IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Canvest Environmental Protection Group / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/i-pex-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12587:1" rel="noopener">I-PEX (6640 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lac-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8480:1" rel="noopener">Lac Co Ltd (3857 JP),</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-henlius-biotech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27888:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29667:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/net-one-systems-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1279:1" rel="noopener">Net One Systems (7518 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/platinum-asset-management" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:914:1" rel="noopener">Platinum Asset Management (PTM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-gaia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8339:1" rel="noopener">T Gaia Corp (3738 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elematec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2866:1" rel="noopener">Elematec Corp (2715 JP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads: I-PEX (6640 JP), Lac Co Ltd (3857 JP),Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP), Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK), Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK). 
Lowest spreads: Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP), Net One Systems (7518 JP), Platinum Asset Management (PTM AU), T Gaia Corp (3738 JP), Elematec Corp (2715 JP). 


Merger Arb Mondays (11 Nov) - Canvest, Get Nice, I-PEX, LAC, I'rom, Net One, Fuji Soft, NEC Networks

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dyna-mac-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16153:1" rel="noopener">Dyna Mac Holdings (DMHL SP)</a> announced very early this morning that the Hanwha Group now holds &gt;50% of shares, <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/Offer_Declared_Unconditional_as_to_Acceptances_Announcement.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=824043" target="_blank" rel="noopener">satisfying the tendering condition</a>.</li>
<li>The Offer remains subject to approval from the Competition and Consumer Commission of Singapore. Public feedback closed on the 18th October. No date on a decision is currently available. </li>
<li>The Lim Estate, holding ~31%,  has not yet tendered. But they will do so shortly - according to a media announcement - as the Hanwha Group inches towards compulsory acquisition. </li>
</ul>



Dyna Mac Holdings (DMHL SP) announced very early this morning that the Hanwha Group now holds &gt;50% of shares, satisfying the tendering condition.
The Offer remains subject to approval from the Competition and Consumer Commission of Singapore. Public feedback closed on the 18th October. No date on a decision is currently available. 
The Lim Estate, holding ~31%,  has not yet tendered. But they will do so shortly - according to a media announcement - as the Hanwha Group inches towards compulsory acquisition. 


Dyna-Mac (DMHL SP): Tendering Condition Satisfied

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Nov 1st which has an aggregated holding worth USD507.9bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,513mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Apr, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Nov 1st which has an aggregated holding worth USD507.9bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,513mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Apr, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 1st): Apr, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Hyosung Heavy Industries Corp / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With the review period for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> December rebalance complete, there should be 4 adds and 5 deletes at the review.</li>
<li>The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 2.3-23 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 5-16 days of ADV.</li>
<li>The forecast adds outperformed the forecast deletes early in the review period but there has been little to see over the last few months.</li>
</ul>


With the review period for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) December rebalance complete, there should be 4 adds and 5 deletes at the review.
The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 2.3-23 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 5-16 days of ADV.
The forecast adds outperformed the forecast deletes early in the review period but there has been little to see over the last few months.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes as Review Period Ends

Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-capital-grand-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18241:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-henlius-biotech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27888:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canvest-environmental-protection-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:100:1" rel="noopener">Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a>. 
</li>
<li>Lowest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/platinum-asset-management" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:914:1" rel="noopener">Platinum Asset Management (PTM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silverlake-axis-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14150:1" rel="noopener">Silverlake Axis (SILV SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-gaia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8339:1" rel="noopener">T Gaia Corp (3738 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elematec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2866:1" rel="noopener">Elematec Corp (2715 JP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads: Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP), Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK), Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK), Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK), Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK). 

Lowest spreads: Platinum Asset Management (PTM AU), Silverlake Axis (SILV SP), Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP), T Gaia Corp (3738 JP), Elematec Corp (2715 JP). 


Merger Arb Mondays (04 Nov) - Haitong, Canvest, Capital Grand, Capitol, Fuji Soft, NESIC, Elematec

South Korea

Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. operates as an aircraft parts manufacturing company. The Company produces and sells aircraft gas turbine engine products, aircraft compressors, low pressure turbines, and other products. Hanwha Aerospace markets its products worldwide.

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Hanwha Aerospace (012450 KS)

Merger Arb Mondays (11 Nov) - Canvest, Get Nice, I-PEX, LAC, I'rom, Net One, Fuji Soft, NEC Networks

This week, the highest gross spreads are I-PEX (47.6%), LAC (29.5%), Seven & I (25.1%), Henlius (17.1%), Get Nice Financial (14.5%), Canvest...

Arun George

Dyna-Mac (DMHL SP): Tendering Condition Satisfied

Trading super tight at S$0.665/share as I type. IF I was an arbitrageur, and already in, I'd be selling here. Otherwise, this is an avoid.

David Blennerhassett

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 1st): Apr, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Apr, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes as Review Period Ends

Review period complete. We forecast 4 adds, 5 deletes with some close names. Passive trading impact is 2.3-16x ADV. Adds outperformed deletes early...

Brian Freitas

Merger Arb Mondays (04 Nov) - Haitong, Canvest, Capital Grand, Capitol, Fuji Soft, NESIC, Elematec

This week, the highest gross spreads are Seven & I (28.8%), Capital Grand (18.1%), Henlius (13.1%), Canvest (12.4%), GA Pack (10.0%), Shinko...

Arun George

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