Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets, At Any Rate

At Any Rate

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets

Analysts from J.P. Morgan’s Research team take a closer look at the stories behind some of the biggest trends, themes and developments in markets today.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>The discussion focused on the importance of politics over economics for emerging markets in 2025, with a specific emphasis on fiscal trajectories.</li><li>Lessons learned include the need to expand imagination of possible scenarios, the impact of specific country situations on returns, and the caution against following consensus trades.</li><li>Market outlook for early 2025 is expected to be choppy and driven by policy announcements, with a key event being the US Inauguration Day on January 20th leading to potential market adjustments.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

The discussion focused on the importance of politics over economics for emerging markets in 2025, with a specific emphasis on fiscal trajectories.Lessons learned include the need to expand imagination of possible scenarios, the impact of specific country situations on returns, and the caution against following consensus trades.Market outlook for early 2025 is expected to be choppy and driven by policy announcements, with a key event being the US Inauguration Day on January 20th leading to potential market adjustments.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

EM Fixed Income: 'Tis the Season for Volatility

Commodities

Crude oil is a naturally occurring, unrefined petroleum product composed of hydrocarbon deposits and other organic materials. Crude oil can be refined to produce usable products such as gasoline, diesel and various forms of petrochemicals. It is a nonrenewable resource, also known as a fossil fuel, which means that it can't be replaced naturally at the rate we consume it and is therefore a limited resource.

<ul><li>Wall Street sell-side analysts discuss feedback and questions policies regarding oil price divergence in 2025</li><li>Consensus view among analysts suggests bearish sentiment in equity energy investors compared to forecasts</li><li>Market projections indicate potential tighter global oil balances and reduced likelihood of disorderly price collapse following OPEC meeting in early December 2024.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Wall Street sell-side analysts discuss feedback and questions policies regarding oil price divergence in 2025Consensus view among analysts suggests bearish sentiment in equity energy investors compared to forecastsMarket projections indicate potential tighter global oil balances and reduced likelihood of disorderly price collapse following OPEC meeting in early December 2024.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

FX & Rates

The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

<ul>
<li>Federal Reserve and Bank of England both make decisions that are more dovish than expected</li>
<li>Market pricing reflects uncertainty and potential easing in the future</li>
<li>Central banks take steps to ensure smooth funding and liquidity in the markets, including adjustments to repo facilities and addressing debt ceiling issues.</li>
</ul>
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Federal Reserve and Bank of England both make decisions that are more dovish than expected
Market pricing reflects uncertainty and potential easing in the future
Central banks take steps to ensure smooth funding and liquidity in the markets, including adjustments to repo facilities and addressing debt ceiling issues.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global Rates: Hawkish cuts and dovish holds

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Global credit ecosystem remains stable, similar to 2024 outlook</li><li>Tight spreads and low all-in yields support demand in credit markets</li><li>Concerns about non-cash accrual companies in private credit portfolios and potential impact on risk distribution from public to private markets, but overall sentiment remains positive for credit markets.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global credit ecosystem remains stable, similar to 2024 outlookTight spreads and low all-in yields support demand in credit marketsConcerns about non-cash accrual companies in private credit portfolios and potential impact on risk distribution from public to private markets, but overall sentiment remains positive for credit markets.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Speadbites: Food for Credit Market Thought as We Head Into the Holidays

Gold is a chemical element with the symbol Au (from Latin: aurum) and the atomic number 79. In its purest form, it is a bright, slightly reddish yellow, dense, soft, malleable and ductile metal. Chemically, gold is a transition metal and a group 11 element. It is one of the least reactive chemical elements, and is solid under standard conditions. The metal therefore occurs often in free elemental (native) form, as nuggets or grains, in rocks, in veins and in alluvial deposits. It occurs in a solid solution series with the native element silver (as electrum) and also naturally alloyed with copper and palladium. Less commonly, it occurs in minerals as gold compounds, often with tellurium (gold tellurides).

<ul><li>Outlook for 2025 across commodities sectors discussed</li><li>Bullish view on gold, base metals, and agricultural commodities</li><li>Neutral to bearish outlook on oil prices for 2025 and 2026</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Outlook for 2025 across commodities sectors discussedBullish view on gold, base metals, and agricultural commoditiesNeutral to bearish outlook on oil prices for 2025 and 2026This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global Commodities: 2025 Outlook: bullish on gold for third year; supply-constrained base metals ...

At Any Rate
Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets
• At Any Rate

EM Fixed Income: 'Tis the Season for Volatility

The EM Dollar Credit Market is showing divergence, with lessons learned for 2025 emphasizing the importance of politics in emerging markets over...

At Any Rate

Global Commodities: The biggest pushback

Wall Street analysts discuss feedback and question policy on oil prices, with a consensus view for 2025 ranging from $60 to $95 amidst bearish...

At Any Rate

Global Rates: Hawkish cuts and dovish holds

Overall, the BOE and Fed's monetary policy decisions, potential government shutdown, debt ceiling concerns, and Fed's balance sheet shifts are key...

At Any Rate

Speadbites: Food for Credit Market Thought as We Head Into the Holidays

Market outlook for 2025 predicts continued stability with tight spreads and low default rates, demand for credit supported by low yields, concerns...

At Any Rate

Global Commodities: 2025 Outlook: bullish on gold for third year; supply-constrained base metals ...

The annual outlook for commodity prices in 2025 predicts a small increase, with bullish trends in base metals and agricultural commodities, but...

At Any Rate