Event-Driven Investment Opportunities, Special Situation Investments

Dalius Tauraitis

Event-Driven Investment Opportunities

Special Situation Investments

Focus on event-driven trades and low risk arbitrage opportunities with short term catalysts

Event-Driven

D-MARKET Elektronik Hizmetler ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi / Event-Driven

D-MARKET Elektronik Hizmetler ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (Hepsiburada) operates as an online e-commerce company. The Company offers electronic, fashion, home living, stationery, sports, outdoor, cosmetics, and personal care products. Hepsiburada serves customers in Turkey.

D-MARKET Elektronik Hizmetler ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (HEPS US)

D-MARKET Elektronik Hizmetler ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi

<ul><li>D-Market Electronic Services &amp; Trading's (HEPS) controlling stake is being sold to Kaspi, exploiting a regulatory loophole to avoid a mandatory takeover offer.</li><li>Aker Carbon Capture (ACC:OL) sold its business, leaving a cash shell trading at a 20% discount to net cash.</li><li>Ambase (ABCP) is litigating over an Equity Put Right, with summary judgment motions scheduled, potentially impacting share price.</li></ul>

D-Market Electronic Services &amp; Trading's (HEPS) controlling stake is being sold to Kaspi, exploiting a regulatory loophole to avoid a mandatory takeover offer.Aker Carbon Capture (ACC:OL) sold its business, leaving a cash shell trading at a 20% discount to net cash.Ambase (ABCP) is litigating over an Equity Put Right, with summary judgment motions scheduled, potentially impacting share price.

Strategic Transactions and Legal Developments: HEPS, ACC:OL, ABCP, BELFB, NWOR:L, EMBRAC, AVAP:L

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Ping An Healthcare and Technology / Event-Driven

Ping An Healthcare and Technology Company Limited provides health care software solutions. The Company offers mobile platform for online consultation, hospital referral and appointment, health management, and wellness interaction services, as well as connects consumers and patients with health care resources. Ping An Healthcare and Technology serves customers in China.

Ping An Healthcare and Technology (1833 HK)

<ul>
<li>Increasing revenue without increasing profits is “a big denial” of a company's business model. Unless Zai Lab significantly reduces costs and maintains revenue high growth, its investment value is low.</li>
<li>Junshi's 2024 revenue is likely to return to over RMB1.5 billion due to market share expansion in PD-1. Strict cost control will be the main theme for the future.</li>
<li>If PAGD’s share price is higher than HK$6.12, there would be arbitrage opportunity. If Ping An hopes other shareholders to choose cash dividend, future stock price may fall below HK$6.12.</li>
</ul>


Increasing revenue without increasing profits is “a big denial” of a company's business model. Unless Zai Lab significantly reduces costs and maintains revenue high growth, its investment value is low.
Junshi's 2024 revenue is likely to return to over RMB1.5 billion due to market share expansion in PD-1. Strict cost control will be the main theme for the future.
If PAGD’s share price is higher than HK$6.12, there would be arbitrage opportunity. If Ping An hopes other shareholders to choose cash dividend, future stock price may fall below HK$6.12.


China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.22) - Zai Lab, Junshi, How to Choose PA Good Doctor's Special Dividend?

Executive Director, Metrical Inc

Aki Matsumoto

Executive Director

Independent Leading Corporate Governance Research

Metrical Inc

METRICAL INC. is an independent leading Corporate Governance research firm in Japan where Corporate Governance is increasingly recognized as an important element on corporate management in these days. Thus, CG research and solutions would become an essential component of global capital markets and play important to contribute to transparency of the markets and maximize shareholders’ value in Japan. 

METRICAL INC. provides Corporate Governance research and analysis including rating services, and  also offers investment research and IR services with solutions and customized profound research on CG and IR issues.

The TOPIX, also known as the Tokyo Stock Price Index, is a capitalization-weighted index of all companies listed on the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The index is supplemented by the subindices of the 33 industry sectors. The index calculation excludes temporary issues and preferred stocks, and has a base value of 100 as of January 4, 1968.

<ul>
<li>Operating income and depreciation, the components of operating cash flow, have been sluggish. This has undeniably dampened expectations for expanding corporate value.</li>
<li>Many companies have begun to be aware of cash flow, but have yet to see results. They are at the stage of producing results by selecting business to invest cash.</li>
<li>In terms of “not being conscious of cash flow,” shareholder returns are still strongly net income oriented and not cash flow oriented.</li>
</ul>


Operating income and depreciation, the components of operating cash flow, have been sluggish. This has undeniably dampened expectations for expanding corporate value.
Many companies have begun to be aware of cash flow, but have yet to see results. They are at the stage of producing results by selecting business to invest cash.
In terms of “not being conscious of cash flow,” shareholder returns are still strongly net income oriented and not cash flow oriented.


Companies Have Begun to Be Aware of Cash Flow, but the Reality Is that It Doesn't Produce Results

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. is a holding company which was established through the merger of Ito-Yokado Co., Seven Eleven Japan Co., and Denny's Japan. The Company plans, manages, and operates mainly convenience stores, supermarkets, and department stores.

<ul>
<li>The new article on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a> from TV Tokyo is causing a dip on top of last week's weakness. This is a dip to buy.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>'s Offer is now open for tendering. Ignore the rumours. Zhang Wei will tender. Expect payment before Chinese New Year. </li>
<li>Accounting solely for the pre-IPO investors, 164.6m shares (US$1.9bn) in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ubtech-robotics-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36469:1" rel="noopener">UBTech Robotics (9880 HK)</a> will be unlocked, ~39.2% of the firm’s total shares outstanding, and 91 days of three-month ADV.</li>
</ul>


The new article on Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP) from TV Tokyo is causing a dip on top of last week's weakness. This is a dip to buy.

CPMC Holdings (906 HK)'s Offer is now open for tendering. Ignore the rumours. Zhang Wei will tender. Expect payment before Chinese New Year. 
Accounting solely for the pre-IPO investors, 164.6m shares (US$1.9bn) in UBTech Robotics (9880 HK) will be unlocked, ~39.2% of the firm’s total shares outstanding, and 91 days of three-month ADV.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Seven & I, CPMC, UBTech Robotics, Macromill, 2024 Best-Of

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

The KOSPI 200 Index is a capitalization-weighted index of 200 Korean stocks which make up 93% of the total market value of the Korea Stock Exchange. The index was developed with a base value of 100 as of January 3, 1990.

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

<ul>
<li>
As the year comes to its end, the trading calendar is impacted by two shortened weeks, with the Christmas holiday and New Year’s Day both falling midweek.</li>
<li>Holidays market trends can be affected by various non-market factors but it's always good to check the indexes probability of trend reversals, to avoid surprises.
</li>
<li>In this insight, we’ll take a quick look at the major Asia-Pacific market indices—a 'Christmas Carousel of Odds' for Asian markets, if you will.</li>
</ul>



As the year comes to its end, the trading calendar is impacted by two shortened weeks, with the Christmas holiday and New Year’s Day both falling midweek.
Holidays market trends can be affected by various non-market factors but it's always good to check the indexes probability of trend reversals, to avoid surprises.

In this insight, we’ll take a quick look at the major Asia-Pacific market indices—a 'Christmas Carousel of Odds' for Asian markets, if you will.


HSI, Nikkei 225, NIFTY 50, Kospi 200, ASX 200, CSI 300: Year-End Trends and Holiday Market Moves!

Consumer
Insights in the Consumer Space

Strategic Transactions and Legal Developments: HEPS, ACC:OL, ABCP, BELFB, NWOR:L, EMBRAC, AVAP:L

D-Market Electronic Services & Trading's (HEPS) controlling stake is being sold to Kaspi, exploiting a regulatory loophole to avoid a mandatory...

Special Situation Investments

China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.22) - Zai Lab, Junshi, How to Choose PA Good Doctor's Special Dividend?

Increasing revenue without increasing profits is a big denial of Zai Lab's business model. Junshi will rebound with strict cost control.There's...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Companies Have Begun to Be Aware of Cash Flow, but the Reality Is that It Doesn't Produce Results

I would like to discuss the issues on the November 22 article in the Nikkei Shimbun titled “Japanese Companies Focus Less on Cash Flow than US and...

Metrical Inc

Last Week In Event SPACE: Seven & I, CPMC, UBTech Robotics, Macromill, 2024 Best-Of

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

HSI, Nikkei 225, NIFTY 50, Kospi 200, ASX 200, CSI 300: Year-End Trends and Holiday Market Moves!

Trading calendar has 2 upcoming shortened weeks, this insight is offer analysis of the major Asia/Pacific indices to highlight potential sudden...

Nico Rosti

Strategic Transactions and Legal Developments: HEPS, ACC:OL, ABCP, BELFB, NWOR:L, EMBRAC, AVAP:L

D-Market Electronic Services & Trading's (HEPS) controlling stake is being sold to Kaspi, exploiting a regulatory loophole to avoid a mandatory...

Special Situation Investments

China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.22) - Zai Lab, Junshi, How to Choose PA Good Doctor's Special Dividend?

Increasing revenue without increasing profits is a big denial of Zai Lab's business model. Junshi will rebound with strict cost control.There's...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Companies Have Begun to Be Aware of Cash Flow, but the Reality Is that It Doesn't Produce Results

I would like to discuss the issues on the November 22 article in the Nikkei Shimbun titled “Japanese Companies Focus Less on Cash Flow than US and...

Metrical Inc

Last Week In Event SPACE: Seven & I, CPMC, UBTech Robotics, Macromill, 2024 Best-Of

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

HSI, Nikkei 225, NIFTY 50, Kospi 200, ASX 200, CSI 300: Year-End Trends and Holiday Market Moves!

​Trading calendar has 2 upcoming shortened weeks, this insight is offer analysis of the major Asia/Pacific indices to highlight potential sudden...

Nico Rosti

Trading calendar has 2 upcoming shortened weeks, this insight is offer analysis of the major Asia/Pacific indices to highlight potential sudden...