Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets, At Any Rate

At Any Rate

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets

Analysts from J.P. Morgan’s Research team take a closer look at the stories behind some of the biggest trends, themes and developments in markets today.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>The discussion focused on the importance of politics over economics for emerging markets in 2025, with a specific emphasis on fiscal trajectories.</li><li>Lessons learned include the need to expand imagination of possible scenarios, the impact of specific country situations on returns, and the caution against following consensus trades.</li><li>Market outlook for early 2025 is expected to be choppy and driven by policy announcements, with a key event being the US Inauguration Day on January 20th leading to potential market adjustments.</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

The discussion focused on the importance of politics over economics for emerging markets in 2025, with a specific emphasis on fiscal trajectories.Lessons learned include the need to expand imagination of possible scenarios, the impact of specific country situations on returns, and the caution against following consensus trades.Market outlook for early 2025 is expected to be choppy and driven by policy announcements, with a key event being the US Inauguration Day on January 20th leading to potential market adjustments.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

EM Fixed Income: 'Tis the Season for Volatility

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>India's nuclear power capacity is projected to surge <strong>2.7 times by 2031</strong>, reaching 22.3 GW and creating a lucrative investment landscape. </li>
<li>This expansion will unlock opportunities for companies like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-heavy-electricals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:460:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Heavy Electricals (BHEL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/walchandnagar-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9114:1" rel="noopener">Walchandnagar Industries (WI IN)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindustan-construction-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6446:1" rel="noopener">Hindustan Construction Co (HCC IN)</a> in manufacturing, construction, and auxiliary services. </li>
<li>The rollout of 50 Bharat Small Reactors (BSRs) presents a particularly enticing prospect with a projected investment of Rs. 2,00,000 Crore.</li>
</ul>


India's nuclear power capacity is projected to surge 2.7 times by 2031, reaching 22.3 GW and creating a lucrative investment landscape. 
This expansion will unlock opportunities for companies like Bharat Heavy Electricals (BHEL IN), Walchandnagar Industries (WI IN), and Hindustan Construction Co (HCC IN) in manufacturing, construction, and auxiliary services. 
The rollout of 50 Bharat Small Reactors (BSRs) presents a particularly enticing prospect with a projected investment of Rs. 2,00,000 Crore.


Thematic Report: India's Nuclear Power Boom: A 2.7x Growth Story

Cross-Asset Strategist & Quantitative Analyst, Pennock Idea Hub

Cam Hui

Cross-Asset Strategist & Quantitative Analyst

Pennock Idea Hub

We are creators of independent equity research. The Pennock Idea Hub team are veterans of the investment industry. Much of our team has spent their careers at Merrill Lynch, Deutsche Bank, RBC Capital Markets and Wood Gundy. We have taken every aspect of research back to the studs and returned to first principles. The Pennock Idea Hub marries the interests of the sell and buy side. 

We offer the best research for institutional investors by:

-Only publishing research from veteran analysts
-Eliminate the inherent conflicts of the traditional sell and buy side relationship
-Ensure our team is always accessible; collaboration with clients nurtures our collective success

Cross-Asset & Quantitative Research

<ul>
<li>We are subscribers to Occam’s Razor, or the simplest explanation is the most satisfactory, and recent UFOs sightings are of terrestrial origin.</li>
<li>It’s nevertheless a worthwhile exercise to consider asset return expectations under the scenario of an extra-terrestrial alien invasion.</li>
<li>Our study of an alien invasion opens the door to discussing return studies. Standard assumptions about returns to bonds and equity risk premiums are useful only up to a point.</li>
</ul>


We are subscribers to Occam’s Razor, or the simplest explanation is the most satisfactory, and recent UFOs sightings are of terrestrial origin.
It’s nevertheless a worthwhile exercise to consider asset return expectations under the scenario of an extra-terrestrial alien invasion.
Our study of an alien invasion opens the door to discussing return studies. Standard assumptions about returns to bonds and equity risk premiums are useful only up to a point.


Equity Return Expectations Under An Alien Invasion

<ul>
<li>Global oil demand growth is slowing, with projections to reach 103.8 mb/d in 2025. OPEC+ is delaying production increases amid weaker demand &amp; rising competition from non-OPEC producers like U.S.</li>
<li>Geopolitical instability, a renewable energy shift, and challenges like China's slowdown and high global interest rates are reshaping oil market dynamics, affecting prices and economic strategies.</li>
<li>OPEC's influence is waning as non-OPEC players expand and renewable energy adoption grows. The oil market's evolution highlights the urgent need for diversification in energy strategies.</li>
</ul>


Global oil demand growth is slowing, with projections to reach 103.8 mb/d in 2025. OPEC+ is delaying production increases amid weaker demand &amp; rising competition from non-OPEC producers like U.S.
Geopolitical instability, a renewable energy shift, and challenges like China's slowdown and high global interest rates are reshaping oil market dynamics, affecting prices and economic strategies.
OPEC's influence is waning as non-OPEC players expand and renewable energy adoption grows. The oil market's evolution highlights the urgent need for diversification in energy strategies.


Global Oil Market 2025: US, OPEC+ and Much More..

AI Generated Content, Heteronomics

Heteronomics AI

AI Generated Content

Heteronomics

Heteronomics represents a different kind of economics. We believe analysis should delve into the details of what is really going on, rather than using overly simplistic assumptions to quick-sell stories. Independence from myopic institutional pressures allows us to focus on the realities underlying your asset allocation decisions, without the conflicts of the old market structures. Heteronomics targets the themes driving UK asset prices, offering the benefits of depth, independence and ultimately price.

UK-centric macro research

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Banco de la República reduced the benchmark rate by 25bps to 9.50%, undershooting market expectations of a 50bp cut due to concerns over persistent inflation and exchange rate volatility.</li><li>While headline inflation fell to 5.2% in November, stable core inflation and peso depreciation constrain BanRep’s scope for faster rate cuts, as imported inflation risks remain significant.</li><li>Robust Q3 GDP growth and a resilient labour market support gradual monetary easing; however, heightened external financial pressures and fiscal uncertainties will heavily influence future policy decisions.</li></ul><div><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></div>

Banco de la República reduced the benchmark rate by 25bps to 9.50%, undershooting market expectations of a 50bp cut due to concerns over persistent inflation and exchange rate volatility.While headline inflation fell to 5.2% in November, stable core inflation and peso depreciation constrain BanRep’s scope for faster rate cuts, as imported inflation risks remain significant.Robust Q3 GDP growth and a resilient labour market support gradual monetary easing; however, heightened external financial pressures and fiscal uncertainties will heavily influence future policy decisions.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Colombia: 25bp Rate Cut To 9.5% (Consensus 9.25%) in Dec-24

Latin America
Insights on Latin America (LATAM)

EM Fixed Income: 'Tis the Season for Volatility

The EM Dollar Credit Market is showing divergence, with lessons learned for 2025 emphasizing the importance of politics in emerging markets over...

At Any Rate

Thematic Report: India's Nuclear Power Boom: A 2.7x Growth Story

India's nuclear power capacity set to surge 2.7 times by 2031, creating investment opportunities for companies like BHEL, Walchandnagar & HCC .

Nimish Maheshwari

Equity Return Expectations Under An Alien Invasion

Our study of an alien invasion opens the door to discussing return studies. Standard assumptions about returns to bonds and equity risk premiums...

Cam Hui

Global Oil Market 2025: US, OPEC+ and Much More..

Global oil demand growth is slowing, reshaping market dynamics as OPEC's influence wanes and renewable energy adoption grows, highlighting the...

Nimish Maheshwari

Colombia: 25bp Rate Cut To 9.5% (Consensus 9.25%) in Dec-24

Banco de la República reduced the benchmark rate by 25bps to 9.50%, undershooting market expectations of a 50bp cut due to concerns over...

Heteronomics AI

EM Fixed Income: 'Tis the Season for Volatility

The EM Dollar Credit Market is showing divergence, with lessons learned for 2025 emphasizing the importance of politics in emerging markets over...

At Any Rate

Thematic Report: India's Nuclear Power Boom: A 2.7x Growth Story

​India's nuclear power capacity set to surge 2.7 times by 2031, creating investment opportunities for companies like BHEL, Walchandnagar & HCC .

Nimish Maheshwari

Equity Return Expectations Under An Alien Invasion

Our study of an alien invasion opens the door to discussing return studies. Standard assumptions about returns to bonds and equity risk premiums...

Cam Hui

Global Oil Market 2025: US, OPEC+ and Much More..

​Global oil demand growth is slowing, reshaping market dynamics as OPEC's influence wanes and renewable energy adoption grows, highlighting the...

Nimish Maheshwari

Colombia: 25bp Rate Cut To 9.5% (Consensus 9.25%) in Dec-24

Banco de la República reduced the benchmark rate by 25bps to 9.50%, undershooting market expectations of a 50bp cut due to concerns over...

Heteronomics AI

India's nuclear power capacity set to surge 2.7 times by 2031, creating investment opportunities for companies like BHEL, Walchandnagar & HCC .

Global oil demand growth is slowing, reshaping market dynamics as OPEC's influence wanes and renewable energy adoption grows, highlighting the...