IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

FANCL CORPORATION produces and sells additive-free skin care cosmetics for both women and men.  The Company's products include cleansing creams, hair care goods such as shampoos and conditioners, and facial make up products.  Fancl also makes and distributes dietary supplements including royal jelly and various tablets with extracted essence from mushrooms, garlic, ginseng, and soy beans.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kirin-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16977:1" rel="noopener">Kirin Holdings (2503 JP)</a>’s JPY8,620 offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fancl-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15862:1" rel="noopener">Fancl Corp (4921 JP)</a> closes on 29 July. The shares have traded above terms for 25 out of the 26 trading days.</li>
<li>MY.Alpha Management has amassed 10.3 million shares (8.51% ownership ratio) with several purchases above terms. MY.Alpha could catalyse other shareholders to rally against a light offer. </li>
<li>The emergence of MY.Alpha, the high volume above terms, peers re-rating, the required minority acceptance rate, and an offer unattractive to historical trading ranges increase the probability of a bump. </li>
</ul>



Kirin Holdings (2503 JP)’s JPY8,620 offer for Fancl Corp (4921 JP) closes on 29 July. The shares have traded above terms for 25 out of the 26 trading days.
MY.Alpha Management has amassed 10.3 million shares (8.51% ownership ratio) with several purchases above terms. MY.Alpha could catalyse other shareholders to rally against a light offer. 
The emergence of MY.Alpha, the high volume above terms, peers re-rating, the required minority acceptance rate, and an offer unattractive to historical trading ranges increase the probability of a bump. 


Fancl (4921 JP): Evaluating the Potential of Kirin (2503 JP) Offer Bump

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

Thai Beverage Public Company Limited produces a wide range of branded beer and spirits in Thailand.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-beverage-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3656:1" rel="noopener">Thai Beverage</a> will offload its entire stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-property-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1670:1" rel="noopener">Frasers Property Ltd</a> to TCC Assets in a share swap for an increased share in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fraser-and-neave-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:980:1" rel="noopener">Fraser And Neave</a> streamlining its business focus.</li>
<li>The share swap values <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fraser-and-neave-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:980:1" rel="noopener">Fraser And Neave</a> on a par with peers which is at a significant premium to the share price but <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fraser-and-neave-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:980:1" rel="noopener">Fraser And Neave</a> was excessively undervalued.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-beverage-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3656:1" rel="noopener">Thai Beverage</a> deserves to trade on a higher multiple given its pure-play status and a succession of recent restructurings including Serm Suk and Oishi Holdings. </li>
</ul>



Thai Beverage will offload its entire stake in Frasers Property Ltd to TCC Assets in a share swap for an increased share in Fraser And Neave streamlining its business focus.
The share swap values Fraser And Neave on a par with peers which is at a significant premium to the share price but Fraser And Neave was excessively undervalued.

Thai Beverage deserves to trade on a higher multiple given its pure-play status and a succession of recent restructurings including Serm Suk and Oishi Holdings. 


Thai Beverage (THBEV SP) - Increasingly Streamlined SEA F&B Play

External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Alimentation Couche-Tard  / Equity Bottom-Up

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. owns and operates convenience store. The Company offers a wide range of merchandise, including coffee, snacks, beverages, grocery products, beer and wine, and lottery tickets, as well as fuel and other services. Alimentation Couche-Tard serves customers globally.

<ul><li>Alimentation Couche-Tard is a global leader in convenience stores and gas stations, with a stable and recession-resistant business model.</li><li>The company has a strong management team focused on consolidating the fragmented c-store industry and generating solid free cash flow.</li><li>ATD stock is trading at a reasonable multiple with potential for mid-teens FCF per share growth, making it an attractive long-term investment opportunity.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Alimentation Couche-Tard is a global leader in convenience stores and gas stations, with a stable and recession-resistant business model.The company has a strong management team focused on consolidating the fragmented c-store industry and generating solid free cash flow.ATD stock is trading at a reasonable multiple with potential for mid-teens FCF per share growth, making it an attractive long-term investment opportunity.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc (ATD.) - Sunday, Apr 21, 2024

Blue Moon Group Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

Blue Moon Group Holdings Limited operates as a household care company. The Company produces liquid laundry detergents, liquid soaps, concentrated liquid laundry detergents, and other products. Blue Moon Group Holdings markets its products throughout China.

<ul><li>Blue Moon started with a kitchen spray cleanser in 1994, but now focuses on liquid detergents in China</li><li>While they have strong marketing and scale, their competitive advantages are weak compared to domestic competitor Liby</li><li>Intensifying competition and various factors have led to a decline in Blue Moon's market share, raising uncertainty about their future in the industry</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Blue Moon started with a kitchen spray cleanser in 1994, but now focuses on liquid detergents in ChinaWhile they have strong marketing and scale, their competitive advantages are weak compared to domestic competitor LibyIntensifying competition and various factors have led to a decline in Blue Moon's market share, raising uncertainty about their future in the industryThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Blue Moon Group (6993) - Monday, Apr 22, 2024

Executive Director, Metrical Inc

Aki Matsumoto

Executive Director

Independent Leading Corporate Governance Research

Metrical Inc

METRICAL INC. is an independent leading Corporate Governance research firm in Japan where Corporate Governance is increasingly recognized as an important element on corporate management in these days. Thus, CG research and solutions would become an essential component of global capital markets and play important to contribute to transparency of the markets and maximize shareholders’ value in Japan. 

METRICAL INC. provides Corporate Governance research and analysis including rating services, and  also offers investment research and IR services with solutions and customized profound research on CG and IR issues.

The TOPIX, also known as the Tokyo Stock Price Index, is a capitalization-weighted index of all companies listed on the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The index is supplemented by the subindices of the 33 industry sectors. The index calculation excludes temporary issues and preferred stocks, and has a base value of 100 as of January 4, 1968.

<ul>
<li>The fact that institutional investors consider whether a company has zero female board members when voting has led to decrease in the number of companies with zero female board members.</li>
<li>Since fewer companies have zero female board members but a minority of companies have at least two female board members, achieving 30% female board members seems somewhat of a hurdle.</li>
<li>While tenure and concurrent service of female board members are problematic, the starting point is to ensure that women have  a 30% voice on the board and to promote diversity.</li>
</ul>


The fact that institutional investors consider whether a company has zero female board members when voting has led to decrease in the number of companies with zero female board members.
Since fewer companies have zero female board members but a minority of companies have at least two female board members, achieving 30% female board members seems somewhat of a hurdle.
While tenure and concurrent service of female board members are problematic, the starting point is to ensure that women have  a 30% voice on the board and to promote diversity.


The Goal of 30% Female Board Members Is Somewhat Hard to Achieve Given the Current Situation

Consumer Staples
Insights in the Consumer Staples Space

Fancl (4921 JP): Evaluating the Potential of Kirin (2503 JP) Offer Bump

The shares have consistently traded above terms and the emergence of MY.Alpha’s stake adds to the mounting reasons for a bump. A revised offer...

Arun George

Thai Beverage (THBEV SP) - Increasingly Streamlined SEA F&B Play

Thai Bev deserves to trade on a higher multiple given its pure-play status and a succession of recent restructurings including Serm Suk, Oishi...

Angus Mackintosh

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc (ATD.) - Sunday, Apr 21, 2024

Alimentation Couche-Tard is a global leader in convenience stores and gas stations, with a stable and recession-resistant business model.

Value Investors Club

Blue Moon Group (6993) - Monday, Apr 22, 2024

Intensifying competition and various factors have led to a decline in Blue Moon's market share, raising uncertainty about their future in the industry

Value Investors Club

The Goal of 30% Female Board Members Is Somewhat Hard to Achieve Given the Current Situation

I would like to discuss the issues on the article of Nikkei Shimbun published on June 12, "Board Diversity is a 'Must'."

Metrical Inc