Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Commodities

Gold is a chemical element with the symbol Au (from Latin: aurum) and the atomic number 79. In its purest form, it is a bright, slightly reddish yellow, dense, soft, malleable and ductile metal. Chemically, gold is a transition metal and a group 11 element. It is one of the least reactive chemical elements, and is solid under standard conditions. The metal therefore occurs often in free elemental (native) form, as nuggets or grains, in rocks, in veins and in alluvial deposits. It occurs in a solid solution series with the native element silver (as electrum) and also naturally alloyed with copper and palladium. Less commonly, it occurs in minerals as gold compounds, often with tellurium (gold tellurides).

<ul><li>Time for your weekly fix of what’s going on at the messy intersection of commodities and geopolitics.</li><li>Energy prices are drifting lower — just as Trump said they would — but I’m not so sure the driver is the one Trump and his team anticipated.</li><li>We’re staring down the barrel of a pretty material manufacturing slump in Q2.</li></ul>

Time for your weekly fix of what’s going on at the messy intersection of commodities and geopolitics.Energy prices are drifting lower — just as Trump said they would — but I’m not so sure the driver is the one Trump and his team anticipated.We’re staring down the barrel of a pretty material manufacturing slump in Q2.

The Drill: A rush for gold amidst a geopolitical circus unfolding

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Morning from Copenhagen!It’s been a remarkable week—and weekend—in policy space.</li><li>On Friday, the White House released a list of exemptions from the reciprocal tariffs (including, for example, semiconductors).</li><li>Then, on Sunday, Trump “tweeted” that no exemptions were made, leaving Howard Lutnick once again to explain what was actually going on.</li></ul>

Morning from Copenhagen!It’s been a remarkable week—and weekend—in policy space.On Friday, the White House released a list of exemptions from the reciprocal tariffs (including, for example, semiconductors).Then, on Sunday, Trump “tweeted” that no exemptions were made, leaving Howard Lutnick once again to explain what was actually going on.

Steno Signals #193 – The USD Reset Is Underway

Copper is a chemical element with symbol Cu (from Latin: cuprum) and atomic number 29. It is a soft, malleable and ductile metal with very high thermal and electrical conductivity. A freshly exposed surface of pure copper has a reddish-orange color. It is used as a conductor of heat and electricity, as a building material and as a constituent of various metal alloys, such as Sterling silver used in jewelry, cupronickel used to make marine hardware and coins and constantan used in strain gauges and thermocouples for temperature measurement.

<ul><li>Greetings from Copenhagen.</li><li>We were just about to wrap up this week’s edition of The Drill when the news hit: tariffs are officially on pause for all trade partners except China.</li><li>So that initial line—“risk sentiment was improving a tad this afternoon as markets likely see the worst headlines and data behind us”—can now be upgraded to markets partying like there’s no tomorrow.</li></ul>

Greetings from Copenhagen.We were just about to wrap up this week’s edition of The Drill when the news hit: tariffs are officially on pause for all trade partners except China.So that initial line—“risk sentiment was improving a tad this afternoon as markets likely see the worst headlines and data behind us”—can now be upgraded to markets partying like there’s no tomorrow.

The Drill – The Commodity Onslaught (Still)

<ul><li>Happy Sunday from Copenhagen, if I am allowed to say that after a horrendous week in markets.</li><li>Markets are heading into a tense week as the U.S.-China trade tensions escalate and Europe appears poised to introduce digital tariffs — likely targeting the Magnificent 7 — in response to Trump’s proposed tariff agenda.</li><li>By late Friday, the U.S. dollar surged sharply, accompanied by early signs of capitulation in traditional safe-haven assets like gold and Treasuries.</li></ul>

Happy Sunday from Copenhagen, if I am allowed to say that after a horrendous week in markets.Markets are heading into a tense week as the U.S.-China trade tensions escalate and Europe appears poised to introduce digital tariffs — likely targeting the Magnificent 7 — in response to Trump’s proposed tariff agenda.By late Friday, the U.S. dollar surged sharply, accompanied by early signs of capitulation in traditional safe-haven assets like gold and Treasuries.

Steno Signals #192 – A March 2020 style reset. Is this a liquidity event?

<ul><li>A wave of growth-negative news has rolled in since the weekend.</li><li>Trump is reportedly furious with Putin and is now considering secondary tariffs on Russian oil—an escalation that would weigh on global growth.</li><li>Meanwhile, there’s no clear path to peace in Ukraine, with Russia holding the cards and continuing to gain ground, adding further geopolitical drag.</li></ul>

A wave of growth-negative news has rolled in since the weekend.Trump is reportedly furious with Putin and is now considering secondary tariffs on Russian oil—an escalation that would weigh on global growth.Meanwhile, there’s no clear path to peace in Ukraine, with Russia holding the cards and continuing to gain ground, adding further geopolitical drag.

Steno Signals #191: Meowing at Robots Ahead of Liberation Day!

Steno Research
Macro and Geopolitical Research House

The Drill: A rush for gold amidst a geopolitical circus unfolding

Time for your weekly fix of what’s going on at the messy intersection of commodities and geopolitics. Energy prices are drifting lower — just as...

Steno Research

Steno Signals #193 – The USD Reset Is Underway

Morning from Copenhagen!It’s been a remarkable week—and weekend—in policy space. On Friday, the White House released a list of exemptions from the...

Steno Research

The Drill – The Commodity Onslaught (Still)

Greetings from Copenhagen. We were just about to wrap up this week’s edition of The Drill when the news hit: tariffs are officially on pause for...

Steno Research

Steno Signals #192 – A March 2020 style reset. Is this a liquidity event?

Happy Sunday from Copenhagen, if I am allowed to say that after a horrendous week in markets. Markets are heading into a tense week as the...

Steno Research

Steno Signals #191: Meowing at Robots Ahead of Liberation Day!

A wave of growth-negative news has rolled in since the weekend. Trump is reportedly furious with Putin and is now considering secondary tariffs on...

Steno Research