Macro Regime Model: Inflation down while growth is on the up?
Every month, we present our best evaluation of the present and approaching month’s macroeconomic conditions, balancing risks and rewards. We put...
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Great Game: McCarthy blinked first
On a tension-filled Saturday, a mere three hours away from a government shutdown, the US Senate passed a continuing resolution ensuring the wheels...
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Steno Signals #67 – 150bps Higher 10yr Yields and Parity up Next in EURUSD?
There are good reasons to chant “Europe, Europe, Europe” on the golf course, but not in financial markets as Europe is once again tested by...
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Positioning Watch – Oil Longs Are Not as Big as You Think
Welcome back to our weekly positioning watch, where we run through interest positioning insights/data collected throughout the week.
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The Weekly Market Monitor – Immaculate Disinflation, Spiking Yields, and the Waiting Continues
Inflation is collapsing and even turned negative in the Netherlands. Yet, bond yields continue to spike, providing ample downside risk for equities.
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