Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>PDD Holdings, Inc. has shared their financial results for the second quarter of 2024 along with an overview of strategic actions and challenges.</li><li>The company saw substantial revenue growth, with total revenue reaching RMB 97 billion, marking an 86% year-on-year increase.</li><li>This significant growth stems mainly from robust online marketing and transaction services.</li></ul>

PDD Holdings, Inc. has shared their financial results for the second quarter of 2024 along with an overview of strategic actions and challenges.The company saw substantial revenue growth, with total revenue reaching RMB 97 billion, marking an 86% year-on-year increase.This significant growth stems mainly from robust online marketing and transaction services.

PDD Holdings Inc.: How Are They Managing Competition and Consumer Demand? - Major Drivers

Greater China Equity Long/Short Analyst

Eric Chen

<ul>
<li>The market has lingering concern about substantial slowdown in PDD’s growth and has been pricing in the outlook for most part of the year.</li>
<li>2Q results did signal imminent growth deceleration, and management’s blunt yet honest comments about the pressure on margin further stoke fears.</li>
<li>We regard 1/3 market cap wipe-out after the results as over-reaction. While risks have been reflected to large extent, we do not expect a meaningful re-rating until 2H25.</li>
</ul>


The market has lingering concern about substantial slowdown in PDD’s growth and has been pricing in the outlook for most part of the year.
2Q results did signal imminent growth deceleration, and management’s blunt yet honest comments about the pressure on margin further stoke fears.
We regard 1/3 market cap wipe-out after the results as over-reaction. While risks have been reflected to large extent, we do not expect a meaningful re-rating until 2H25.


Pinduoduo (PDD US): Oversold on Concerns About Slowdown

Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

<ul>
<li>The "non-business factors" mentioned in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pdd-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27250:1" rel="noopener">PDD Holdings (PDD US)</a> 's earnings call likely refer to potential political and policy risks in the U.S. due to the upcoming presidential elections.</li>
<li>Temu, PDD Holdings' global online shopping platform, has become the most downloaded shopping app in the U.S., significantly disrupting the local retail market.</li>
<li>PDD's rapid and disruptive growth has already led to litigation in the US, and political pressure could increase if Donald Trump wins the presidential election.</li>
</ul>


The "non-business factors" mentioned in PDD Holdings (PDD US) 's earnings call likely refer to potential political and policy risks in the U.S. due to the upcoming presidential elections.
Temu, PDD Holdings' global online shopping platform, has become the most downloaded shopping app in the U.S., significantly disrupting the local retail market.
PDD's rapid and disruptive growth has already led to litigation in the US, and political pressure could increase if Donald Trump wins the presidential election.


PDD Holdings (PDD US) : Could U.S. Elections Impact Temu's Dominance?

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pdd-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27250:1" rel="noopener">PDD Holdings (PDD US)</a> shares fell 28% on Monday after a 3% revenue miss, with shares dropping an additional 4% yesterday.</li>
<li>The results themselves weren’t bad enough to justify such a sharp price reaction.</li>
<li>However, management’s comments on slower growth and a potential drop in profits triggered a significant sell-off.</li>
</ul>



PDD Holdings (PDD US) shares fell 28% on Monday after a 3% revenue miss, with shares dropping an additional 4% yesterday.
The results themselves weren’t bad enough to justify such a sharp price reaction.
However, management’s comments on slower growth and a potential drop in profits triggered a significant sell-off.


Pinduoduo: Anticipating Slower Growth And Potential Profit Dip

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>PDD reported C2Q24 top line, non-GAAP operating income and GAAP net income (3.9%), (1.2%) and (4.4%) below our estimates, and (2.9%), 12% and 16% above consensus. </li>
<li>We believe PDD's upgrade in its ecosystem and infrastructure is long overdue. Such investment would support its growth, especially in overseas. </li>
<li>Trading at 6.4x 2025 PE, we believe PDD is undervalued. We reiterate BUY and place it as TOP PICK of China's e-commerce sector.</li>
</ul>


PDD reported C2Q24 top line, non-GAAP operating income and GAAP net income (3.9%), (1.2%) and (4.4%) below our estimates, and (2.9%), 12% and 16% above consensus. 
We believe PDD's upgrade in its ecosystem and infrastructure is long overdue. Such investment would support its growth, especially in overseas. 
Trading at 6.4x 2025 PE, we believe PDD is undervalued. We reiterate BUY and place it as TOP PICK of China's e-commerce sector.


[Pinduoduo (PDD US, BUY, TP US$160) TP Change]: Investment Means Continued High Growth

China

PDD Holdings Inc. is a multinational commerce group that owns and operates a portfolio of businesses. The Company focuses on digital economy so that local communities and small businesses can benefit from the increased productivity and new opportunities. PDD Holdings has built a network of sourcing, logistics, and fulfillment capabilities for its underlying businesses.

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PDD Holdings (PDD US)

PDD Holdings Inc.: How Are They Managing Competition and Consumer Demand? - Major Drivers

PDD Holdings, Inc. has shared their financial results for the second quarter of 2024 along with an overview of strategic actions and...

Baptista Research

Pinduoduo (PDD US): Oversold on Concerns About Slowdown

2Q results did signal imminent slowdown in growth which the market has been pricing in for most part of the year. The stock was oversold, yet we...

Eric Chen