Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher, Algorithmic Trader and former Portfolio Manager at Capital Theory Investment Management, LLC, a CTA based in Austin, Texas (USA), where I developed and ran automated algorithmic trading strategies for the US Futures and Options markets. 

My work is focused on the statistical study of the "persistence of trends" and "mean reversion" effects in global Equities, Futures, Indexes, Bonds and FX Spot markets. I make extensive use of probabilistic Bayesian models to predict short-term (1 day to few weeks) trend reversals.

I do not use any AI/machine learning processes in my work: all models and algorithms are built by humans. This approach is very labour-intensive but produces forecasts that have a clearly understandable/explainable rationale (no black-boxes).

Quantitative Researcher

The HSI PUT: Hedging Strategies for an Overextended Rally

Changes to Hang Seng Methodology - Early Doors but $3bn a Side Across Major Indices

TOPIX Index Upweights: Final Expectations For "The Big April Basket" 2025

Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Jun25/Sep25: Capping Flows in June and Index Changes in September

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>As reported by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/travis-lundy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:25" rel="noopener">Travis Lundy</a> , the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> Committee changed the way float is calculated for Secondary Listings in Hang Seng indices.</li>
<li>
This action is expected to add US$2.7bn of buying to some names- read Travis Lundy's insight for more details on this.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI INDEX</a> is currently down 3 weeks, and quite OVERSOLD, buying the dip, at this point makes a lot of sense.
</li>
</ul>


As reported by Travis Lundy , the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) Committee  changed the way float is calculated for Secondary Listings in Hang Seng indices.

This action is expected to add US$2.7bn of buying to some names- read Travis Lundy's insight for more details on this.
The HSI INDEX is currently down 3 weeks, and quite OVERSOLD, buying the dip, at this point makes a lot of sense.



Hang Seng Index FAF Calculation Change: Buy The Dip!