Iron Ore and Dry Bulk Freight, Mint Finance

Umang Agrawal

Iron Ore and Dry Bulk Freight

Deep Fundamental Analysis

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Commodities

<ul>
<li>Negative steel mill margins will likely result in production cuts that could adversely impact the near-term demand for iron ore. </li>
<li>Beijing's stricter stance on BHP and Simandou's safety-related suspension are altering the iron ore power dynamics and tightening supply.</li>
<li>Bearish MA crossover and weakening MACD signal fading momentum, with prices below key MAs, pointing to increasing downside pressure.</li>
</ul>


Negative steel mill margins will likely result in production cuts that could adversely impact the near-term demand for iron ore. 
Beijing's stricter stance on BHP and Simandou's safety-related suspension are altering the iron ore power dynamics and tightening supply.
Bearish MA crossover and weakening MACD signal fading momentum, with prices below key MAs, pointing to increasing downside pressure.


[IO Technicals 2025/40] Bearish Iron Ore Signals Collide with Simandou Halt and BHP Scrutiny

<ul>
<li>Citi warns iron ore’s rally is overstretched, with policy support and supply disruptions priced in, leaving limited upside ahead.</li>
<li>Managed Money participants are ramping up net long exposure, underscoring renewed bullish sentiment and rising confidence in stronger demand and price gains.</li>
<li>Iron ore’s momentum is fading as Bollinger Bands and MACD flash bearish signals, with sellers gaining control and downside risks rising.</li>
</ul>


Citi warns iron ore’s rally is overstretched, with policy support and supply disruptions priced in, leaving limited upside ahead.
Managed Money participants are ramping up net long exposure, underscoring renewed bullish sentiment and rising confidence in stronger demand and price gains.
Iron ore’s momentum is fading as Bollinger Bands and MACD flash bearish signals, with sellers gaining control and downside risks rising.


[IO Technicals 2025/39] Iron Ore Rally Wobbles as Policy Push and Supply Hiccups Already Priced In

<ul>
<li>Iron ore fell as weakening Chinese economic activity, shrinking steel demand, and rising mill maintenance dampened production and demand outlook.</li>
<li>Managed Money participants continue to increase their net long exposure, signalling renewed bullish sentiment and expectations of stronger demand and price gains.</li>
<li>Bearish MACD crossover and Bollinger Bands pullback signal weakening momentum, highlighting growing selling pressure and short-term downside risk.</li>
</ul>


Iron ore fell as weakening Chinese economic activity, shrinking steel demand, and rising mill maintenance dampened production and demand outlook.
Managed Money participants continue to increase their net long exposure, signalling renewed bullish sentiment and expectations of stronger demand and price gains.
Bearish MACD crossover and Bollinger Bands pullback signal weakening momentum, highlighting growing selling pressure and short-term downside risk.


[IO Technicals 2025/38] Slumping Steel Margins and Rising Stockpiles Weigh on Iron Ore

<ul>
<li>Supply jitters and China’s steel rebound lifted prices, as Rio faces local refining pressure and Brazil fire fears linger.</li>
<li>Managed money participants are rebuilding bullish bets, lifting net longs and open interest, signalling revived demand and expectations of further gains.</li>
<li>Prices pulled back after hitting the upper Bollinger band, hinting at profit-taking as traders watch the basis band for support.</li>
</ul>


Supply jitters and China’s steel rebound lifted prices, as Rio faces local refining pressure and Brazil fire fears linger.
Managed money participants are rebuilding bullish bets, lifting net longs and open interest, signalling revived demand and expectations of further gains.
Prices pulled back after hitting the upper Bollinger band, hinting at profit-taking as traders watch the basis band for support.


[IO Technicals 2025/37] Bullish Rally Flickers Out

<ul>
<li>Chinese mills eye production restart, boosting iron ore demand, but bloated construction steel inventories threaten to cap price gains.</li>
<li>Managed money participants increased net long exposure to 134.9k lots last week, with overall futures and options open interest slipping by 11.2%.</li>
<li>Bullish MA crossover drove prices above short-term averages. However, prices pressing the upper Bollinger band suggest overextension and heightened risk of a near-term pullback.</li>
</ul>


Chinese mills eye production restart, boosting iron ore demand, but bloated construction steel inventories threaten to cap price gains.
Managed money participants increased net long exposure to 134.9k lots last week, with overall futures and options open interest slipping by 11.2%.
Bullish MA crossover drove prices above short-term averages. However, prices pressing the upper Bollinger band suggest overextension and heightened risk of a near-term pullback.


[IO Technicals 2025/36] Overextended Rally Faces Reality Check

Australia

Iron ores are rocks and minerals from which metallic iron can be economically extracted. The ores are usually rich in iron oxides and vary in color from dark grey, bright yellow, deep purple, to rusty red. The iron itself is usually found in the form of magnetite (Fe3O4, 72.4% Fe), hematite (Fe2O3, 69.9% Fe), goethite (FeO(OH), 62.9% Fe), limonite (FeO(OH).n(H2O)) or siderite (FeCO3, 48.2% Fe).

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Iron Ore (IRON ORE COMDTY)

[IO Technicals 2025/40] Bearish Iron Ore Signals Collide with Simandou Halt and BHP Scrutiny

HRC and rebar mill margins have turned negative fuelling near-term downside pressure in the iron ore market. Near-term supply disruptions are also...

Mint Finance

[IO Technicals 2025/39] Iron Ore Rally Wobbles as Policy Push and Supply Hiccups Already Priced In

Iron ore’s rally is fizzling out as priced-in policy support and supply factors limit further upside, signaling a cautious near-term outlook.

Mint Finance

[IO Technicals 2025/38] Slumping Steel Margins and Rising Stockpiles Weigh on Iron Ore

Iron ore prices face pressure as China’s slowing steel demand, weaker manufacturing, and rising port stockpiles point to near-term downside.

Mint Finance

[IO Technicals 2025/37] Bullish Rally Flickers Out

Momentum is fading as bullish sentiment cools, with technical signals hinting at exhaustion and traders turning cautious on iron ore.

Mint Finance

[IO Technicals 2025/36] Overextended Rally Faces Reality Check

Iron ore steadies above key moving averages as Chinese mills restart production, but stretched momentum and swelling inventories flag rising near...

Mint Finance

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