Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

Affirm Holdings, Inc. is a financial technology company. The Company builds platform for digital and mobile-first commerce. Affirm Holdings offers financial services tool that allows consumers to purchase goods and services. Affirm Holdings serves customers worldwide.

<ul><li>Affirm Holdings Inc. reported a strong fiscal third quarter for 2024, reflecting robust growth and strategic initiatives that seem to be paying off, while also highlighting areas that warrant caution.</li><li>Firstly, the positives emerging from the quarter include notable advancements in volume growth.</li><li>Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) increased by 36%, which is compelling evidence of the company's capability to attract and retain users despite a competitive landscape.</li></ul>

Affirm Holdings Inc. reported a strong fiscal third quarter for 2024, reflecting robust growth and strategic initiatives that seem to be paying off, while also highlighting areas that warrant caution.Firstly, the positives emerging from the quarter include notable advancements in volume growth.Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) increased by 36%, which is compelling evidence of the company's capability to attract and retain users despite a competitive landscape.

Affirm Holdings Inc.: Emergent Payment Models

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

HDFC Bank Ltd. offers a wide range of services to the global corporate sector. The Bank provides corporate banking and custodial services and is active in the treasury and capital markets. HDFC also markets project advisory services and capital market products such as Global Deposit Receipts, Euro currency loans, and Euro currency bonds.

<ul>
<li>Foreign shareholding in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> has dropped to 54.83% and that results in foreign room crossing the 'magical' 25% mark.</li>
<li>The increase in foreign room could lead to passive trackers of a global index needing to buy 256m shares (US$5.3bn; 11.5x ADV) at the end of August.</li>
<li>There will definitely be positioning in the stock but there should still be upside in the stock. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:559:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (ADR) (HDB US)</a> line was up 4.5% overnight.</li>
</ul>


Foreign shareholding in HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) has dropped to 54.83% and that results in foreign room crossing the 'magical' 25% mark.
The increase in foreign room could lead to passive trackers of a global index needing to buy 256m shares (US$5.3bn; 11.5x ADV) at the end of August.
There will definitely be positioning in the stock but there should still be upside in the stock. The HDFC Bank (ADR) (HDB US) line was up 4.5% overnight.


HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN): Foreign Room Crosses 25%; Index Implications & Positioning for US$5bn+ Buying

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Angel Broking Limited provides securities brokerage services. The Company offers e-broking, insurance, portfolio management, mutual funds, commodities trading, investment advisory, wealth management, IPO, and depository services. Angel Broking serves customers in India.

<ul><li>In its efforts to clamp down on the rising irrationality in option volumes (F&amp;O), the SEBI has directed exchanges and market infrastructure institutions (MII) to discontinue the practice of charging turnover-linked slab-wise fee structures, and levy uniform transaction charges instead</li><li>While exchanges currently levy regressive slab-wise fees (higher the turnover, lower the fees), brokers usually charge their customers at the highest prescribed slab rate, resulting in excess profit residing with brokers, especially discount brokers, which is accounted as “ancillary transaction income”</li><li>Our analysis of ANGELONE’s disclosures suggests that this revenue stream contributes ~8% to revenues and a material 20% to pre-tax profits, which is likely to be vulnerable to the SEBI’s “True to Label” mandate that calls for a complete pass-through from customers to MIIs</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In its efforts to clamp down on the rising irrationality in option volumes (F&amp;O), the SEBI has directed exchanges and market infrastructure institutions (MII) to discontinue the practice of charging turnover-linked slab-wise fee structures, and levy uniform transaction charges insteadWhile exchanges currently levy regressive slab-wise fees (higher the turnover, lower the fees), brokers usually charge their customers at the highest prescribed slab rate, resulting in excess profit residing with brokers, especially discount brokers, which is accounted as “ancillary transaction income”Our analysis of ANGELONE’s disclosures suggests that this revenue stream contributes ~8% to revenues and a material 20% to pre-tax profits, which is likely to be vulnerable to the SEBI’s “True to Label” mandate that calls for a complete pass-through from customers to MIIsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Angel One: SEBI Clamps Down on Frothy Revenue Pools. Maintain ADD

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Axis Top Picks: We are proud to share that our Axis Top Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 47% over the last one year, beating the benchmark Nifty 50 index (25.1% return over the same period) by a wide margin.</li><li>A few picks that reported excellent returns included Cholamandalam Investment &amp; Finance Company (14.7%), Varun Beverages (14.2%), J.Kumar Infraprojects (9.9%), Federal Bank (9.4%) and TVS Motor Company (8.5%). </li><li>Pick of the Week (PoW): POW calls delivered an astounding monthly strike rate of 85% in Jun’24.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Top Picks: We are proud to share that our Axis Top Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 47% over the last one year, beating the benchmark Nifty 50 index (25.1% return over the same period) by a wide margin.A few picks that reported excellent returns included Cholamandalam Investment &amp; Finance Company (14.7%), Varun Beverages (14.2%), J.Kumar Infraprojects (9.9%), Federal Bank (9.4%) and TVS Motor Company (8.5%). Pick of the Week (PoW): POW calls delivered an astounding monthly strike rate of 85% in Jun’24.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Research Scorecard Report for June 2024

Leading International Investment Research, Edison Investment Research

Edison Investment Research

Leading International Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.

Deutsche Beteiligungs AG / Equity Bottom-Up

Deutsche Beteiligungs AG is a private equity company. The Company focuses on investing in domestic medium-sized companies. Deutsche Beteiligungs AG provides access to capital markets. The Company holds interests in companies in various industries mainly based in Germany.

Deutsche Beteiligungs (DBAG) completed an issue of €100m senior unsecured convertible bonds on 28 July, with proceeds to be used for co-investments alongside DBAG and ELF Capital funds, and for general corporate purposes. The bonds will bear interest at a fixed rate of 5.5% pa and mature in 2030. They are convertible into up to c 3.25m of new and/or existing DBAG shares, which is the equivalent of 17.3% of the currently outstanding number of shares.

Deutsche Beteiligungs (DBAG) completed an issue of €100m senior unsecured convertible bonds on 28 July, with proceeds to be used for co-investments alongside DBAG and ELF Capital funds, and for general corporate purposes. The bonds will bear interest at a fixed rate of 5.5% pa and mature in 2030. They are convertible into up to c 3.25m of new and/or existing DBAG shares, which is the equivalent of 17.3% of the currently outstanding number of shares.

Deutsche Beteiligungs - Convertible bond issue