Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Dollar Swings Lower As Recession Risks Pervade; JPY Surges

Metals Decline With Risk Sentiment and Fear in Overdrive

Precious Perspectives Part 2: Recessionary Fears Fuel Upside Potential in Gold Silver Ratio

Yield Curve Inverts Further on Rising Recession Risk

Yield Curve Normalisation on Rate Cut Anticipation

Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order, Mint Finance

Pranay Yadav

Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The July Nonfarm Payroll report showed only 114k jobs added, increasing the unemployment rate to 4.3%, the highest since 2021.</li>
<li>The Sahm rule, a reliable recession indicator, was triggered with a current value of 0.53, signaling a potential recession on the horizon.</li>
<li>FedWatch indicates a &gt;90% probability of a 50 basis point rate cut in September, up from 10% last week, due to recession fears.</li>
</ul>


The July Nonfarm Payroll report showed only 114k jobs added, increasing the unemployment rate to 4.3%, the highest since 2021.
The Sahm rule, a reliable recession indicator, was triggered with a current value of 0.53, signaling a potential recession on the horizon.
FedWatch indicates a &gt;90% probability of a 50 basis point rate cut in September, up from 10% last week, due to recession fears.


Recession Fears Resurface Triggering Yield Curve Normalization