IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

CPMC Holdings Ltd. manufactures food packaging products.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>’s offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/org-technology-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17510:1" rel="noopener">ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)</a> is HK$7.21 with a 50% minimum acceptance condition. The first closing date is 10 January.  </li>
<li>CCASS data shows that Mr Wei has tendered (22.01% of outstanding shares). Including acceptances, ORG’s shareholding was 46.63% of outstanding shares as of 24 December.</li>
<li>The Board supports the offer, and it is close to being declared unconditional. At the last close and 25 January payment, the gross/annualized spread was 0.8%/10.9%.</li>
</ul>



CPMC Holdings (906 HK)’s offer from ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH) is HK$7.21 with a 50% minimum acceptance condition. The first closing date is 10 January.  
CCASS data shows that Mr Wei has tendered (22.01% of outstanding shares). Including acceptances, ORG’s shareholding was 46.63% of outstanding shares as of 24 December.
The Board supports the offer, and it is close to being declared unconditional. At the last close and 25 January payment, the gross/annualized spread was 0.8%/10.9%.


CPMC Holdings (906 HK): On the Cusp of Being Declared Unconditional

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

<ul>
<li>The U.S. Department of Defense announced that it has added numerous Chinese companies including Tencent and CATL as companies that work with China's military.</li>
<li>This is likely to negatively impact Tencent and CATL's prices in the next several weeks but positively impact on some of the major Korean rechargeable battery and gaming stocks.</li>
<li>The higher probability scenario at this point is for Tencent and CATL to be officially included in the Chinese Military Industrial Complex list in the coming weeks. </li>
</ul>


The U.S. Department of Defense announced that it has added numerous Chinese companies including Tencent and CATL as companies that work with China's military.
This is likely to negatively impact Tencent and CATL's prices in the next several weeks but positively impact on some of the major Korean rechargeable battery and gaming stocks.
The higher probability scenario at this point is for Tencent and CATL to be officially included in the Chinese Military Industrial Complex list in the coming weeks. 


US Defense Dept Designates Tencent and CATL as Military Companies - Impact on Korean Competitors

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The government has advanced its target for 20% ethanol blending in petrol from 2025 to 2030 , considering recent achievements and public support.</li>
<li>In current season the OMCs have floated tenders for 8.37 bn litres, against 9.7 bn litres required to achieve 20% blending target.</li>
<li>The sector could see margin improvements if options for sugar price hikes or export permissions are introduced, creating a potential upside.</li>
</ul>


The government has advanced its target for 20% ethanol blending in petrol from 2025 to 2030 , considering recent achievements and public support.
In current season the OMCs have floated tenders for 8.37 bn litres, against 9.7 bn litres required to achieve 20% blending target.
The sector could see margin improvements if options for sugar price hikes or export permissions are introduced, creating a potential upside.


Ethanol Industry: Crushing Of Stock Prices Near The End?

Shanghai Henlius Biotech, Inc develops and produces drugs. The Company develops and produces monoclonal antibody biosimilar drugs, bio betters, novel monoclonal antibodys, and other drugs. Shanghai Henlius Biotech throughout China.

<ul>
<li>The vote on Fosun Pharma’s HK$24.60 offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-henlius-biotech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27888:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)</a> is on 22 January. The gross spread widened after the initial tightening due to the precondition satisfaction.</li>
<li>Several readers have enquired about my thoughts on the widening spread. Our conversations have raised several potential concerns that could explain it.</li>
<li>I think these concerns are unwarranted, and the vote should pass. At the last close and for a 15 February payment, the gross/annualised spread is 4.7%/55.0%.</li>
</ul>


The vote on Fosun Pharma’s HK$24.60 offer for Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) is on 22 January. The gross spread widened after the initial tightening due to the precondition satisfaction.
Several readers have enquired about my thoughts on the widening spread. Our conversations have raised several potential concerns that could explain it.
I think these concerns are unwarranted, and the vote should pass. At the last close and for a 15 February payment, the gross/annualised spread is 4.7%/55.0%.


Henlius (2696 HK): Anxiety Creeping Back Ahead of the 22 January Vote

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

<ul>
<li>Automobile retail sales grew by 9% in 2024, driven by strong demand for two-wheelers and passenger vehicles, while commercial vehicle sales remained flat. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microsoft-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15273:1" rel="noopener">Microsoft Corp (MSFT US)</a>  $3 billion investment in India focuses on expanding AI and cloud infrastructure, training 10 million people in AI skills, and building sustainable data centers.</li>
<li>India's real GDP is expected to grow by 6.4% in FY25, down from 8.2% in FY24. Agriculture GVA growth projected at 3.8%, with strong performance in Public Administration and Services.</li>
</ul>


Automobile retail sales grew by 9% in 2024, driven by strong demand for two-wheelers and passenger vehicles, while commercial vehicle sales remained flat. 

Microsoft Corp (MSFT US)  $3 billion investment in India focuses on expanding AI and cloud infrastructure, training 10 million people in AI skills, and building sustainable data centers.
India's real GDP is expected to grow by 6.4% in FY25, down from 8.2% in FY24. Agriculture GVA growth projected at 3.8%, with strong performance in Public Administration and Services.


#82 India Insight: Automobile Sales Surge 9%, Microsoft’s $3Bn Inv in India, FY25 GDP Growth at 6.4%

China
Insights on China

CPMC Holdings (906 HK): On the Cusp of Being Declared Unconditional

Based on CCASS data, ORG’s shareholding, including acceptances, is 50.10% of outstanding shares as of 7 January. Therefore, the offer has become...

Arun George

US Defense Dept Designates Tencent and CATL as Military Companies - Impact on Korean Competitors

The U.S. Department of Defense announced that it has added numerous Chinese companies including Tencent and CATL as companies that work with...

Douglas Kim

Ethanol Industry: Crushing Of Stock Prices Near The End?

Government delays 20% ethanol blending target to 2030, OMCs fall short on required litres, potential margin improvements with sugar price hikes or...

Nimish Maheshwari

Henlius (2696 HK): Anxiety Creeping Back Ahead of the 22 January Vote

Several readers have enquired about my thoughts on the widening spread. Our conversations have raised several potential concerns that could explain...

Arun George

#82 India Insight: Automobile Sales Surge 9%, Microsoft’s $3Bn Inv in India, FY25 GDP Growth at 6.4%

Automobile retail sales grew by 9% in 2024, Microsoft invests $3 billion in India for AI and cloud infrastructure, India's real GDP expected to...

Sudarshan Bhandari

CPMC Holdings (906 HK): On the Cusp of Being Declared Unconditional

Based on CCASS data, ORG’s shareholding, including acceptances, is 50.10% of outstanding shares as of 7 January. Therefore, the offer has become...

Arun George

US Defense Dept Designates Tencent and CATL as Military Companies - Impact on Korean Competitors

The U.S. Department of Defense announced that it has added numerous Chinese companies including Tencent and CATL as companies that work with...

Douglas Kim

Ethanol Industry: Crushing Of Stock Prices Near The End?

​Government delays 20% ethanol blending target to 2030, OMCs fall short on required litres, potential margin improvements with sugar price hikes or...

Nimish Maheshwari

Henlius (2696 HK): Anxiety Creeping Back Ahead of the 22 January Vote

Several readers have enquired about my thoughts on the widening spread. Our conversations have raised several potential concerns that could explain...

Arun George

#82 India Insight: Automobile Sales Surge 9%, Microsoft’s $3Bn Inv in India, FY25 GDP Growth at 6.4%

​Automobile retail sales grew by 9% in 2024, Microsoft invests $3 billion in India for AI and cloud infrastructure, India's real GDP expected to...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Government delays 20% ethanol blending target to 2030, OMCs fall short on required litres, potential margin improvements with sugar price hikes or...

Automobile retail sales grew by 9% in 2024, Microsoft invests $3 billion in India for AI and cloud infrastructure, India's real GDP expected to...