Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Iron ore bounced from the 100 USD/ton level and has maintained a rangebound level between 95 and 130 USD/ton for the last three years.</li>
<li>Inventories at the ports continued to increase, surpassing 150 million tons, representing about 38 days of inventory (normalized levels around 35 days). </li>
<li>After Capital Group's recent selldown<a href="https://www.mining.com/web/fortescue-investor-seeks-to-sell-1-3-billion-worth-of-shares/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">, </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fortescue-metals-group-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Fortescue Metals (FMG AU)</a> looks attractive (with a trailing dividend yield of 11% and 6.5x PE) and could be worth exploring. </li>
</ul>


Iron ore bounced from the 100 USD/ton level and has maintained a rangebound level between 95 and 130 USD/ton for the last three years.
Inventories at the ports continued to increase, surpassing 150 million tons, representing about 38 days of inventory (normalized levels around 35 days). 
After Capital Group's recent selldown, Fortescue Metals (FMG AU) looks attractive (with a trailing dividend yield of 11% and 6.5x PE) and could be worth exploring. 


Iron Ore Tracker (07-Aug-2024): Port Arrivals High, Inventory Piles up at 35 Ports

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Shipping / In Depth: Chinese shippers’ diverging fortunes </li><li>Macao / Macao takes aim at currency exchange services for gamblers</li><li>Personnel / Securities watchdog official named head of Shenzhen Exchange</li></ul>

Shipping / In Depth: Chinese shippers’ diverging fortunes Macao / Macao takes aim at currency exchange services for gamblersPersonnel / Securities watchdog official named head of Shenzhen Exchange

CX Daily: Chinese Shippers’ Diverging Fortunes 

<ul><li>Batteries /Cover Story: Chinese battery makers gird for price war in competition to supply EV producers</li><li>G20 /: Chinese premier meets Biden at G20</li><li>China-U.K. /: U.K. welcomes China investment in ‘key areas,’ trade minister says</li></ul>

Batteries /Cover Story: Chinese battery makers gird for price war in competition to supply EV producersG20 /: Chinese premier meets Biden at G20China-U.K. /: U.K. welcomes China investment in ‘key areas,’ trade minister says

CX Daily: Chinese Battery Makers Gird For Price War In Competition To Supply EV Producers

Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

<ul><li>We review some charts, starting with commodities that are precariously close to signalling a breakdown.</li><li>The weakness became pronounced after China's PPI, CPI, and the disappointing Aggregate Finance data (this needs a separate section).  </li><li>If China's recovery continues to be disappointing, then the deflation of exports and a long position on commodities will be a big problem for the rest of the world.</li></ul>

We review some charts, starting with commodities that are precariously close to signalling a breakdown.The weakness became pronounced after China's PPI, CPI, and the disappointing Aggregate Finance data (this needs a separate section).  If China's recovery continues to be disappointing, then the deflation of exports and a long position on commodities will be a big problem for the rest of the world.

<ul><li>In Depth: Abuse victims’ convictions for bigamy highlight hurdles to divorce in China</li><li>Huawei founder Ren declares a battle for survival</li><li>Singapore’s leader urges China, U.S. to avoid mishaps as regional tensions escalate</li></ul>

In Depth: Abuse victims’ convictions for bigamy highlight hurdles to divorce in ChinaHuawei founder Ren declares a battle for survivalSingapore’s leader urges China, U.S. to avoid mishaps as regional tensions escalate

CX Daily: Abuse Victims’ Convictions for Bigamy Highlight Hurdles to Divorce in China

Australia

Iron ores are rocks and minerals from which metallic iron can be economically extracted. The ores are usually rich in iron oxides and vary in color from dark grey, bright yellow, deep purple, to rusty red. The iron itself is usually found in the form of magnetite (Fe3O4, 72.4% Fe), hematite (Fe2O3, 69.9% Fe), goethite (FeO(OH), 62.9% Fe), limonite (FeO(OH).n(H2O)) or siderite (FeCO3, 48.2% Fe).

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Iron Ore (IRON ORE COMDTY)

Iron Ore Tracker (07-Aug-2024): Port Arrivals High, Inventory Piles up at 35 Ports

With iron ore continuing to remain rangebound between 95-130 USD/ton for the last 3 years (with minor overshoots), we summarize actionable ideas in...

Sameer Taneja

CX Daily: Chinese Shippers’ Diverging Fortunes

Shipping: In Depth: Chinese shippers’ diverging fortunes. Macao: Macao takes aim at currency exchange services for gamblers. Personnel: Securities...

Caixin Global

CX Daily: Chinese Battery Makers Gird For Price War In Competition To Supply EV Producers

Batteries /Cover Story: Chinese battery makers gird for price war in competition to supply EV producers G20 /: Chinese premier meets Biden at...

Caixin Global

Commodity and FX Impulse Moves

If China's recovery continues to be disappointing, then the deflation of exports and a long position on commodities will be a big problem for the...

Untying The Gordian Knot

CX Daily: Abuse Victims’ Convictions for Bigamy Highlight Hurdles to Divorce in China

In Depth: Abuse victims’ convictions for bigamy highlight hurdles to divorce in China. Huawei founder Ren declares a battle for survival

Caixin Global

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