Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Tanvi Arora

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Greenko Energy Holdings operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, manufactures wind, hydro, and solar energy generation machinery. Greenko Energy Holdings serves customers in India.

<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Greenko Energy</li>
<li>In the US, the Conference Board Leading Index declined 0.3% (-0.2% e / -0.2% revised p) in February to 101.1. Justyna Zabinska-La Monica, senior manager of business cycle indicators at The Conference Board, noted that “consumers’ expectations of future business conditions turned more pessimistic. Manufacturing new orders, which improved in January, retreated and were the second largest negative contributor to the Index’s monthly decline”.</li>
<li>Separately, existing home sales unexpectedly rebounded 4.2% m-o-m (-3.2% e / -4.7% p) to 4.26 mn units in February. Sales climbed the most in the west and south regions, which were afflicted at the start of the year by wildfires in Los Angeles and severe winter storms, respectively.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Greenko Energy
In the US, the Conference Board Leading Index declined 0.3% (-0.2% e / -0.2% revised p) in February to 101.1. Justyna Zabinska-La Monica, senior manager of business cycle indicators at The Conference Board, noted that “consumers’ expectations of future business conditions turned more pessimistic. Manufacturing new orders, which improved in January, retreated and were the second largest negative contributor to the Index’s monthly decline”.
Separately, existing home sales unexpectedly rebounded 4.2% m-o-m (-3.2% e / -4.7% p) to 4.26 mn units in February. Sales climbed the most in the west and south regions, which were afflicted at the start of the year by wildfires in Los Angeles and severe winter storms, respectively.


Trung Nguyen

Bharti Airtel Limited, a part of Bharti Enterprises, provides telecommunications services throughout India. The Company provides GSM Mobile Services, broadband, fixed line telephone services, long distance services (international & national) and enterprise services.

Bharti Airtel is the second-largest telecom player in India, with a c. 30% market share. It also has significant operations in Africa, and to a smaller extent Bangladesh and Sri Lanka. The largest shareholders are Bharti Enterprises (42%) and Singtel (14%). Bharti Enterprises was founded/owned by Sunil Bharti Mittal. It is one of India's first conglomerates, with interests in telecommunications, space, insurance, real estate, hospitality and food.
We view Bharti Airtel as "Low Risk" on the LARA scale, mainly given its strong market position as the second-largest player in India’s telecom industry. The company owns robust network infrastructure across the country, with a broad customer base. We also note positively the improving industry outlook, with rationalising competition and industry consolidation benefiting Bharti Airtel, along with improving regulatory conditions. The company is committed to prudent balance-sheet management and stable leverage. However, capex requirements will likely remain substantial given Bharti Airtel's 5G rollout, with a risk that capex will be higher than projected.

Bharti Airtel is the second-largest telecom player in India, with a c. 30% market share. It also has significant operations in Africa, and to a smaller extent Bangladesh and Sri Lanka. The largest shareholders are Bharti Enterprises (42%) and Singtel (14%). Bharti Enterprises was founded/owned by Sunil Bharti Mittal. It is one of India's first conglomerates, with interests in telecommunications, space, insurance, real estate, hospitality and food.
We view Bharti Airtel as "Low Risk" on the LARA scale, mainly given its strong market position as the second-largest player in India’s telecom industry. The company owns robust network infrastructure across the country, with a broad customer base. We also note positively the improving industry outlook, with rationalising competition and industry consolidation benefiting Bharti Airtel, along with improving regulatory conditions. The company is committed to prudent balance-sheet management and stable leverage. However, capex requirements will likely remain substantial given Bharti Airtel's 5G rollout, with a risk that capex will be higher than projected.

Bharti Airtel - ESG Report - Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Greentown China Holdings Ltd. develops real estate.  The Company builds residential villas, low-rise apartment buildings, and high-rise apartment buildings for middle and high-income people.

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-26076'>China Vanke </a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-8954'>Greentown China</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-20776'>UPL Ltd</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.China Vanke Greentown ChinaUPL Ltd

Morning Views Asia: China Vanke  , Greentown China, UPL Ltd

Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone / Credit

Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone operates a shipping port on the west coast of India.  The Company's port provides services for bulk and container cargo, crude oil, and railway and other added services.

Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone (ADSEZ IN)

<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Adani Ports, ReNew Energy</li>
<li>
In the US, January 2025 housing starts fell 9.8% m-o-m (-7.3% e / 16.1% p) to an annualised pace of 1.37 mn units, as builders pulled back on construction after a surge in December 2024. Meanwhile, building permits rose 0.1% (-1.5% e / -0.7% p) in January 2025.
</li>
<li>
The minutes of the US FOMC’s January 28-29th meeting showed that Fed officials expressed readiness to hold the policy rate at a restrictive level, if the economy remains strong and inflation stays elevated.
</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Adani Ports, ReNew Energy

In the US, January 2025 housing starts fell 9.8% m-o-m (-7.3% e / 16.1% p) to an annualised pace of 1.37 mn units, as builders pulled back on construction after a surge in December 2024. Meanwhile, building permits rose 0.1% (-1.5% e / -0.7% p) in January 2025.


The minutes of the US FOMC’s January 28-29th meeting showed that Fed officials expressed readiness to hold the policy rate at a restrictive level, if the economy remains strong and inflation stays elevated.



JSW Steel Limited is an integrated steel producer with manufacturing facilities in Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and the western state of Maharashtra. The Company produces products including hot rolled coils, cold rolled coils, wire rods, galvanized coils and sheets.

<ul>
<li>In the US, the S&amp;P preliminary services PMI fell to 52.8 (56.5 e / 56.8 p), while the manufacturing PMI edged up to 50.1 (49.8 e / 49.4 p).</li>
<li>The preliminary composite PMI declined to 52.4 (55.6 e / 55.4 p). Separately, the January (final) University of Michigan consumer sentiment index decreased to 71.1 (74.0 p).</li>
<li>Treasuries climbed slightly, following the weaker than expected January preliminary PMI data. </li>
</ul>


In the US, the S&amp;P preliminary services PMI fell to 52.8 (56.5 e / 56.8 p), while the manufacturing PMI edged up to 50.1 (49.8 e / 49.4 p).
The preliminary composite PMI declined to 52.4 (55.6 e / 55.4 p). Separately, the January (final) University of Michigan consumer sentiment index decreased to 71.1 (74.0 p).
Treasuries climbed slightly, following the weaker than expected January preliminary PMI data. 


India Bonds
Insights on India Credit

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Greenko Energy In the US, the Conference...

Lucror Analytics

Bharti Airtel - ESG Report - Lucror Analytics

Bharti Airtel is the second-largest telecom player in India, with a c. 30% market share. It also has significant operations in Africa, and to a...

Lucror Analytics

Morning Views Asia: China Vanke , Greentown China, UPL Ltd

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Adani Ports, ReNew Energy

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In the US, the S&P preliminary services PMI fell to 52.8 (56.5 e / 56.8 p), while the manufacturing PMI edged up to 50.1 (49.8 e / 49.4 p).

Lucror Analytics