Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets, At Any Rate

At Any Rate

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets

Analysts from J.P. Morgan’s Research team take a closer look at the stories behind some of the biggest trends, themes and developments in markets today.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>Recent washout in EMFX carry trades</li><li>Currency volume may increase as global growth remains firm and interest rates change</li><li>US elections event risk pricing may see heightened sensitivity and volatility as election day approaches</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Recent washout in EMFX carry tradesCurrency volume may increase as global growth remains firm and interest rates changeUS elections event risk pricing may see heightened sensitivity and volatility as election day approachesThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global FX: FX Volatility Bumpy, but Capped in H2

Managing Partner, VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

Managing Partner

Valuation & Research Specialists (VRS) is a boutique financial advisor with more than 17 years of experience in Corporate Valuation and Finance, and a diversified client base including some of the largest Companies in Greece.

Since 2002, VRS has completed more than 200 engagements in the areas of business valuation and financial analysis for more than 100 clients in a wide range of industries.

VRS has been honored to work with small and large private and publicly traded companies in Europe and overseas.

Boutique Financial Advisor

<ul><li>During the period under consideration, i.e. April 3rd, 2024 to May 3rd, 2024, the EUR/USD pair posted both downward and upward swings.</li><li>In the beginning, it faced a slight increase, while from April 9th until April 18th the pair faced a sharp decrease.</li><li>After that, it fluctuated sideways and by the end of the period the pair traded at a higher level but still below the price level of the start of April. </li></ul>

During the period under consideration, i.e. April 3rd, 2024 to May 3rd, 2024, the EUR/USD pair posted both downward and upward swings.In the beginning, it faced a slight increase, while from April 9th until April 18th the pair faced a sharp decrease.After that, it fluctuated sideways and by the end of the period the pair traded at a higher level but still below the price level of the start of April. 

Comment on Exchange Rate EUR/USD - May 3, 2024

<ul><li>Swap spreads narrowed late last week by three basis points across the curve, likely influenced by developments in European markets</li><li>French President Macron's decision to dissolve parliament and call for snap elections has caused uncertainty in the fiscal outlook, leading to de-risking of European sovereign bond holdings</li><li>While last week's moves in US markets were significant, it is unlikely to continue as US treasuries are expected to remain stable and demand is expected to stay strong, supported by the rate cycle turning and potential easing from the Fed</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Swap spreads narrowed late last week by three basis points across the curve, likely influenced by developments in European marketsFrench President Macron's decision to dissolve parliament and call for snap elections has caused uncertainty in the fiscal outlook, leading to de-risking of European sovereign bond holdingsWhile last week's moves in US markets were significant, it is unlikely to continue as US treasuries are expected to remain stable and demand is expected to stay strong, supported by the rate cycle turning and potential easing from the FedThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Mizuho

Mizuho

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Mizuho Bank is a leading global bank with one of the largest customer bases in Japan, and an extensive international network covering financial and business centers around the world. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>The dollar/yen pair opened the month trading at 157.70 yen.</li><li>It then hit a monthly high of 157.99 yen, though it subsequently fell to the lower-157 yen mark on the dovish FOMC meeting.</li><li>The pair then plummeted to the lower153 yen level during the early hours of May 2 on what appeared to be an intervention by the Japanese authorities.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The dollar/yen pair opened the month trading at 157.70 yen.It then hit a monthly high of 157.99 yen, though it subsequently fell to the lower-157 yen mark on the dovish FOMC meeting.The pair then plummeted to the lower153 yen level during the early hours of May 2 on what appeared to be an intervention by the Japanese authorities.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Expectation of a 25 basis point cut from the ECB with a focus on delivering on that commitment</li><li>Market pricing in an incomplete cutting cycle, with potential for further easing depending on inflation dynamics</li><li>Long duration valuations attractive in both short and intermediate sectors of the curve, with limited risk of a significant sell-off.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Expectation of a 25 basis point cut from the ECB with a focus on delivering on that commitmentMarket pricing in an incomplete cutting cycle, with potential for further easing depending on inflation dynamicsLong duration valuations attractive in both short and intermediate sectors of the curve, with limited risk of a significant sell-off.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global Rates : A Round up of Hot Topics for European Rate Markets

United States

The euro is the official currency of the European Economic & Monetary Union.  The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

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EURO/US DOLLAR (EURUSD CURNCY)

Global FX: FX Volatility Bumpy, but Capped in H2

The recent washout in EMFX carry trades, low FX volume compared to other indicators, firm global growth and broad PMI strength, the world being...

At Any Rate

Comment on Exchange Rate EUR/USD - May 3, 2024

During the period under consideration, i.e. April 3rd, 2024 to May 3rd, 2024, the EUR/USD pair posted both downward and upward swings.

VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

Global Rates: Pardon my French

In summary, swap spreads narrowed due to European market effects, French elections caused uncertainty, US treasury cheapened versus swaps, but...

At Any Rate

Mizuho Dealer's Eye (June, 2024)

The dollar/yen pair opened the month trading at 157.70 yen. It then hit a monthly high of 157.99 yen, though it subsequently fell to the lower-157...

Mizuho

Global Rates : A Round up of Hot Topics for European Rate Markets

The upcoming meeting is expected to result in a 25 basis point cut, with increases in core inflation projections for 2025 and potentially...

At Any Rate

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