Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

ASE Technology Holding   / Equity Bottom-Up

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. offers assembly and testing services. The Company provides outsourced assembly, semiconductor testing, semiconductor packaging, and other related services. ASE Technology Holding operates in Taiwan.

<ul>
<li>The 4Q24 EMS is expected to decline by a mid-single-digit percentage QoQ in 4Q24, while ATM sales are expected to grow slightly QoQ.</li>
<li>General market hasn’t recovered yet.2024 outlook still seems lukewarm. 2024 market excluding HPC and AI is indeed down YoY. Only AI and leading edge product demand is robust.</li>
<li>Expects 2025 general market demand to have better recovery, more leading edge business opportunities and higher testing sales mix to help GM go up.</li>
</ul>


The 4Q24 EMS is expected to decline by a mid-single-digit percentage QoQ in 4Q24, while ATM sales are expected to grow slightly QoQ.
General market hasn’t recovered yet.2024 outlook still seems lukewarm. 2024 market excluding HPC and AI is indeed down YoY. Only AI and leading edge product demand is robust.
Expects 2025 general market demand to have better recovery, more leading edge business opportunities and higher testing sales mix to help GM go up.


ASEH (3711.TT; ASX.US): The Overall 4Q24 Trend Is Slightly Downward QoQ.

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

<ul>
<li>Nvidia is not upset with TSMC after all. Samsung is losing another customer to TSMC at 3nm</li>
<li>Legacy Foundry Overcapacity as Chinese firms are over-extending, expect Pricing Pressure (GlobalFoundries, Hua Hong, SMIC, UMC)</li>
<li>Progress in China: new Loongson CPU and GPU. Lithography Photoresist</li>
</ul>


Nvidia is not upset with TSMC after all. Samsung is losing another customer to TSMC at 3nm
Legacy Foundry Overcapacity as Chinese firms are over-extending, expect Pricing Pressure (GlobalFoundries, Hua Hong, SMIC, UMC)
Progress in China: new Loongson CPU and GPU. Lithography Photoresist


Tech News This Week: TSMC, NVIDIA, Samsung, Legacy Semi, China Semi

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul><li>Zomato surpasses Q2 expectations but encounters challenges due to high costs of rapid expansion</li><li>Germany's Manufacturing X Initiative transforms industry 4.0 collaboration and innovation</li><li>Taiwan reevaluates nuclear policy as AI-powered energy becomes more prominent; Huawei introduces Harmony OS NEXT</li></ul>

Zomato surpasses Q2 expectations but encounters challenges due to high costs of rapid expansionGermany's Manufacturing X Initiative transforms industry 4.0 collaboration and innovationTaiwan reevaluates nuclear policy as AI-powered energy becomes more prominent; Huawei introduces Harmony OS NEXT

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (25-Oct-2024): Zomato beats expectations in Q2, faces high expansion costs.

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

<ul>
<li>We're starting to see some local market players getting ready and setting up trades that bet on a potential split for Samsung Electronics.</li>
<li>Samsung could leverage the buzz around spinning off its foundry business to split key units—foundry, memory chips, and others—into two or three separate companies at the shareholder meeting.</li>
<li>Additionally, the valuation gap between Samsung Electronics and Biologics has narrowed more than it has in the last decade, making it an even more attractive opportunity.</li>
</ul>


We're starting to see some local market players getting ready and setting up trades that bet on a potential split for Samsung Electronics.
Samsung could leverage the buzz around spinning off its foundry business to split key units—foundry, memory chips, and others—into two or three separate companies at the shareholder meeting.
Additionally, the valuation gap between Samsung Electronics and Biologics has narrowed more than it has in the last decade, making it an even more attractive opportunity.


Surging Buzz Around the Potential Split of Samsung Electronics

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) has reported a robust performance in the third quarter of 2024, underscored by significant revenue growth driven by both smartphone and AI-related demand.</li><li>The company's industry-leading 3-nanometer and 5-nanometer technologies have been at the forefront of this demand surge.</li><li>Revenue for the third quarter increased sequentially by 12.8% in New Taiwan dollars, reflecting not only strong demand but also higher capacity utilization and cost improvement efforts.</li></ul>

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) has reported a robust performance in the third quarter of 2024, underscored by significant revenue growth driven by both smartphone and AI-related demand.The company's industry-leading 3-nanometer and 5-nanometer technologies have been at the forefront of this demand surge.Revenue for the third quarter increased sequentially by 12.8% in New Taiwan dollars, reflecting not only strong demand but also higher capacity utilization and cost improvement efforts.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) Crushes Q3 Expectations with 54% Profit Surge—What’s Fueling This Chip Giant’s Growth?

Insights on Companies in the AMD Supply Chain

AMD Supply Chain
Insights on Companies in the AMD Supply Chain

ASEH (3711.TT; ASX.US): The Overall 4Q24 Trend Is Slightly Downward QoQ.

4Q24 EMS expected to decline, ATM sales to grow slightly. 2024 market still struggling, AI demand robust. 2025 outlook shows promise for recovery...

Patrick Liao

Tech News This Week: TSMC, NVIDIA, Samsung, Legacy Semi, China Semi

Nvidia's Blackwell GPU problems were Nvidia's doing, not TSMC. Samsung loses customer to TSMC at 3nm. Legacy Foundry face overcapacity, pricing...

Nicolas Baratte

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (25-Oct-2024): Zomato beats expectations in Q2, faces high expansion costs.

Zomato posts impressive Q2 results but struggles with high expansion costs; Germany's Manufacturing X Initiative shakes up industry collaboration;...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Surging Buzz Around the Potential Split of Samsung Electronics

This post dives into the potential split of Samsung Electronics, one of the hot topics currently heating up Korea's stock market.

Sanghyun Park

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) Crushes Q3 Expectations with 54% Profit Surge—What’s Fueling This Chip Giant’s Growth?

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) has reported a robust performance in the third quarter of 2024, underscored by significant...

Baptista Research

ASEH (3711.TT; ASX.US): The Overall 4Q24 Trend Is Slightly Downward QoQ.

​4Q24 EMS expected to decline, ATM sales to grow slightly. 2024 market still struggling, AI demand robust. 2025 outlook shows promise for recovery...

Patrick Liao

Tech News This Week: TSMC, NVIDIA, Samsung, Legacy Semi, China Semi

​Nvidia's Blackwell GPU problems were Nvidia's doing, not TSMC. Samsung loses customer to TSMC at 3nm. Legacy Foundry face overcapacity, pricing...

Nicolas Baratte

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (25-Oct-2024): Zomato beats expectations in Q2, faces high expansion costs.

Zomato posts impressive Q2 results but struggles with high expansion costs; Germany's Manufacturing X Initiative shakes up industry collaboration;...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Surging Buzz Around the Potential Split of Samsung Electronics

This post dives into the potential split of Samsung Electronics, one of the hot topics currently heating up Korea's stock market.

Sanghyun Park

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) Crushes Q3 Expectations with 54% Profit Surge—What’s Fueling This Chip Giant’s Growth?

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) has reported a robust performance in the third quarter of 2024, underscored by significant...

Baptista Research

4Q24 EMS expected to decline, ATM sales to grow slightly. 2024 market still struggling, AI demand robust. 2025 outlook shows promise for recovery...

Nvidia's Blackwell GPU problems were Nvidia's doing, not TSMC. Samsung loses customer to TSMC at 3nm. Legacy Foundry face overcapacity, pricing...