Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

BYD Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company also researches, develops, manufactures and sells batteries, which are applied on mobile phones, cordless phones, power tools and other kinds of portable electronic devices.

<ul>
<li>A recent insight by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/brian-freitas" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:4091" rel="noopener">Brian Freitas</a> signals that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a>buying from global index trackers is done (more passive buying from HSI/HSCEI trackers may come later this month).</li>
<li>As of Tuesday, the stock is currently in the middle of a modest pullback, 1 week down, reached a support area where the probability of a bounce is around 50%.</li>
<li>We are at the start of the month, it may be early to benefit from the passive buying discussed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/brian-freitas" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:4091" rel="noopener">Brian Freitas</a>, however this pullback could support a buy-the-dips strategy.</li>
</ul>


A recent insight by Brian Freitas signals that BYD (1211 HK)buying from global index trackers is done (more passive buying from HSI/HSCEI trackers may come later this month).
As of Tuesday, the stock is currently in the middle of a modest pullback, 1 week down, reached a support area where the probability of a bounce is around 50%.
We are at the start of the month, it may be early to benefit from the passive buying discussed by Brian Freitas, however this pullback could support a buy-the-dips strategy.


BYD (1211 HK) Tactical Outlook: Buy-The-Dip Scenarios With Passive Buying from HSI/HSCEI Trackers

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

<ul>
<li>Media report 2nm “Customers Lined Up To Pay An Estimated $30,000 Per Unit”. Capacity is full but small. Wafer price at 28k. US$30bn revenue in 4Q25 is very likely.</li>
<li>UMC Singapore Fab expansion is nearing completion and will increase capacity in Singapore to 22% of total. UMC needs GlobalFoundries to diversify?</li>
<li>TSMC is trading just slightly below average PE at 15.0x forward EPS. Similarly for UMC trading at 12.3x forward EPS. As such, we’re far from valuations support levels.</li>
</ul>


Media report 2nm “Customers Lined Up To Pay An Estimated $30,000 Per Unit”. Capacity is full but small. Wafer price at 28k. US$30bn revenue in 4Q25 is very likely.
UMC Singapore Fab expansion is nearing completion and will increase capacity in Singapore to 22% of total. UMC needs GlobalFoundries to diversify?
TSMC is trading just slightly below average PE at 15.0x forward EPS. Similarly for UMC trading at 12.3x forward EPS. As such, we’re far from valuations support levels.


TSMC 2nm Capacity, Wafer Price. UMC Singapore Fab Starting. Both Stocks Trading Just Below Avg PEx

<ul>
<li>Reports of merger between UMC and GlobalFoundries. Beyond the threat of US import tariffs for UMC, it would create a larger firm to counter SMIC’s expansion. Easier said than done</li>
<li>TSMC second 2nm Fab in KaoHsiung “inaugurated”, 2nm production unchanged mid of 2025. A16 process and equipment qualification underway for risk production in 2027.</li>
<li>Biden era CHIPS Act subsidies (US$52bn) could be cancelled or the program is completed and the assigned staff leaving?</li>
</ul>


Reports of merger between UMC and GlobalFoundries. Beyond the threat of US import tariffs for UMC, it would create a larger firm to counter SMIC’s expansion. Easier said than done
TSMC second 2nm Fab in KaoHsiung “inaugurated”, 2nm production unchanged mid of 2025. A16 process and equipment qualification underway for risk production in 2027.
Biden era CHIPS Act subsidies (US$52bn) could be cancelled or the program is completed and the assigned staff leaving?


UMC – Global Foundries Merger? TSMC 2nm and A16 On-Track. More Doubts over US CHIPS Act Subsidies.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> raised US$5.6bn in a secondary offering a few weeks ago and the stock is trading a lot higher than the placement price.</li>
<li>Buying from global index trackers is done, but there will be more passive buying from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI)</a> trackers later this month.</li>
<li>With the release of the God's Eye advanced driver-assistance system (ADAS), the stock could be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in June, bringing more passive inflows.</li>
</ul>



BYD (1211 HK) raised US$5.6bn in a secondary offering a few weeks ago and the stock is trading a lot higher than the placement price.
Buying from global index trackers is done, but there will be more passive buying from Hang Seng Index (HSI) and Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) trackers later this month.
With the release of the God's Eye advanced driver-assistance system (ADAS), the stock could be added to the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) in June, bringing more passive inflows.


BYD (1211 HK): God's Eye & Potential HSTECH Index Inclusion

Equity Analyst, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

<ul>
<li>Samsung India Electronics, a 100% subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a>, reported a 2024 turnover of USD 12 bn, ranking it among India’s largest consumer sector companies.</li>
<li>It is a leading player in smartphones, smart TVs, and home appliances, with FY2024 revenues 4.5X that of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-electronics-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44148:1" rel="noopener">LG Electronics India (123D IN).</a>
</li>
<li>Estimated valuations of Samsung India Electronics could represent nearly 20% to 25% of its parent’s EV, when valued using India peer group multiples.</li>
</ul>


Samsung India Electronics, a 100% subsidiary of Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), reported a 2024 turnover of USD 12 bn, ranking it among India’s largest consumer sector companies.
It is a leading player in smartphones, smart TVs, and home appliances, with FY2024 revenues 4.5X that of LG Electronics India (123D IN).

Estimated valuations of Samsung India Electronics could represent nearly 20% to 25% of its parent’s EV, when valued using India peer group multiples.


Samsung India Electronics: The Biggest Consumer Company in India. Financials & Valuation

Insights on Companies in the NVIDIA Supply Chain

NVIDIA Supply Chain
Insights on Companies in the NVIDIA Supply Chain

BYD (1211 HK) Tactical Outlook: Buy-The-Dip Scenarios With Passive Buying from HSI/HSCEI Trackers

BYD currently is in a modest drawdown, buy-the-dip strategies could exploit a deeper pullback, with potential for passive buying from HSI/HSCEI...

Nico Rosti

TSMC 2nm Capacity, Wafer Price. UMC Singapore Fab Starting. Both Stocks Trading Just Below Avg PEx

Customers are willing to pay top dollar for 2nm chips, UMC's Singapore expansion nears completion. TSMC and UMC trading below average PE ratios....

Nicolas Baratte

UMC – Global Foundries Merger? TSMC 2nm and A16 On-Track. More Doubts over US CHIPS Act Subsidies.

Potential merger between UMC and GlobalFoundries to counter SMIC's growth, TSMC's 2nm Fab in KaoHsiung on track for mid-2025 production,...

Nicolas Baratte

BYD (1211 HK): God's Eye & Potential HSTECH Index Inclusion

HSI, HSCEI trackers will buy BYD stock in April. The rollout of ADAS across its vehicle lineup will make BYD eligible for HSTECH inclusion. If...

Brian Freitas

Samsung India Electronics: The Biggest Consumer Company in India. Financials & Valuation

Samsung Electronics' India subsidiary valuation is estimated to range between USD 45 and 60 billion—roughly 20% to 25% of parent's EV. LG...

Devi Subhakesan

BYD (1211 HK) Tactical Outlook: Buy-The-Dip Scenarios With Passive Buying from HSI/HSCEI Trackers

BYD currently is in a modest drawdown, buy-the-dip strategies could exploit a deeper pullback, with potential for passive buying from HSI/HSCEI...

Nico Rosti

TSMC 2nm Capacity, Wafer Price. UMC Singapore Fab Starting. Both Stocks Trading Just Below Avg PEx

​Customers are willing to pay top dollar for 2nm chips, UMC's Singapore expansion nears completion. TSMC and UMC trading below average PE ratios....

Nicolas Baratte

UMC – Global Foundries Merger? TSMC 2nm and A16 On-Track. More Doubts over US CHIPS Act Subsidies.

​Potential merger between UMC and GlobalFoundries to counter SMIC's growth, TSMC's 2nm Fab in KaoHsiung on track for mid-2025 production,...

Nicolas Baratte

BYD (1211 HK): God's Eye & Potential HSTECH Index Inclusion

HSI, HSCEI trackers will buy BYD stock in April. The rollout of ADAS across its vehicle lineup will make BYD eligible for HSTECH inclusion. If...

Brian Freitas

Samsung India Electronics: The Biggest Consumer Company in India. Financials & Valuation

Samsung Electronics' India subsidiary valuation is estimated to range between USD 45 and 60 billion—roughly 20% to 25% of parent's EV. LG...

Devi Subhakesan

Customers are willing to pay top dollar for 2nm chips, UMC's Singapore expansion nears completion. TSMC and UMC trading below average PE ratios....

Potential merger between UMC and GlobalFoundries to counter SMIC's growth, TSMC's 2nm Fab in KaoHsiung on track for mid-2025 production,...