External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>Sentiment and positioning data continue to suggest a meaningful shift in broader market thinking on the outlook for the USD.</li><li>CFTC data for the week through to last Tuesday indicate a further move away from the USD.</li><li>Non-Commercial (speculative) accounts held a net USD short position (aggregated across the major currencies we monitor in this report) of USD1.7bn after initiating a minor net USD short in the prior week’s data. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sentiment and positioning data continue to suggest a meaningful shift in broader market thinking on the outlook for the USD.CFTC data for the week through to last Tuesday indicate a further move away from the USD.Non-Commercial (speculative) accounts held a net USD short position (aggregated across the major currencies we monitor in this report) of USD1.7bn after initiating a minor net USD short in the prior week’s data. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Speculative Sentiment Shifts Against the USD

<ul><li>CFTC data covering the March 11th week reflect the recent trend of fading USD bull sentiment.</li><li>Aggregate Non-Commercial (speculative) USD-bullish positioning dropped for the eighth week on the bounce, with these accounts halving net USD longs to USD4.9bn.</li><li>Recall that peak speculative USD bullishness was reached in mid -January when net USD longs reached USD35bn. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CFTC data covering the March 11th week reflect the recent trend of fading USD bull sentiment.Aggregate Non-Commercial (speculative) USD-bullish positioning dropped for the eighth week on the bounce, with these accounts halving net USD longs to USD4.9bn.Recall that peak speculative USD bullishness was reached in mid -January when net USD longs reached USD35bn. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report – Speculative Traders Turn Bearish on the USD

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets, At Any Rate

At Any Rate

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets

Analysts from J.P. Morgan’s Research team take a closer look at the stories behind some of the biggest trends, themes and developments in markets today.

<ul><li>Recent fall in US inflation breakevens driven by change in growth expectations and trade policy developments</li><li>US breakevens appear somewhat cheap versus fair value framework, with near term inflation risks still skewed to the upside</li><li>European breakevens have outperformed due to seismic shift in German fiscal policy, leading to a backup in intermediate yields on the German curve.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Recent fall in US inflation breakevens driven by change in growth expectations and trade policy developmentsUS breakevens appear somewhat cheap versus fair value framework, with near term inflation risks still skewed to the upsideEuropean breakevens have outperformed due to seismic shift in German fiscal policy, leading to a backup in intermediate yields on the German curve.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global Rates – Discussing the divergent drivers of US and EUR breakevens

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Speculative EUR Sentiment Turns Bullish

<ul><li>Revised eurodollar forecast up to 116, more bearish on the dollar</li><li>Erosion of US exceptionalism due to tariff policy blowback</li><li>Introduction of new conceptual framework called the dollar tariff smile to understand FX reaction to tariffs</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Revised eurodollar forecast up to 116, more bearish on the dollarErosion of US exceptionalism due to tariff policy blowbackIntroduction of new conceptual framework called the dollar tariff smile to understand FX reaction to tariffsThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global FX: Traversing the USD tariff smile

United States

The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

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USD (USD CURNCY)

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Speculative Sentiment Shifts Against the USD

Sentiment and positioning data continue to suggest a meaningful shift in broader market thinking on the outlook for the USD.

Scotiabank

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report – Speculative Traders Turn Bearish on the USD

Aggregate Non-Commercial (speculative) USD-bullish positioning dropped for the eighth week on the bounce, with these accounts halving net USD longs...

Scotiabank

Global Rates – Discussing the divergent drivers of US and EUR breakevens

US inflation breakevens have fallen due to changes in growth expectations and trade policy developments, while Euro area breakevens have...

At Any Rate

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Speculative EUR Sentiment Turns Bullish

Aggregate Non-Commercial (speculative) USD-bullish positioning dropped for the eighth week on the bounce, with these accounts halving net USD longs...

Scotiabank

Global FX: Traversing the USD tariff smile

The revised eurodollar forecast predicts a potential increase to 116 as the US dollar weakens due to US exceptionalism moderating and the impact of...

At Any Rate

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