Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets, At Any Rate

At Any Rate

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets

Analysts from J.P. Morgan’s Research team take a closer look at the stories behind some of the biggest trends, themes and developments in markets today.

Commodities

<ul><li>Brent crude has weakened by $10 since early April, with the prompt time spread indicating plentiful supply relative to consumption</li><li>Demand for crude oil for combustive fuels like gasoline and diesel is expected to peak towards the end of the decade, while demand for natural gas liquids used in petrochemical production is set to rise</li><li>Preliminary demand data for April showed signs of improvement, with observable oil inventories increasing, particularly in China, due to lower oil prices prompting stockpiling</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Brent crude has weakened by $10 since early April, with the prompt time spread indicating plentiful supply relative to consumptionDemand for crude oil for combustive fuels like gasoline and diesel is expected to peak towards the end of the decade, while demand for natural gas liquids used in petrochemical production is set to risePreliminary demand data for April showed signs of improvement, with observable oil inventories increasing, particularly in China, due to lower oil prices prompting stockpilingThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global Commodities: Demand for Oil Is Good, Just Not for Crude

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Three 25 bps rate cuts signaled for the remainder of 2024 and 175bps by the end of 2025</li>
<li>Bank of Japan, despite a rate hike  keeps monetary policy extremely accommodative</li>
<li>Reported inflation will return making sector selection in equities key</li>
</ul>


Three 25 bps rate cuts signaled for the remainder of 2024 and 175bps by the end of 2025
Bank of Japan, despite a rate hike  keeps monetary policy extremely accommodative
Reported inflation will return making sector selection in equities key


Federal Reserve Signals “Victory” over Inflation Setting the Stage for the Next Round of Inflation

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

<ul><li>Happy Saturday everyone, and welcome back to our weekly positioning watch, where we dissect how traders and investors are positioning themselves in the current market.</li><li>As with every other rally, retail investors end up blindly following the big players, and long risk might very well be the play to make as flows from ETFs and retail investors continue to lift markets.</li><li>And with that in mind, we have spiced up today’s version, moving away from the CFTC report and instead trying to have a look at what various surveys are telling us about the current market.</li></ul>

Happy Saturday everyone, and welcome back to our weekly positioning watch, where we dissect how traders and investors are positioning themselves in the current market.As with every other rally, retail investors end up blindly following the big players, and long risk might very well be the play to make as flows from ETFs and retail investors continue to lift markets.And with that in mind, we have spiced up today’s version, moving away from the CFTC report and instead trying to have a look at what various surveys are telling us about the current market.

Positioning Watch – The Goldilocks Scenario is Intensifying

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Gold continues to make new highs to little, if any fanfare</li>
<li>Traditional drivers of gold like lower real rates and a weaker dollar yet to come into play</li>
<li>What does this mean for the precious metals mining sector and is it time to buy?</li>
</ul>


Gold continues to make new highs to little, if any fanfare
Traditional drivers of gold like lower real rates and a weaker dollar yet to come into play
What does this mean for the precious metals mining sector and is it time to buy?


What’s the Best-Performing Major Asset Class This Year? Hint-Its Yellow and Shiny!

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>A monthly review of how the markets and our themes are currently performing</li>
<li>Analysing what went wrong and what went right in stocks and sectors</li>
<li>Highlighting positions added or removed from the thematic investment portfolio</li>
</ul>


A monthly review of how the markets and our themes are currently performing
Analysing what went wrong and what went right in stocks and sectors
Highlighting positions added or removed from the thematic investment portfolio


September Themes and Thematic Portfolio Review

United States

Commodity Research Bureau BLS Spot Indices. CRB BLS Spot Indices base: (1967=100)

CRB Commodity Index (CRB CMDT INDEX)

Global Commodities: Demand for Oil Is Good, Just Not for Crude

The decline in Brent crude prices due to weakening spreads and a shift in demand towards petrochemicals and natural gas, accompanied by signs of...

At Any Rate

Federal Reserve Signals “Victory” over Inflation Setting the Stage for the Next Round of Inflation

The Federal Reserve plans to cut rates three times in 2024 and a total of 175bps by end 2025, keeping policy accommodative. BOJ remains loose....

Rikki Malik

Positioning Watch – The Goldilocks Scenario is Intensifying

Happy Saturday everyone, and welcome back to our weekly positioning watch, where we dissect how traders and investors are positioned

Steno Research

What’s the Best-Performing Major Asset Class This Year? Hint-Its Yellow and Shiny!

Gold is reaching new highs without much attention, traditional drivers like low real rates and a weak dollar have not impacted yet. What does this...

Rikki Malik

September Themes and Thematic Portfolio Review

We review overall market performance, our investment themes, highlighting additions and substractions in the thematic portfolio.

Rikki Malik

Global Commodities: Demand for Oil Is Good, Just Not for Crude

The decline in Brent crude prices due to weakening spreads and a shift in demand towards petrochemicals and natural gas, accompanied by signs of...

At Any Rate

Federal Reserve Signals “Victory” over Inflation Setting the Stage for the Next Round of Inflation

The Federal Reserve plans to cut rates three times in 2024 and a total of 175bps by end 2025, keeping policy accommodative. BOJ remains loose....

Rikki Malik

Positioning Watch – The Goldilocks Scenario is Intensifying

Happy Saturday everyone, and welcome back to our weekly positioning watch, where we dissect how traders and investors are positioned

Steno Research

What’s the Best-Performing Major Asset Class This Year? Hint-Its Yellow and Shiny!

​Gold is reaching new highs without much attention, traditional drivers like low real rates and a weak dollar have not impacted yet. What does this...

Rikki Malik

September Themes and Thematic Portfolio Review

We review overall market performance, our investment themes, highlighting additions and substractions in the thematic portfolio.

Rikki Malik

Gold is reaching new highs without much attention, traditional drivers like low real rates and a weak dollar have not impacted yet. What does this...