Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets, At Any Rate

At Any Rate

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets

Analysts from J.P. Morgan’s Research team take a closer look at the stories behind some of the biggest trends, themes and developments in markets today.

FX & Rates

<ul>
<li>Dollar long positions have been reduced by 40% since the end of May, leading to a weakening dollar and higher US yields</li>
<li>Market focus is shifting to the US with upcoming events like payrolls, CPI, and FOMC meeting, where inflation and Fed projections will be key factors in determining FX trades</li>
<li>Potential for changes in Fed's dot projections and neutral rate could also impact market reactions to FOMC meeting outcomes</li>
</ul>
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Dollar long positions have been reduced by 40% since the end of May, leading to a weakening dollar and higher US yields
Market focus is shifting to the US with upcoming events like payrolls, CPI, and FOMC meeting, where inflation and Fed projections will be key factors in determining FX trades
Potential for changes in Fed's dot projections and neutral rate could also impact market reactions to FOMC meeting outcomes

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global FX: G10 Central Bank Meetings and Read-Across for Currencies

Managing Partner, VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

Managing Partner

Valuation & Research Specialists (VRS) is a boutique financial advisor with more than 17 years of experience in Corporate Valuation and Finance, and a diversified client base including some of the largest Companies in Greece.

Since 2002, VRS has completed more than 200 engagements in the areas of business valuation and financial analysis for more than 100 clients in a wide range of industries.

VRS has been honored to work with small and large private and publicly traded companies in Europe and overseas.

Boutique Financial Advisor

<ul><li>During the period under consideration, i.e. February 28th , 2024 to March 29th, 2024, the EUR/JPY exchange rate fluctuated between 160.55 and 165.17.</li><li>The MA-10 line was moving above the MA-20 line for the first two weeks, and then it crossed below the MA-20, maintaining a steady movement until it crossed over again on March 22nd MA-20 line retained upward trend throughout the entire period.</li><li>Based on Graph 2, the CCI (red line) was moving downwards at the beginning of the period under consideration but after March 12th the movement changed to the opposite direction.</li></ul>

During the period under consideration, i.e. February 28th , 2024 to March 29th, 2024, the EUR/JPY exchange rate fluctuated between 160.55 and 165.17.The MA-10 line was moving above the MA-20 line for the first two weeks, and then it crossed below the MA-20, maintaining a steady movement until it crossed over again on March 22nd MA-20 line retained upward trend throughout the entire period.Based on Graph 2, the CCI (red line) was moving downwards at the beginning of the period under consideration but after March 12th the movement changed to the opposite direction.

Comment on Exchange Rate - EUR/JPY - March 29, 2024

<ul><li>Strong dollar not seen as a problem for the US or the Fed, more concerning for the rest of the world</li><li>Unlikely to see coordinated global intervention due to high hurdles and lack of exceptional circumstances</li><li>Dollar CNY stability due to PBOC holding it down, may welcome cooling pressures on the currency from Japan and Korea verbal interventions</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Strong dollar not seen as a problem for the US or the Fed, more concerning for the rest of the worldUnlikely to see coordinated global intervention due to high hurdles and lack of exceptional circumstancesDollar CNY stability due to PBOC holding it down, may welcome cooling pressures on the currency from Japan and Korea verbal interventionsThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global FX: A Strong Dollar Is Not a US Problem

<ul><li>Powell's dovish tone at the press conference led to initial market reaction, but subsequent dollar rally due to revised growth and inflation forecasts in the SCP release</li><li>Market leaning towards higher median dot in SCP, but overall outlook remains for shallower cutting cycle by Fed</li><li>Yen vulnerability due to negative real yields despite BOJ rate hikes, yen weakening may impact other Asian currencies and markets</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Powell's dovish tone at the press conference led to initial market reaction, but subsequent dollar rally due to revised growth and inflation forecasts in the SCP releaseMarket leaning towards higher median dot in SCP, but overall outlook remains for shallower cutting cycle by FedYen vulnerability due to negative real yields despite BOJ rate hikes, yen weakening may impact other Asian currencies and marketsThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global FX: An Uncomfortable Setup for USD Bulls and Bears

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>The USD is a little softer for a second day running as it continues to edge away from recent range peaks.</li><li>Trading appears light, with markets not particularly incentivized to move the USD significantly higher, or that much lower, while monetary policy prospects remain unclear.</li><li>A slightly firmer yuan, supported by the PBoC setting another strong fixing rate, has added to pressure on the USD somewhat in broad terms. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The USD is a little softer for a second day running as it continues to edge away from recent range peaks.Trading appears light, with markets not particularly incentivized to move the USD significantly higher, or that much lower, while monetary policy prospects remain unclear.A slightly firmer yuan, supported by the PBoC setting another strong fixing rate, has added to pressure on the USD somewhat in broad terms. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily - USD Drifts Lower in Quiet Trade

United States

The euro is the official currency of the European Economic & Monetary Union.  The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

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EURO/US DOLLAR (EURUSD CURNCY)

Global FX: G10 Central Bank Meetings and Read-Across for Currencies

The dollar has weakened as investors reduce long positions, and market focus shifts to upcoming US data and the Federal Reserve's actions.

At Any Rate

Comment on Exchange Rate - EUR/JPY - March 29, 2024

During the period under consideration, i.e. February 28th , 2024 to March 29th, 2024, the EUR/JPY exchange rate fluctuated between 160.55 and 165.17.

VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

Global FX: A Strong Dollar Is Not a US Problem

The strong dollar is not a major concern for the US or the Federal Reserve, but could pose challenges for the rest of the world, making coordinated...

At Any Rate

Global FX: An Uncomfortable Setup for USD Bulls and Bears

The dovish tone from Powell led to a dollar rally, with potential future rate hikes and mixed signals for FX traders, particularly impacting Asian...

At Any Rate

FX Daily - USD Drifts Lower in Quiet Trade

Trading appears light, with markets not particularly incentivized to move the USD significantly higher, or that much lower, while monetary policy...

Scotiabank

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)