance of politics in emerging markets over...

At Any Rate

Global Commodities: The biggest pushback

Wall Street analysts discuss feedback and question policy on oil prices, with a consensus view for 2025 ranging from $60 to $95 amidst bearish...

At Any Rate

EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly December 16 – 20

Tencent and Baidu showing contrasting price and volatility levels with Baidu implied vol looking relatively inexpensive. Xiaomi stands out as one...

John Ley

Thematic Report: India's Nuclear Power Boom: A 2.7x Growth Story

India's nuclear power capacity set to surge 2.7 times by 2031, creating investment opportunities for companies like BHEL, Walchandnagar & HCC .

Nimish Maheshwari

China Consumption Weekly (16 Dec 2024): Alibaba, Meituan, Mixue, Green Tea

Alibaba sells Intime Department Store to Youngor. Meituan shortens delivery workers’ working hours due to sudden death cases. Mixue, the price...

Ming Lu

EM Fixed Income: 'Tis the Season for Volatility

The EM Dollar Credit Market is showing divergence, with lessons learned for 2025 emphasizing the importance of politics in emerging markets over...

At Any Rate

Global Commodities: The biggest pushback

Wall Street analysts discuss feedback and question policy on oil prices, with a consensus view for 2025 ranging from $60 to $95 amidst bearish...

At Any Rate

EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly December 16 – 20

Tencent and Baidu showing contrasting price and volatility levels with Baidu implied vol looking relatively inexpensive. Xiaomi stands out as one...

John Ley

Thematic Report: India's Nuclear Power Boom: A 2.7x Growth Story

​India's nuclear power capacity set to surge 2.7 times by 2031, creating investment opportunities for companies like BHEL, Walchandnagar & HCC .

Nimish Maheshwari

China Consumption Weekly (16 Dec 2024): Alibaba, Meituan, Mixue, Green Tea

Alibaba sells Intime Department Store to Youngor. Meituan shortens delivery workers’ working hours due to sudden death cases. Mixue, the price...

Ming Lu

India's nuclear power capacity set to surge 2.7 times by 2031, creating investment opportunities for companies like BHEL, Walchandnagar & HCC .