Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Trung Nguyen

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

PT Indika Energy Tbk is an energy company. The Company provides energy services, energy resources and infrastructure, primarily in the areas of coal production, engineering, procurement and construction services and power generation services.

<ul>
<li>Indika Energy's FY 2024 results were weak as expected in our view, due to significant challenges amid declining coal prices, with no contributions from its investments in non-coal businesses so far.</li>
<li>The balance sheet worsened significantly during the year.</li>
<li>That said, liquidity remained sound.</li>
</ul>


Indika Energy's FY 2024 results were weak as expected in our view, due to significant challenges amid declining coal prices, with no contributions from its investments in non-coal businesses so far.
The balance sheet worsened significantly during the year.
That said, liquidity remained sound.


Indika Energy - Earnings Flash - FY 2024 Results

New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm, Forsyth Barr

Forsyth Barr

New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm

We are proud to be a New Zealand owned firm, with 21 offices throughout the country and over 300 employees. We assist personal, institutional and corporate clients providing a full range of investment services.

Forsyth Barr is a foundation New Zealand Exchange firm (NZX) and accredited market participant. We have been confirmed by the Financial Markets Authority as a Qualifying Financial Entity (QFE).

Research is the cornerstone of our advice. We have one of New Zealand's leading teams of analysts. Our global affiliations ensure comprehensive research coverage of all major investment markets.

Equity Bottom-Up

Lippo Securities Tbk PT provides financial services such as underwriting, brokering, investment management, investment advisory, and other related activities.

<ul><li>The February reporting season was largely unsurprising, with the sector continuing to look attractive due to a solid earnings outlook, stable portfolio metrics, and high replacement costs limiting new supply.</li><li>The NZ listed property sector faced a challenging month in February, with most companies experiencing declines, except for Kiwi Property Group and Investore, which saw positive performance.</li><li>Concerns over gearing levels arise, as NZ REITs exit the cycle with full balance sheets, limiting growth opportunities compared to their Australian counterparts with lower gearing ratios.</li></ul>

The February reporting season was largely unsurprising, with the sector continuing to look attractive due to a solid earnings outlook, stable portfolio metrics, and high replacement costs limiting new supply.The NZ listed property sector faced a challenging month in February, with most companies experiencing declines, except for Kiwi Property Group and Investore, which saw positive performance.Concerns over gearing levels arise, as NZ REITs exit the cycle with full balance sheets, limiting growth opportunities compared to their Australian counterparts with lower gearing ratios.

⬛ Real Estate Reflections ⬛ Bouncing Along the Bottom

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

PT Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk operates department stores and specialty stores selling a broad range of goods including clothing, toys, food, and other merchandise.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitra-adiperkasa-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18684:1" rel="noopener">Mitra Adiperkasa</a> reported a solid finish to the year with positive sequential growth in 4Q2024, although it was impacted by the delayed iPhone 16 launch, which reduced its peak quarter.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/map-aktif-adiperkasa-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27291:1" rel="noopener">MAP Aktif Adiperkasa</a> was the core growth driver, and its 4Q2024 was more seasonally strong at 28% of FY2024, with its regional expansion also helping to drive growth in FY2024. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitra-adiperkasa-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18684:1" rel="noopener">Mitra Adiperkasa</a> remains a core retail proxy for Indonesia, with an increasing regional edge, and stronger growth prospects for FY2025. Valuations look extremely attractive on 9.9x FY2025E PER.</li>
</ul>



Mitra Adiperkasa reported a solid finish to the year with positive sequential growth in 4Q2024, although it was impacted by the delayed iPhone 16 launch, which reduced its peak quarter.

MAP Aktif Adiperkasa was the core growth driver, and its 4Q2024 was more seasonally strong at 28% of FY2024, with its regional expansion also helping to drive growth in FY2024. 

Mitra Adiperkasa remains a core retail proxy for Indonesia, with an increasing regional edge, and stronger growth prospects for FY2025. Valuations look extremely attractive on 9.9x FY2025E PER.


Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ) - Parting Clouds Ahead

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>Despite gold hitting record highs this month, ownership of key gold mining stocks among EM managers remains muted.</li>
<li>AngloGold Ashanti and Harmony Gold Mining have both experienced consistent gains in ownership since their 2023 lows.</li>
<li>Oaktree, Overstone and Vontobel EM strategies hold some of the larger portfolio positions in select Gold stocks.</li>
</ul>


Despite gold hitting record highs this month, ownership of key gold mining stocks among EM managers remains muted.
AngloGold Ashanti and Harmony Gold Mining have both experienced consistent gains in ownership since their 2023 lows.
Oaktree, Overstone and Vontobel EM strategies hold some of the larger portfolio positions in select Gold stocks.


Sariguna Primatirta Tbk PT / Equity Bottom-Up

PT Sariguna Primatirta Tbk, doing business as Tanobel, produces bottled water. The Company supplies drinking water. Tanobel markets its products in Indonesia.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sariguna-primatirta-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33584:1" rel="noopener">Sariguna Primatirta (CLEO IJ)</a> booked yet another quarter of impressive sequential growth in 4Q2024, hitting another record quarterly revenue, with margins improving at the same time, boosting profits.</li>
<li>The company opened three factories in 2024 and plans three more in FY2025, with the total to 35 across Indonesia and further extending its scale and reach, and driving growth.</li>
<li>The main driver for growth will come through general trade, which makes up 70% of distribution, with a factory opening push outside Java. Valuations are attractive versus growth.</li>
</ul>



Sariguna Primatirta (CLEO IJ) booked yet another quarter of impressive sequential growth in 4Q2024, hitting another record quarterly revenue, with margins improving at the same time, boosting profits.
The company opened three factories in 2024 and plans three more in FY2025, with the total to 35 across Indonesia and further extending its scale and reach, and driving growth.
The main driver for growth will come through general trade, which makes up 70% of distribution, with a factory opening push outside Java. Valuations are attractive versus growth.


Sariguna Primatirta (CLEO IJ) - Pure Water on the Move