Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The heightened political conflict between Russia and Ukraine which could lead to a more deadly military conflict has been impacting many defense related stocks in Korea this year.</li>
<li>A big concern is that this conflict could result in greater political outbursts around the world including between Taiwan &amp; China and South Korea &amp; North Korea.</li>
<li>The continued political conflict between Russia and Ukraine which could lead to further military conflict could lead to further outperformance of Korean defense stocks in the coming weeks. </li>
</ul>


The heightened political conflict between Russia and Ukraine which could lead to a more deadly military conflict has been impacting many defense related stocks in Korea this year.
A big concern is that this conflict could result in greater political outbursts around the world including between Taiwan &amp; China and South Korea &amp; North Korea.
The continued political conflict between Russia and Ukraine which could lead to further military conflict could lead to further outperformance of Korean defense stocks in the coming weeks. 


Korean Defense Plays Outperforming the Market in Light of Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Contec is getting ready to complete an IPO on the KOSDAQ exchange in October 2023. The IPO price range is from 20,300 won to 22,500 won. </li>
<li>According to the bankers' valuation, the expected IPO market cap is from 292 billion won to 324 billion won.</li>
<li>Contec was spun off from Korea Aerospace Research Institute and offers Space Ground Station Services and Satellite Image Processing &amp; Application Services.</li>
</ul>


Contec is getting ready to complete an IPO on the KOSDAQ exchange in October 2023. The IPO price range is from 20,300 won to 22,500 won. 
According to the bankers' valuation, the expected IPO market cap is from 292 billion won to 324 billion won.
Contec was spun off from Korea Aerospace Research Institute and offers Space Ground Station Services and Satellite Image Processing &amp; Application Services.


Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After the market close on 23 August, Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS) confirmed that it will conduct a massive rights offering of 2 trillion won.</li>
<li>The expected rights offering price is 22,350 won, which is 36% discount to current price. </li>
<li>We believe this rights offering is likely to dilute the existing shareholders and negatively impact Hanwha Ocean's share price.</li>
</ul>


After the market close on 23 August, Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS) confirmed that it will conduct a massive rights offering of 2 trillion won.
The expected rights offering price is 22,350 won, which is 36% discount to current price. 
We believe this rights offering is likely to dilute the existing shareholders and negatively impact Hanwha Ocean's share price.


Hanwha Ocean: Big Shares Dilution from Rights Offering of 2 Trillion Won

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>According to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), total global military expenditure increased by 3.7% in real terms in 2022, to reach a new high of $2,240bn.</li>
<li>A number of European states significantly increased their military spending following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Elsewhere, Japan’s 2022 military spending accounts for 1.1% of GDP, the highest level since 1960.</li>
<li>South Korea had four companies inside the world’s top 100 arms manufacturers in 2021. These conglomerates are expected to move up the ranking in 2022. </li>
</ul>


According to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), total global military expenditure increased by 3.7% in real terms in 2022, to reach a new high of $2,240bn.
A number of European states significantly increased their military spending following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Elsewhere, Japan’s 2022 military spending accounts for 1.1% of GDP, the highest level since 1960.
South Korea had four companies inside the world’s top 100 arms manufacturers in 2021. These conglomerates are expected to move up the ranking in 2022. 


Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The Starlink service is expected to be launched in Korea in 2Q/3Q 2023. Starlink gained more than 1 million active subscribers globally as of December 2022.</li>
<li>The launch of the Starlink service in Korea is likely to have a positive impact on  companies such as Hanwha Aerospace, Solu-M, Intellian Technologies, and Satrec Initiative.</li>
<li>We like a pair trade involving long (basket of 8 stocks above that are positively impacted by Starlink launch in Korea) and short (three major Korean telcos).</li>
</ul>


The Starlink service is expected to be launched in Korea in 2Q/3Q 2023. Starlink gained more than 1 million active subscribers globally as of December 2022.
The launch of the Starlink service in Korea is likely to have a positive impact on  companies such as Hanwha Aerospace, Solu-M, Intellian Technologies, and Satrec Initiative.
We like a pair trade involving long (basket of 8 stocks above that are positively impacted by Starlink launch in Korea) and short (three major Korean telcos).


Launch of Starlink Service by SpaceX - Impact on 11 Korean Companies

South Korea

Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. operates as an aircraft parts manufacturing company. The Company produces and sells aircraft gas turbine engine products, aircraft compressors, low pressure turbines, and other products. Hanwha Aerospace markets its products worldwide.

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Hanwha Aerospace (012450 KS)

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Hanwha Ocean: Big Shares Dilution from Rights Offering of 2 Trillion Won

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Launch of Starlink Service by SpaceX - Impact on 11 Korean Companies

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Douglas Kim

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