Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

NXP Semiconductors NV operates as a global semiconductor company. The Company designs semiconductors and software for mobile communications, consumer electronics, security applications, in-car entertainment, and networking.  NXP offers its products to the automotive, identification, wireless infrastructure, lighting, mobile, and computing applications.

<ul>
<li>If we care about PMI, we have to care about Automotive and Industrial Semiconductor. Cautiousness about high inventories and slowing end-demand slowly emerged in 1H24. 4Q guidance is a firework.</li>
<li>Renesas: 1Q24 “the Q1 bottom has not changed”. 2Q24 “more cautious outlook”. 3Q “we need to step on the brakes more. End demand, more than expected, became weaker”.</li>
<li>Do we buy stocks when valuations are low or when downward revisions are over? These stocks are cheap, but Consensus will continue cutting till 2Q25, in our view.</li>
</ul>


If we care about PMI, we have to care about Automotive and Industrial Semiconductor. Cautiousness about high inventories and slowing end-demand slowly emerged in 1H24. 4Q guidance is a firework.
Renesas: 1Q24 “the Q1 bottom has not changed”. 2Q24 “more cautious outlook”. 3Q “we need to step on the brakes more. End demand, more than expected, became weaker”.
Do we buy stocks when valuations are low or when downward revisions are over? These stocks are cheap, but Consensus will continue cutting till 2Q25, in our view.


NXP, Renesas, STMicro: Only Bad News. Auto & Industrial Semi Firms Give Poor Signals on End-Demand.

Smartkarma Research Team, Smartkarma

Smartkarma Research

Smartkarma Research Team

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

17LIVE Group Limited operates as a live streaming company. The Company offers pure-play live-streaming platform that streams real-time user-generated videos, as well as allows streamers to interact with their audience live via live chat or games, creating high-quality content. 17LIVE Group serves customers in Asia.

<p>For our next Corporate Webinar, we are glad to welcome 17Live’s Chief Executive Officer and Executive Director, Jiang Honghui. </p>
<p>In the upcoming webinar, Honghui will share a short company presentation after which, he will engage in a fireside chat with the Smartkarma moderator. The Corporate Webinar will include a live Q&amp;A session.</p>
<h3>The webinar will be hosted on Monday, 25 November 2024, 17:00 SGT/HKT.</h3>
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<h2><a href="https://share.hsforms.com/1H9pFZOB-RF2J00kbvMmxcw2c5gj?zoom_webinar_id=81735174473" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Register for the Webinar here</a></h2>
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<h3>About 17Live Group</h3>
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<p>17LIVE is a leading pure-play live streaming platform in Asia with key markets in Japan and Taiwan. Its business lines include Liver live streaming, V-Liver live streaming and other businesses such as in-app games and live commerce. 17LIVE is accessible globally and has fostered a diverse live streaming ecosystem with a loyal and engaged user community, as well as a deep pool of live streamers.</p>
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For our next Corporate Webinar, we are glad to welcome 17Live’s Chief Executive Officer and Executive Director, Jiang Honghui. 
In the upcoming webinar, Honghui will share a short company presentation after which, he will engage in a fireside chat with the Smartkarma moderator. The Corporate Webinar will include a live Q&amp;A session.
The webinar will be hosted on Monday, 25 November 2024, 17:00 SGT/HKT.



























Register for the Webinar here



























About 17Live Group

17LIVE is a leading pure-play live streaming platform in Asia with key markets in Japan and Taiwan. Its business lines include Liver live streaming, V-Liver live streaming and other businesses such as in-app games and live commerce. 17LIVE is accessible globally and has fostered a diverse live streaming ecosystem with a loyal and engaged user community, as well as a deep pool of live streamers.


Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | 17LIVE Group: Leading Pure-Play Live Streaming Platform in Asia

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

M3, Inc. supplies medical information services for doctors through the Internet. The Company also supports marketing of pharmaceutical companies and medical equipment manufacturers.

<ul>
<li>M3’s share price has dropped 18% since its 2Q earnings release. Both revenue and OP fell below consensus and we were surprised by the drop in OPM for 2Q.</li>
<li>Medical Platform’s earnings have continued to decline as a result of spending cuts by pharmaceutical companies while other segments have failed to make up for the decline in Medical Platform.</li>
<li>M3 recently bought a majority stake in ELAN, whose consolidation will dilute m3’s margins. The company’s M&amp;A deals have not brought in any significant contribution to consolidated earnings.</li>
</ul>


M3’s share price has dropped 18% since its 2Q earnings release. Both revenue and OP fell below consensus and we were surprised by the drop in OPM for 2Q.
Medical Platform’s earnings have continued to decline as a result of spending cuts by pharmaceutical companies while other segments have failed to make up for the decline in Medical Platform.
M3 recently bought a majority stake in ELAN, whose consolidation will dilute m3’s margins. The company’s M&amp;A deals have not brought in any significant contribution to consolidated earnings.


M3: Earnings Trend Downward, ELAN Acquisition to Further Dilute Margins

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Occidental Petroleum Corporation explores for, develops, produces, and markets crude oil and natural gas.  The Company also manufactures and markets a variety of basic chemicals, vinyls and performance chemicals. Occidental also gathers, treats, processes, transports, stores, trades and markets crude oil, natural gas, NGLs, condensate and carbon dioxide (CO2) and generates and markets power.

<ul>
<li>Occidental's revenue is projected to grow 4.8% QoQ but dip 0.1% YoY, while EPS may drop 27.2% QoQ and 36.4% YoY due to lower realised prices.</li>
<li>Occidental's average realised worldwide oil price is expected at USD 75.3/b, down 6.7% YoY and 5.7% QoQ, largely due to an 8.1% YoY and 6.2% QoQ decline in US prices.</li>
<li>Occidental has committed to reducing at least USD 4.5 billion in debt within 12 months of acquiring CrownRock, having already cut nearly USD 3.8 billion, nearing 85% of its target.</li>
</ul>


Occidental's revenue is projected to grow 4.8% QoQ but dip 0.1% YoY, while EPS may drop 27.2% QoQ and 36.4% YoY due to lower realised prices.
Occidental's average realised worldwide oil price is expected at USD 75.3/b, down 6.7% YoY and 5.7% QoQ, largely due to an 8.1% YoY and 6.2% QoQ decline in US prices.
Occidental has committed to reducing at least USD 4.5 billion in debt within 12 months of acquiring CrownRock, having already cut nearly USD 3.8 billion, nearing 85% of its target.


[Earnings Preview] Occidental's Q3 Profitability Expected to Contract Due to Declining Oil Prices

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Topline Securities

Topline Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Topline Securities is one of the fastest growing brokerage houses in Pakistan. It has strong equity brokerage, economic / equity research, mutual fund distribution, commodity trading and corporate finance & advisory functions. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Air Link Communication / Equity Bottom-Up

Airlink Communication Ltd. is one of the largest manufacturers, distributors, and retailers of smartphones in Pakistan.

<ul><li>Air Link Communication (AIRLINK) announced its 1QFY25 result today, where the company recorded consolidated earnings of Rs842mn (EPS of Rs2.1), up 7% YoY while down 46% QoQ.</li><li>This result came lower than industry expectations due to lower-than-expected sales.</li><li>Net sales clocked in at Rs22bn, down 12% YoY and 40% QoQ. The decline in sales is primarily due to (1) lower inventory levels amid pre buying in June 2024, driven by the imposition of an 18% GST on all mobiles in FY25 budget, and (2) seasonal Muharram days (falling in July 2024), during which sales usually slow down.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Air Link Communication (AIRLINK) announced its 1QFY25 result today, where the company recorded consolidated earnings of Rs842mn (EPS of Rs2.1), up 7% YoY while down 46% QoQ.This result came lower than industry expectations due to lower-than-expected sales.Net sales clocked in at Rs22bn, down 12% YoY and 40% QoQ. The decline in sales is primarily due to (1) lower inventory levels amid pre buying in June 2024, driven by the imposition of an 18% GST on all mobiles in FY25 budget, and (2) seasonal Muharram days (falling in July 2024), during which sales usually slow down.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Air Link Communication (AIRLINK): 1QFY25 EPS at Rs2.1 up 7% YoY - "Buy" stance maintained