Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Given the slew of A/H offerings in the Hong Kong IPO pipeline, in this note, we talk about the overall A/H premiums currently.</li>
<li>We also had a quick look at the past A/H listing performance, including subscription rates and A/H premiums at the time of listing.</li>
<li>Overall, most of the A/H listings haven’t done much in the near term, with a few exceptions.</li>
</ul>


Given the slew of A/H offerings in the Hong Kong IPO pipeline, in this note, we talk about the overall A/H premiums currently.
We also had a quick look at the past A/H listing performance, including subscription rates and A/H premiums at the time of listing.
Overall, most of the A/H listings haven’t done much in the near term, with a few exceptions.


A/H Premiums and past A/H Listings Performance Data - Mixed Results but Size Matters

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Midea Group Co Ltd A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Midea debuted on HKEx on 17th September and shares last closed at HK$74.25 per share, up by about 35% compared to final HK offer price of HK$54.80 apiece.</li>
<li>We previously suggested that Midea’s HK offering was attractive as HK shares were priced at a 25% discount to its A-shares, and was at a discount to Haier Smart Homes.</li>
<li>The PBOC announced several measures to revive the housing market in the country which contributed to the recent rally in the China home appliance sector.</li>
</ul>


Midea debuted on HKEx on 17th September and shares last closed at HK$74.25 per share, up by about 35% compared to final HK offer price of HK$54.80 apiece.
We previously suggested that Midea’s HK offering was attractive as HK shares were priced at a 25% discount to its A-shares, and was at a discount to Haier Smart Homes.
The PBOC announced several measures to revive the housing market in the country which contributed to the recent rally in the China home appliance sector.


HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

China International Capital Corporation / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China's securities industry is under a wave of consolidation. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-international-capital-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1071:1" rel="noopener">China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK)</a> is interesting given its leadership in the investment banking business.</li>
<li>A combination with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-galaxy-securities-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:165:1" rel="noopener">China Galaxy Securities (H) (6881 HK)</a> may bring synergy, given their different focuses. This will create the 3rd largest securities house in China. </li>
<li>Even without a merger, CICC also looks attractive with the US interest rate trending down. It is best set to gain upon the revival of the Hong Kong IPO market. </li>
</ul>


China's securities industry is under a wave of consolidation. China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK) is interesting given its leadership in the investment banking business.
A combination with China Galaxy Securities (H) (6881 HK) may bring synergy, given their different focuses. This will create the 3rd largest securities house in China. 
Even without a merger, CICC also looks attractive with the US interest rate trending down. It is best set to gain upon the revival of the Hong Kong IPO market. 


HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>For the reasons why Midea is eager to IPO in HK, investors shouldn’t just look at the surface of its glory, but delve into the “real motives” behind capital operations.</li>
<li>The policy of subsidizing the trade-in of home appliances belongs to “early overdraft of demand” and is unsustainable. Valuation logic for the performance increment brought by such policy is P/B.</li>
<li>If Midea cannot achieve the expected breakthroughs in To B business or internationalization in 2025-2026 to hedge against the weak domestic business, Midea's performance/valuation in following years would inevitable decline.</li>
</ul>


For the reasons why Midea is eager to IPO in HK, investors shouldn’t just look at the surface of its glory, but delve into the “real motives” behind capital operations.
The policy of subsidizing the trade-in of home appliances belongs to “early overdraft of demand” and is unsustainable. Valuation logic for the performance increment brought by such policy is P/B.
If Midea cannot achieve the expected breakthroughs in To B business or internationalization in 2025-2026 to hedge against the weak domestic business, Midea's performance/valuation in following years would inevitable decline.


Pre-IPO Midea Group H Share - Here Are the Risks Behind

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>We would subscribe to the HK offering of Midea Group due to its attractive valuations, strong fundamentals, and meaningful price discount relative to the A shares. </li>
<li>We believe a premium valuation relative to the comps is appropriate for Midea Group due to its higher sales growth, EBIT margin, and ROE.</li>
<li>Pricing of this offering is expected to be completed on 13 September and listing on 17 September. </li>
</ul>


We would subscribe to the HK offering of Midea Group due to its attractive valuations, strong fundamentals, and meaningful price discount relative to the A shares. 
We believe a premium valuation relative to the comps is appropriate for Midea Group due to its higher sales growth, EBIT margin, and ROE.
Pricing of this offering is expected to be completed on 13 September and listing on 17 September. 


China

Midea Group CO., LTD manufactures, markets and installs household electrical appliances, compressors and components. Midea also provides services in information technology, corporate investment consultation, software and hardware development, property management and corporate engineering supports. Midea Group provides its products worldwide.

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Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)

A/H Premiums and past A/H Listings Performance Data - Mixed Results but Size Matters

Given the slew of A/H offerings in the Hong Kong IPO pipeline, in this note, we talk about the overall A/H premiums currently.

Sumeet Singh

Midea HK Listing: Take Profit

Midea's shares are up 35% from its HK offer price. Policy measures by PBOC to revive the housing market have led to a rally in China home appliance...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

CICC (3908 HK): M&A Possibility

While both CICC and CGS have denied there is a discussion on the merger and said that there is no information that needs to be disclosed, we still...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Midea Group HK IPO Valuation Analysis

Midea Group's shares closed up 7.8% at HK$59.10 on Tuesday. This strong IPO performance in HK by the Midea Group is likely to set in motion a...

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A/H Premiums and past A/H Listings Performance Data - Mixed Results but Size Matters

Given the slew of A/H offerings in the Hong Kong IPO pipeline, in this note, we talk about the overall A/H premiums currently.

Sumeet Singh

Midea HK Listing: Take Profit

Midea's shares are up 35% from its HK offer price. Policy measures by PBOC to revive the housing market have led to a rally in China home appliance...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

CICC (3908 HK): M&A Possibility

While both CICC and CGS have denied there is a discussion on the merger and said that there is no information that needs to be disclosed, we still...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Pre-IPO Midea Group H Share - Here Are the Risks Behind

During Mid Autumn Festival, home appliance chain sales was up >30% YoY after years of decline. Due to trade-ins policy, there's sharp increase in...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Midea Group HK IPO Valuation Analysis

Midea Group's shares closed up 7.8% at HK$59.10 on Tuesday. This strong IPO performance in HK by the Midea Group is likely to set in motion a...

Douglas Kim