Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Hua Hong Semiconductor Limited manufactures semiconductors wafer foundry services. The Company produces embedded non-volatile memory, power discrete, analog, power management, and logic RF products. Hua Hong Semiconductor provides products for consumer electronics, communications, computing, industrial, and automotive fields.

<ul>
<li>The review period for the December rebalance of the CSI All Share Semiconductor Index ended 31 October.  The changes should be announced on 29 November and implemented on 13 December.</li>
<li>We forecast 12 adds and 6 deletes for the index with a one-way turnover of 2.5% and a one-way trade of CNY 642m (US$90m).</li>
<li>The forecast adds to the index have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few months with a move higher in the short-term too.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the December rebalance of the CSI All Share Semiconductor Index ended 31 October.  The changes should be announced on 29 November and implemented on 13 December.
We forecast 12 adds and 6 deletes for the index with a one-way turnover of 2.5% and a one-way trade of CNY 642m (US$90m).
The forecast adds to the index have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few months with a move higher in the short-term too.


CSI All Share Semiconductor Index Rebalance Preview: 18 Changes as Adds Outperform

Sieyuan Electric Company Limited manufactures and markets power supply and converting equipment as well as high voltage electrical apparatus and high voltage monitoring instruments.  The Company's  main products include arc suppression coils, variable frequency power sources, lightning arrester on-line monitoring instruments, and anti-disturbance test instruments.

<ul>
<li>There could be 17 changes at the December rebalance with the Industrials and Materials sectors could gaining 2 spots each and the Information Technology sector losing 3 spots.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover of 3% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 30.2bn (US$4.3bn). There are 14 stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last month despite rising markets and a wall of money flowing into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> ETFs.</li>
</ul>


There could be 17 changes at the December rebalance with the Industrials and Materials sectors could gaining 2 spots each and the Information Technology sector losing 3 spots.
Estimated one-way turnover of 3% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 30.2bn (US$4.3bn). There are 14 stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last month despite rising markets and a wall of money flowing into Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) ETFs.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Rising Markets and ETF Creations Take Round-Trip Trade to US$8.5bn

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Seres Group Co.,ltd. manufactures and distributes automotive and parts. The Company produces sport utility vehicles, new energy vehicles, electric commercial automobiles, engines, and other products. Seres Group markets its products worldwide.

<ul>
<li>SSE 50 and SSE 180, respectively, aim to represent the performance of the 50 and 180 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>The reference period is for the December 2024 index rebal event is now complete. In this insight, we have presented our final list of expected ADDs and DELs.</li>
<li><em>While our SSE 50 expected ADDs/DELs list remains unchanged, there have been multiple last-minute changes to our SSE 180 expected ADDs/DELs list.</em></li>
</ul>


SSE 50 and SSE 180, respectively, aim to represent the performance of the 50 and 180 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
The reference period is for the December 2024 index rebal event is now complete. In this insight, we have presented our final list of expected ADDs and DELs.
While our SSE 50 expected ADDs/DELs list remains unchanged, there have been multiple last-minute changes to our SSE 180 expected ADDs/DELs list.


Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Dec 24: Multiple Changes to Expectations; ~US$2.3bn Collective Flows

Capital Securities Co., Ltd. provides institutional brokerage services. The Company offers securities brokerage, securities advisory, securities underwriting, securities sponsorship, securities investment, and other services. Capital Securities provides its services throughout China.

<ul>
<li>CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500.</li>
<li>The reference period for December 2024 index rebal event ended on 31st October 2024.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final list of expected ADDs and DELs.</li>
</ul>


CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500.
The reference period for December 2024 index rebal event ended on 31st October 2024.
In this insight, we take a look at our final list of expected ADDs and DELs.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec 24: Final-Minute Changes to Expectations; Time for a Trade

Inner Mongolia Furui Medical Scie / Event-Driven

Inner Mongolia Furui Medical Science Co Ltd. manufactures and sells hepatology C hinese medicines. The Company's products include anti-fibrosis drug, anti fattyliver disease medicine, and liver fibrosis testing instruments.

Inner Mongolia Furui Medical Scie (300049 CH)

<ul>
<li>CSI Medical Service represents the top 50 largest and most-liquid stocks involved in medical devices, medical care, medical informatization and other medical theme from the Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing Exchanges.</li>
<li>The reference period for the December 2024 index rebal event ended recently. In this insight, we take a look at our final expected ADDs/DELs.</li>
<li>There has been no change to our list of expected changes presented in my last insight.</li>
</ul>


CSI Medical Service represents the top 50 largest and most-liquid stocks involved in medical devices, medical care, medical informatization and other medical theme from the Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing Exchanges.
The reference period for the December 2024 index rebal event ended recently. In this insight, we take a look at our final expected ADDs/DELs.
There has been no change to our list of expected changes presented in my last insight.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI Medical Dec 24: Final Rankings; Exp ADDs Underperforming Exp DELs

Index Rebalance
Index Inclusion / Exclusions Analysis

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Rising Markets and ETF Creations Take Round-Trip Trade to US$8.5bn

There could be 17 changes in Dec. Estimated 1-way turnover is 3%; 1-way trade is US$4.3bn. There are 14 stocks with over 2x ADV to trade. The adds...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Dec 24: Multiple Changes to Expectations; ~US$2.3bn Collective Flows

We estimate SSE 50 one-way flow to be US$1.98bn and SSE 180 one-way flow to be US$286mn during the December 2024 index rebal event.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Dec 24: Final-Minute Changes to Expectations; Time for a Trade

We estimate one-way flow of US$3.65bn for CSI 300 and US$4.23bn for CSI 500 index rebalance events in December 2024. Some of the CSI 300 and CSI...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI Medical Dec 24: Final Rankings; Exp ADDs Underperforming Exp DELs

We expect the index changes to be announced after market close on 29th November 2024. We currently estimate one-way flow to be US$248mn. Most...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CSI All Share Semiconductor Index Rebalance Preview: 18 Changes as Adds Outperform

There could be 12 adds, 6 deletes in Dec. Impact is not very large, but 12 stocks will have flows from other index trackers too. The forecast adds...

Brian Freitas

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Rising Markets and ETF Creations Take Round-Trip Trade to US$8.5bn

There could be 17 changes in Dec. Estimated 1-way turnover is 3%; 1-way trade is US$4.3bn. There are 14 stocks with over 2x ADV to trade. The adds...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Dec 24: Multiple Changes to Expectations; ~US$2.3bn Collective Flows

We estimate SSE 50 one-way flow to be US$1.98bn and SSE 180 one-way flow to be US$286mn during the December 2024 index rebal event.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec 24: Final-Minute Changes to Expectations; Time for a Trade

We estimate one-way flow of US$3.65bn for CSI 300 and US$4.23bn for CSI 500 index rebalance events in December 2024. Some of the CSI 300 and CSI...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI Medical Dec 24: Final Rankings; Exp ADDs Underperforming Exp DELs

We expect the index changes to be announced after market close on 29th November 2024. We currently estimate one-way flow to be US$248mn. Most...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Dec 24: Final-Minute Changes to Expectations; Time for a Trade