Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 4 July, NPS disclosed the details of the ownership changes for 112 listed companies in Korea, of which 87 were listed in KOSPI and 25 in KOSDAQ. </li>
<li>In 2Q 2024, the NPS reduced its investments in defense and military stocks and increased investments in cosmetics, shipbuilding, and food companies in Korea.</li>
<li>NPS reduced its capital allocation to the military &amp; defense sector. NPS reduced its stake in LIG Nex1 (-2.32%), Poongsan Corp (-2.24%), and Hanwha Aerospace (-1.02%). </li>
</ul>


On 4 July, NPS disclosed the details of the ownership changes for 112 listed companies in Korea, of which 87 were listed in KOSPI and 25 in KOSDAQ. 
In 2Q 2024, the NPS reduced its investments in defense and military stocks and increased investments in cosmetics, shipbuilding, and food companies in Korea.
NPS reduced its capital allocation to the military &amp; defense sector. NPS reduced its stake in LIG Nex1 (-2.32%), Poongsan Corp (-2.24%), and Hanwha Aerospace (-1.02%). 


What Did NPS Buy and Sell in Korean Stock Market in 2Q 2024?

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 5 April, Hanwha Aerospace (012450 KS) formally announced that it will spin off its semiconductor equipment and video surveillance units which contributed to about 16% of its revenue. </li>
<li>We are Negative on Hanwha Aerospace mainly due to valuations. Its share price has risen so much in the past year that its valuations are no longer attractive.</li>
<li>Hanwha Aerospace is trading at premium valuation to Lockheed Martin on an EV/EBITDA basis. Despite its recent strong growth, Hanwha Aerospace is no Lockheed Martin. </li>
</ul>


On 5 April, Hanwha Aerospace (012450 KS) formally announced that it will spin off its semiconductor equipment and video surveillance units which contributed to about 16% of its revenue. 
We are Negative on Hanwha Aerospace mainly due to valuations. Its share price has risen so much in the past year that its valuations are no longer attractive.
Hanwha Aerospace is trading at premium valuation to Lockheed Martin on an EV/EBITDA basis. Despite its recent strong growth, Hanwha Aerospace is no Lockheed Martin. 


Hanwha Aerospace: Spin Off of Semiconductor Equipment and Video Surveillance Units

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 19th which has an aggregated holding worth USD563.2bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD350mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Samsung Heavy In, Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Doosan Bobcat.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 19th which has an aggregated holding worth USD563.2bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD350mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Samsung Heavy In, Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Doosan Bobcat.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 19th): Samsung Heavy In, Samsung Electronics, Doosan Bobcat

<ul>
<li>In the past several days, there have been numerous local news about a substantial defense cooperation between Saudi Arabia and South Korea. </li>
<li>This could result in billions of dollars in new military/defense related systems new orders for numerous companies in Korea in the coming decade. </li>
<li>If there are major long-term arms deal between Saudi Arabia and South Korea, it could benefit the top defense companies in Korea including Hanwha Aerospace and Korea Aerospace Industries. </li>
</ul>


In the past several days, there have been numerous local news about a substantial defense cooperation between Saudi Arabia and South Korea. 
This could result in billions of dollars in new military/defense related systems new orders for numerous companies in Korea in the coming decade. 
If there are major long-term arms deal between Saudi Arabia and South Korea, it could benefit the top defense companies in Korea including Hanwha Aerospace and Korea Aerospace Industries. 


A Major Defense Cooperation Between Saudi Arabia and South Korea Likely

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to ride this trend higher and buy dips as long as ACWI-US and EEM-US remain above supports at $110 and $41-$42.</li>
<li>In our previous Int'l Compass (June 27) we discussed the rotation that we believed was starting, whereby global Technology (IXN-US) would consolidate as investors rotate to laggard areas.</li>
<li>This rotation has continued while Technology goes through a healthy consolidation. Continue to focus on other more value-oriented Sectors while Technology/growth consolidates</li>
</ul>


Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to ride this trend higher and buy dips as long as ACWI-US and EEM-US remain above supports at $110 and $41-$42.
In our previous Int'l Compass (June 27) we discussed the rotation that we believed was starting, whereby global Technology (IXN-US) would consolidate as investors rotate to laggard areas.
This rotation has continued while Technology goes through a healthy consolidation. Continue to focus on other more value-oriented Sectors while Technology/growth consolidates


Rotation Continues; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in Global Financials, Industrials, Discretionary

South Korea

Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. operates as an aircraft parts manufacturing company. The Company produces and sells aircraft gas turbine engine products, aircraft compressors, low pressure turbines, and other products. Hanwha Aerospace markets its products worldwide.

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Hanwha Aerospace (012450 KS)

What Did NPS Buy and Sell in Korean Stock Market in 2Q 2024?

In 2Q 2024, the NPS reduced its investments in defense and military stocks and increased investments in cosmetics, shipbuilding, and food companies...

Douglas Kim

Hanwha Aerospace: Spin Off of Semiconductor Equipment and Video Surveillance Units

On 5 April, Hanwha Aerospace (012450 KS) formally announced that it will spin off its semiconductor equipment and video surveillance units. We are...

Douglas Kim

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 19th): Samsung Heavy In, Samsung Electronics, Doosan Bobcat

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Samsung Heavy In, Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A Major Defense Cooperation Between Saudi Arabia and South Korea Likely

There is likely to be a major arms deal between Saudi Arabia and South Korea, which could benefit the top defense companies in Korea including...

Douglas Kim

Rotation Continues; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in Global Financials, Industrials, Discretionary

Rotation Continues; Bullish Outlook Intact as $ACWI and $EEM hold above $110 and $41-42; Buys in global Financials, Industrials, and Consumer...

Vermilion Research

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