HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a> is less exposed to China's real estate market than one would have thought. Despite poor property industry, HSH still generated 12.9% earnings growth in 3Q23.</li>
<li>We are delighted to see further margin pick-up in 2Q23-3Q23, thanks to digitalisation and better efficiency. We believe such a trend can be sustained over the next 12-18 months. </li>
<li>More innovative products will drive market share, and better margin can support a 13% 3-year earnings CAGR. ROE is high at 17-8% despite net cash (8.8% of share price).   </li>
</ul>



Haier Smart Home (6690 HK) is less exposed to China's real estate market than one would have thought. Despite poor property industry, HSH still generated 12.9% earnings growth in 3Q23.
We are delighted to see further margin pick-up in 2Q23-3Q23, thanks to digitalisation and better efficiency. We believe such a trend can be sustained over the next 12-18 months. 
More innovative products will drive market share, and better margin can support a 13% 3-year earnings CAGR. ROE is high at 17-8% despite net cash (8.8% of share price).   


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK)</a> revealed that domestic sales are performing well in the "Double-11" festival and overseas sales have outperformed peers in Black Friday.</li>
<li>The high-end brand Casarte has maintained good market shares in refrigerators, drum washing machines and air-conditioners. Overseas market also saw positive upgrade demand. </li>
<li>Its digitalisation strategy has enhanced customers' shopping experience and increased repurchases. HSH has also achieved improvements in overall efficiency through such efforts.</li>
</ul>



Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK) revealed that domestic sales are performing well in the "Double-11" festival and overseas sales have outperformed peers in Black Friday.
The high-end brand Casarte has maintained good market shares in refrigerators, drum washing machines and air-conditioners. Overseas market also saw positive upgrade demand. 
Its digitalisation strategy has enhanced customers' shopping experience and increased repurchases. HSH has also achieved improvements in overall efficiency through such efforts.


Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): Further Updates from Management

<ul>
<li>Besides as nationalistic consumption play, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a> also offers attractive investment theses with bright growth prospects. Despite share price rebound, valuations are still not yet reflecting fundamentals.</li>
<li>The surge in demand for refrigerators and freezers during the pandemic-led lockdowns has boosted HSH's business in 4M22 while it will also reap benefits from Rmb depreciation.</li>
<li>The government's support of healthy development of residential real estate market will be positive towards smart home appliance demand which HSH is set to gain from its leadership position. </li>
</ul>


Besides as nationalistic consumption play, Haier Smart Home (6690 HK) also offers attractive investment theses with bright growth prospects. Despite share price rebound, valuations are still not yet reflecting fundamentals.
The surge in demand for refrigerators and freezers during the pandemic-led lockdowns has boosted HSH's business in 4M22 while it will also reap benefits from Rmb depreciation.
The government's support of healthy development of residential real estate market will be positive towards smart home appliance demand which HSH is set to gain from its leadership position. 


Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>More policy measures will be rolled out by the Chinese government to support domestic consumption in 2022; and the growing nationalistic trend will benefit leading domestic brands. </li>
<li>Within the consumer discretionary sector, we identify <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bosideng-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6537:1" rel="noopener">Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a> as the prime beneficiaries of this trend.</li>
<li>All of them are leaders in their respective sub-segment, have exemplary competitive edges against foreign players and are investing heavily in technology and distribution to solidify their moats. </li>
</ul>


More policy measures will be rolled out by the Chinese government to support domestic consumption in 2022; and the growing nationalistic trend will benefit leading domestic brands. 
Within the consumer discretionary sector, we identify Anta Sports Products (2020 HK), Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK) and Haier Smart Home (6690 HK) as the prime beneficiaries of this trend.
All of them are leaders in their respective sub-segment, have exemplary competitive edges against foreign players and are investing heavily in technology and distribution to solidify their moats. 


China Consumer Discretionary: Beneficiaries of The Nationalistic Trend

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this analysis, we review allocations in Contemporary Amperex Technology among 3 sets of active China managers.  MSCI China Funds, China A-Share Funds and Greater China Funds. </li>
<li>We find that exposure in Contemporary Amperex Technology has risen to peak levels across all 3 investor sets, making it one of the largest overweight positions in China.</li>
<li>Outside of dedicated China, we also see ownership growth among Global Emerging Market and Asia Ex-Japan active strategies.</li>
</ul>


In this analysis, we review allocations in Contemporary Amperex Technology among 3 sets of active China managers.  MSCI China Funds, China A-Share Funds and Greater China Funds. 
We find that exposure in Contemporary Amperex Technology has risen to peak levels across all 3 investor sets, making it one of the largest overweight positions in China.
Outside of dedicated China, we also see ownership growth among Global Emerging Market and Asia Ex-Japan active strategies.


Contemporary Amperex Technology - King of the Overweights

China

Haier Smart Home Co. Ltd. manufactures and distributes appliances. The Company produces air conditioners, refrigerators, freezers, small household electrical appliances, and other related products. Haier Smart Home markets its products domestically and internationally.

Gree Electric Appliances, Inc. of Zhuhai manufactures and sells a series of air conditioners.  The different series of air conditioners include window type, split type, floor type, mobile type, mobile split type and ceiling type.  The Company also produces air purifier.

TCL Corporation manufactures electronic products, telecommunication products, home appliances, and electrical products.  The Company's products include televisions, mobile phones, personal computers, air-conditioners, washing machines, refrigerators, and other related products.

Hang Zhou Great Star Industrial Company Ltd. develops, manufactures and sells hand tools hardware products. The Company's products are hand tools and electric hand-held tools.

Hangzhou Great Star Industrial Co., (002444 CH)

Zhejiang Supor Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets cookware and home appliance products. The Company produces non-stick pans, pressure cookers, stainless steel cookware, rice cookers, air purifiers, thermos cups, and more. Zhejiang Supor markets its to Japan, Europe, and South East Asia.

Hisense Home Appliances Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells household appliances. The Company produces refrigerators, air conditioners, freezers, and other equipment. Hisense Home Appliances Group markets its products worldwide.

Hisense Home Appliances Group (000921 CH)

Hangzhou Robam Appliances Company Limited develops, manufactures and sells household electrical kitchen appliances. The Company's major products include range hoods, gas stoves, disinfection cabinets, electric pressure cookers, induction cookers, electric kettles and food processing machines.

Shenzhen MTC Co., Ltd. develops, designs, manufactures and sells consumer electronics.  The Company's products include LCD television, digital set-top box, disc player, and multimedia audio system.

Sichuan Changhong Electric Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets a variety of household electrical appliances.  The Company's products include TV sets, air conditioners, digital video disc (DVD) players, batteries, and other related products.

Sichuan Changhong Electric Co, Ltd. (600839 CH)

Hisense Visual Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets electronic products and household electrical appliances.  The Company's products include television sets, refrigerators, freezers, communication products.

Hisense Visual Technology Co., Ltd. A (600060 CH)

Panasonic Corporation manufactures electric and electronic products. The Company produces home appliances, car navigation systems, digital devices, computer peripherals, telecommunications, industrial equipment, and electronic parts. Panasonic has associated companies around the world.

Sekisui House, Ltd. builds and sells steel-frame and wooden housings. The Company constructs single-family houses, condominiums, and apartment buildings.  Sekisui House also operates real estate brokerage and leasing businesses.  Additionally, the Company sells construction materials.

Techtronic Industries Company Limited designs, manufactures, and markets power tools, outdoor power equipment, accessories, hand tools, layout and measuring tools, and floorcare and appliances. The Company's products are used by consumers, professional, and industrial users in the home improvement, repair, and construction industries.

Toll Brothers, Inc. builds luxury homes, serving both move-up and empty nester buyers in several regions of the United States.  The Company builds customized single and attached homes, primarily on land that it develops and improves. Toll Brothers also operates its own architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, security, landscape, insurance brokerage, and manufacturing operations.

LG Electronics Inc. manufactures and markets digital display equipment and home appliances. The Company produces and markets flat panel televisions, A/V products, washing machines, air conditioners and refrigerators as well as telecommunications equipment such as smart phones and tablets.

TopBuild Corp. provides insulation installation services. The Company offers residential insulation products and related accessories. TopBuild serves customers in the United States.

D.R. Horton, Inc. constructs and sells single-family homes designed primarily for the entry-level and move-up markets.  The Company operates in the Midwest, Mid-Atlantic, Southeast, Southwest, and Western regions of the United States. D.R. Horton also, through its financial services operations, provide mortgage financing and title agency services to homebuyers.

NVR, Inc. builds and markets homes and conducts mortgage banking activities. The Company builds single-family detached homes, townhomes, and condominium buildings under the Ryan Homes, NVHomes, and other tradenames.  NVR provides a number of mortgage related services to its homebuilding customers and to other customers through its mortgage banking operations.

PulteGroup Inc. sells and constructs homes, and purchases, develops, and sells residential land and develops active adult communities.  The Company also provides mortgage financing, title insurance, and other services to home buyers. Pulte has operations in various markets across the United States and Puerto Rico.

Lennar Corporation constructs and sells single-family attached and detached homes, and to a lesser extent multi-level buildings as well as buys and sells residential land. The Company also provides mortgage financing, title insurance, closing services and other financial services.

Midea Group CO., LTD manufactures, markets and installs household electrical appliances, compressors and components. Midea also provides services in information technology, corporate investment consultation, software and hardware development, property management and corporate engineering supports. Midea Group provides its products worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)

Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): Stays Smart

Haier Smart Home is less exposed to real estate market than expected. Digitalisation and efficiency improvements are driving margin; and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): Further Updates from Management

Sales have performed well in "Double-11" festival and Black Friday. Overseas markets have seen positive upgrade demand and digitalisation has...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): Smart Moves

Haier Smart Home has seen good refrigerators/freezers sales amid the lockdowns and it will also benefit from Rmb depreciation and the government's...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Consumer Discretionary: Beneficiaries of The Nationalistic Trend

We identify Anta Sports, Bosideng and Haier Smart Home as the beneficiaries of rising nationalistic trend of China's consumer discretionary sector...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Contemporary Amperex Technology - King of the Overweights

Active fund ownership in Contemporary Amperex Technology has risen to peak levels across all 3 investor sets, making it one of the largest...

Steven Holden

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): Stays Smart

​Haier Smart Home is less exposed to real estate market than expected. Digitalisation and efficiency improvements are driving margin; and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): Further Updates from Management

Sales have performed well in "Double-11" festival and Black Friday. Overseas markets have seen positive upgrade demand and digitalisation has...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): Smart Moves

Haier Smart Home has seen good refrigerators/freezers sales amid the lockdowns and it will also benefit from Rmb depreciation and the government's...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Consumer Discretionary: Beneficiaries of The Nationalistic Trend

We identify Anta Sports, Bosideng and Haier Smart Home as the beneficiaries of rising nationalistic trend of China's consumer discretionary sector...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Contemporary Amperex Technology - King of the Overweights

Active fund ownership in Contemporary Amperex Technology has risen to peak levels across all 3 investor sets, making it one of the largest...

Steven Holden

Haier Smart Home is less exposed to real estate market than expected. Digitalisation and efficiency improvements are driving margin; and...