Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

KakaoBank Corp. operates bank businesses. The Company provides deposit money, withdraw money, credit cards, stock accounts, linked loans, and other services. KakaoBank conducts businesses in South Korea.

<ul>
<li>Kakao's Kim Beom-su has been arrested over alleged stock price manipulation in the SM Entertainment buyout, marking a new peak in the company's legal troubles.</li>
<li>Kakao Corp’s stock might drop due to the absence of a key figure. KakaoBank could also struggle from uncertainty about its largest shareholder and weakened business ties.</li>
<li>Kakao’s potential sale of SM Entertainment shares could initially hurt the stock price, but potential bidding interest might boost it.</li>
</ul>


Kakao's Kim Beom-su has been arrested over alleged stock price manipulation in the SM Entertainment buyout, marking a new peak in the company's legal troubles.
Kakao Corp’s stock might drop due to the absence of a key figure. KakaoBank could also struggle from uncertainty about its largest shareholder and weakened business ties.
Kakao’s potential sale of SM Entertainment shares could initially hurt the stock price, but potential bidding interest might boost it.


Kakao's Kim Beom-Su Arrested: Analyzing Its Impact on Related Companies

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Bobcat Company specializes in design, manufacture, marketing and distribution of compact equipment for construction, rental, landscaping, agriculture, grounds maintenance, government, utility, industry and mining.

<ul>
<li>On 11 July, the Doosan Group announced a major business structure reorganization, including the delisting of Doosan Bobcat Inc (241560 KS).</li>
<li>In our view (over the next 3-6 months), these transactions appear to be value-destroying for Doosan Bobcat and Doosan Enerbility minority shareholders but positive for Doosan Robotics shareholders.</li>
<li>Doosan Robotics plans to acquire the remaining 54% stake in Doosan Bobcat through a tender offer. Once Doosan Robotics fully owns Doosan Bobcat, its shares will be delisted.</li>
</ul>


On 11 July, the Doosan Group announced a major business structure reorganization, including the delisting of Doosan Bobcat Inc (241560 KS).
In our view (over the next 3-6 months), these transactions appear to be value-destroying for Doosan Bobcat and Doosan Enerbility minority shareholders but positive for Doosan Robotics shareholders.
Doosan Robotics plans to acquire the remaining 54% stake in Doosan Bobcat through a tender offer. Once Doosan Robotics fully owns Doosan Bobcat, its shares will be delisted.


Reorganization of the Doosan Group: Why Delist Doosan Bobcat (Jewel of Doosan Group)?

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>FM Nirmala Sitharaman prepares to unveil the Union Budget for the fiscal year 2024-25 on July 23rd.</li>
<li>Movement of Sensex and Nifty around the Budget day and post that.</li>
<li>What sectors performed best and worst during the last 10 budget days?</li>
</ul>


FM Nirmala Sitharaman prepares to unveil the Union Budget for the fiscal year 2024-25 on July 23rd.
Movement of Sensex and Nifty around the Budget day and post that.
What sectors performed best and worst during the last 10 budget days?


Mapping Indian Market Performance Around Past 10 Budgets

<ul>
<li>During Kim Byung-hwan's hearing, he acknowledged market concerns about the Doosan merger, increasing skepticism about Doosan's ability to maintain the original merger ratio.</li>
<li>Calculating Bobcat's net asset value using the net asset value method yields approximately ₩6.1T, derived from ₩5.95T in year-end equity plus ₩0.13T in adjustments.</li>
<li>Reassess arb trading opportunities; with no short hedge for Robotics, consider an outright long position in Bobcat if its swap price is revised and the spread widens.</li>
</ul>


During Kim Byung-hwan's hearing, he acknowledged market concerns about the Doosan merger, increasing skepticism about Doosan's ability to maintain the original merger ratio.
Calculating Bobcat's net asset value using the net asset value method yields approximately ₩6.1T, derived from ₩5.95T in year-end equity plus ₩0.13T in adjustments.
Reassess arb trading opportunities; with no short hedge for Robotics, consider an outright long position in Bobcat if its swap price is revised and the spread widens.


Robotics+Bobcat Merger: Merger Ratio Revision Possibility & Arb Spread Recalculations

Kumho Tire Co., Inc. designs and produces tires.  The Company's main products include various automobile tires and tubes used in sedan, SUV, RV, truck, and bus.  Kumho Tire also provides racing tires.

<ul>
<li>Woori Bank completed a block deal sale of 11 million shares of Kumho Tire Co (073240 KS) (3.83% of outstanding shares) on 18 July. </li>
<li>After the recent sales by Woori Bank and the Export-Import Bank of Korea, the creditors' stakes in Kumho Tire has been reduced to 19.17%.</li>
<li><em><strong>Despite Kumho Tire's recent improvement in financial performance, we are more concerned about the additional stake sale by the financial institutions that still own 19.2% stake in the company.  </strong></em></li>
</ul>


Woori Bank completed a block deal sale of 11 million shares of Kumho Tire Co (073240 KS) (3.83% of outstanding shares) on 18 July. 
After the recent sales by Woori Bank and the Export-Import Bank of Korea, the creditors' stakes in Kumho Tire has been reduced to 19.17%.
Despite Kumho Tire's recent improvement in financial performance, we are more concerned about the additional stake sale by the financial institutions that still own 19.2% stake in the company.  


Block Deal Sale of Kumho Tire: More Shares Likely to Be Sold by Creditors

South Korea
Insights on South Korea

Reorganization of the Doosan Group: Why Delist Doosan Bobcat (Jewel of Doosan Group)?

There has been a major backlash among both domestic and overseas investors on the split of Doosan Enerbility, merger swap between Doosan Enerbility...

Douglas Kim

Mapping Indian Market Performance Around Past 10 Budgets

FM Sitharaman to present Union Budget for FY 2024-25 on July 23rd. Analysis of Sensex and Nifty movement, best and worst performing sectors on...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Robotics+Bobcat Merger: Merger Ratio Revision Possibility & Arb Spread Recalculations

This post explores the potential revision of the Doosan Robotics & Bobcat merger ratio and recalculates the resulting arb spread.

Sanghyun Park

Block Deal Sale of Kumho Tire: More Shares Likely to Be Sold by Creditors

Despite Kumho Tire's recent improvement in financial performance, we are more concerned about the additional stake sale by the financial...

Douglas Kim

Kakao's Kim Beom-Su Arrested: Analyzing Its Impact on Related Companies

Kakao Chairman Kim Beom-su has been arrested for alleged stock price manipulation in last year’s SM Entertainment buyout. This post examines the...

Sanghyun Park

Reorganization of the Doosan Group: Why Delist Doosan Bobcat (Jewel of Doosan Group)?

There has been a major backlash among both domestic and overseas investors on the split of Doosan Enerbility, merger swap between Doosan Enerbility...

Douglas Kim

Mapping Indian Market Performance Around Past 10 Budgets

​FM Sitharaman to present Union Budget for FY 2024-25 on July 23rd. Analysis of Sensex and Nifty movement, best and worst performing sectors on...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Robotics+Bobcat Merger: Merger Ratio Revision Possibility & Arb Spread Recalculations

This post explores the potential revision of the Doosan Robotics & Bobcat merger ratio and recalculates the resulting arb spread.

Sanghyun Park

Block Deal Sale of Kumho Tire: More Shares Likely to Be Sold by Creditors

Despite Kumho Tire's recent improvement in financial performance, we are more concerned about the additional stake sale by the financial...

Douglas Kim

FM Sitharaman to present Union Budget for FY 2024-25 on July 23rd. Analysis of Sensex and Nifty movement, best and worst performing sectors on...