Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Trung Nguyen

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Biocon Biologics India Limited of India operates as a biopharmaceutical company. The Company offers prevention, alleviation, and treatment for chronic diseases such as diabetes, oncology, cancer, and autoimmune diseases. Biocon Biologics India serves customers worldwide.

<ul>
<li>Biocon Biologics' (BBL) and Biocon Limited's (BL) Q2/24-25 results (the first release after the USD notes issuance) were slightly weaker than expected, with lower than forecast growth and earnings.</li>
<li>Leverage appears high at the BBL level, but seems better at BL's level.</li>
<li>Liquidity appears weak, albeit this is offset by BL's large stakes in listed companies.</li>
</ul>


Biocon Biologics' (BBL) and Biocon Limited's (BL) Q2/24-25 results (the first release after the USD notes issuance) were slightly weaker than expected, with lower than forecast growth and earnings.
Leverage appears high at the BBL level, but seems better at BL's level.
Liquidity appears weak, albeit this is offset by BL's large stakes in listed companies.


Biocon Biologics - Earnings Flash - Q2 FY 2024-25 Results - Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone / Credit

Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone operates a shipping port on the west coast of India.  The Company's port provides services for bulk and container cargo, crude oil, and railway and other added services.

Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone (ADSEZ IN)

<ul>
<li>Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone (APSEZ) has reported stable H1/24-25 results.</li>
<li>Cargo volumes grew 9% y-o-y, below management’s full-year guidance of a 13-18% increase, owing to one-off disruptions.</li>
<li>That said, EBITDA climbed 13% (at the higher end of forecasts), thanks to better capacity utilisation and improved operating efficiency at the company's domestic and international ports.</li>
</ul>


Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone (APSEZ) has reported stable H1/24-25 results.
Cargo volumes grew 9% y-o-y, below management’s full-year guidance of a 13-18% increase, owing to one-off disruptions.
That said, EBITDA climbed 13% (at the higher end of forecasts), thanks to better capacity utilisation and improved operating efficiency at the company's domestic and international ports.


Adani Ports - Earnings Flash - H1 FY 2024-25 Results - Lucror Analytics

JSW Steel Limited is an integrated steel producer with manufacturing facilities in Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and the western state of Maharashtra. The Company produces products including hot rolled coils, cold rolled coils, wire rods, galvanized coils and sheets.

<ul>
<li>JSW Steel has released Q2/24-25 numbers that were weaker than expected in our view, with a yoy decline in revenue, significantly larger decrease in earnings, material negative FCF (owing to lower steel prices) and narrower margins (due to a surge in cheap imports, particularly from China).</li>
<li>The balance sheet deteriorated, with debt increasing and earnings softening. Liquidity also weakened.</li>
<li>While the company has guided for improvement in H2/24-25, it did not provide credible justification for this during the earning call besides noting that JSW raised selling prices in October 2024. </li>
</ul>


JSW Steel has released Q2/24-25 numbers that were weaker than expected in our view, with a yoy decline in revenue, significantly larger decrease in earnings, material negative FCF (owing to lower steel prices) and narrower margins (due to a surge in cheap imports, particularly from China).
The balance sheet deteriorated, with debt increasing and earnings softening. Liquidity also weakened.
While the company has guided for improvement in H2/24-25, it did not provide credible justification for this during the earning call besides noting that JSW raised selling prices in October 2024. 


JSW Steel - Earnings Flash - Q2 FY 2024-25 Results - Lucror Analytics

Bharti Airtel Limited, a part of Bharti Enterprises, provides telecommunications services throughout India. The Company provides GSM Mobile Services, broadband, fixed line telephone services, long distance services (international & national) and enterprise services.

<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Genting Berhad, Bharti Airtel, Japfa Comfeed</li>
<li>In the US, the Dallas Fed manufacturing index improved to negative 3.0 in October (-9.4 e / -9.0 p).</li>
<li>Treasuries slid yesterday, with yields up 3-5 bps following a soft auction of 2Y and 5Y notes. The yield on the 2Y UST rose 3 bps to 4.14%, while that on the 10Y UST was up 4 bps at 4.28%. Equities edged higher, with the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq both rising 0.3% at 5,824 and 18,567, respectively.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Genting Berhad, Bharti Airtel, Japfa Comfeed
In the US, the Dallas Fed manufacturing index improved to negative 3.0 in October (-9.4 e / -9.0 p).
Treasuries slid yesterday, with yields up 3-5 bps following a soft auction of 2Y and 5Y notes. The yield on the 2Y UST rose 3 bps to 4.14%, while that on the 10Y UST was up 4 bps at 4.28%. Equities edged higher, with the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq both rising 0.3% at 5,824 and 18,567, respectively.


Adani Green Energy Limited operates as a producer of renewable energy. The Company builds, owns, and operates power plants for solar and wind energy. Adani Green Energy serves customers worldwide.


<p>Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.</p><ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-29012'>Adani Green Energy</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Adani Green Energy

India Bonds
Insights on India Credit

Biocon Biologics - Earnings Flash - Q2 FY 2024-25 Results - Lucror Analytics

Biocon Biologics' (BBL) and Biocon Limited's (BL) Q2/24-25 results (the first release after the USD notes issuance) were slightly weaker than...

Lucror Analytics

Adani Ports - Earnings Flash - H1 FY 2024-25 Results - Lucror Analytics

Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone (APSEZ) has reported stable H1/24-25 results. Cargo volumes grew 9% y-o-y, below management’s full-year...

Lucror Analytics

JSW Steel - Earnings Flash - Q2 FY 2024-25 Results - Lucror Analytics

JSW Steel has released Q2/24-25 numbers that were weaker than expected in our view, with a yoy decline in revenue, significantly larger decrease in...

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Genting Berhad, Bharti Airtel, Japfa Comfeed

Lucror Analytics

Morning Views Asia: Adani Green Energy

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics