Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Global macro never sleeps, and this week is no exception with ongoing turmoil in US equity space amidst the big 7 reporting earnings.</li><li>The last quarter of the year will most likely define how asset markets will perform well into next 2024 with USDJPY hovering just below the all important 150 handle and global central banks likely heading towards the end of their cutting cycle.</li><li>As always, we have collected 5 of the things we find to be the most important to watch in the current landscape.</li></ul>

Global macro never sleeps, and this week is no exception with ongoing turmoil in US equity space amidst the big 7 reporting earnings.The last quarter of the year will most likely define how asset markets will perform well into next 2024 with USDJPY hovering just below the all important 150 handle and global central banks likely heading towards the end of their cutting cycle.As always, we have collected 5 of the things we find to be the most important to watch in the current landscape.

5 Things We Watch – Central Bank Outlook, USDJPY, Natural Gas, Credit & Liquidity

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>FX Market Update—Markets are generally steadier after yesterday’s swings. Global stocks are mostly positive and US equity futures are in the green.</li><li>Major bond markets are adding to yesterday’s gains but US Treasurys are little changed.</li><li>The USD is trading mixed versus its major currency peers but has edged off the early session low atter European FX weakened on softer data. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Market Update—Markets are generally steadier after yesterday’s swings. Global stocks are mostly positive and US equity futures are in the green.Major bond markets are adding to yesterday’s gains but US Treasurys are little changed.The USD is trading mixed versus its major currency peers but has edged off the early session low atter European FX weakened on softer data. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily - USD Steadies as EUR Slips on Soft PMI Data

<ul><li>FX Market Update—The USD remains firm but gains versus the core majors are relatively minor, leaving the more significant USD advances on day so far concentrated against the likes of the MXN and ZAR as well as the NOK and SEK.</li><li>The GBP, CHF and JPY are all down less than 0.1% while the EUR is fractionally higher at writing. Stocks are lower in Asia and Europe while US futures are weaker.</li><li>Crude prices are slightly lower and bond market volatility remains elevated. US 10Y yields are up 9-10bps in overnight trade, reaching a little above 5%, while core European yields are up 7bps or so on the day. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Market Update—The USD remains firm but gains versus the core majors are relatively minor, leaving the more significant USD advances on day so far concentrated against the likes of the MXN and ZAR as well as the NOK and SEK.The GBP, CHF and JPY are all down less than 0.1% while the EUR is fractionally higher at writing. Stocks are lower in Asia and Europe while US futures are weaker.Crude prices are slightly lower and bond market volatility remains elevated. US 10Y yields are up 9-10bps in overnight trade, reaching a little above 5%, while core European yields are up 7bps or so on the day. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily - USD Firmer but Core Majors Hold Steady

<ul>
<li>
The world of Macro never fails at keeping us busy and this week I reveal the 10 charts that I currently monitor daily to keep myself up to speed on allocations amidst this turbulence. Enjoy (the ride)! It’s been evident for a while that the diversification effects from US Treasuries are weak and we are now approaching a record high correlation between Equity and Bond returns. 
</li>
<li>If you haven’t already altered your portfolio composition, it is already overdue as the 60/40 portfolio seems structurally challenged.</li>
</ul>



The world of Macro never fails at keeping us busy and this week I reveal the 10 charts that I currently monitor daily to keep myself up to speed on allocations amidst this turbulence. Enjoy (the ride)!   It’s been evident for a while that the diversification effects from US Treasuries are weak and we are now approaching a record high correlation between Equity and Bond returns. 

If you haven’t already altered your portfolio composition, it is already overdue as the 60/40 portfolio seems structurally challenged.


Steno Signals #70 – 10 Charts You NEED to Monitor in Global Macro

<ul><li>FX Market Update—Risk aversion is the primary characteristic of the markets this morning.</li><li>Global stocks remain soft as investors reduce exposure to equities amid concerns about a weekend escalation of the Israel/Hamas conflict.</li><li>Crude oil prices have picked up a little while major bond markets are mixed; US Treasury yields have eased 4- 5bps from yesterday’s close.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Market Update—Risk aversion is the primary characteristic of the markets this morning.Global stocks remain soft as investors reduce exposure to equities amid concerns about a weekend escalation of the Israel/Hamas conflict.Crude oil prices have picked up a little while major bond markets are mixed; US Treasury yields have eased 4- 5bps from yesterday’s close.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily - USD Mixed Despite Weak Risk Appetite

Japan

The Japanese yen is the official currency of Japan. 

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5 Things We Watch – Central Bank Outlook, USDJPY, Natural Gas, Credit & Liquidity

Global macro never sleeps, and this week is no exception with ongoing turmoil in US equity space amidst the big 7 reporting earnings. The last...

Steno Research

FX Daily - USD Steadies as EUR Slips on Soft PMI Data

FX Market Update—Markets are generally steadier after yesterday’s swings. Global stocks are mostly positive and US equity futures are in the green.

Scotiabank

FX Daily - USD Firmer but Core Majors Hold Steady

The GBP, CHF and JPY are all down less than 0.1% while the EUR is fractionally higher at writing. Stocks are lower in Asia and Europe while US...

Scotiabank

Steno Signals #70 – 10 Charts You NEED to Monitor in Global Macro

Happy Sunday from Mallorca and welcome to our weekly flagship editorial. The world of Macro never fails at keeping us busy and this week I reveal...

Steno Research

FX Daily - USD Mixed Despite Weak Risk Appetite

Global stocks remain soft as investors reduce exposure to equities amid concerns about a weekend escalation of the Israel/Hamas conflict.

Scotiabank

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)