Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Welcome to our weekly portfolio watch, which today will be all about the (potential) upcoming rebound in the cyclical momentum.</li>
<li>As always we share our trade thoughts and ideas and provide you with our current allocation.</li>
<li>Yesterday’s PPI came in hot as we expected (0.6% MoM in core PPI vs 0.1% expected), which serves as an early sign of a reacceleration in inflationary pressures, which have been our base case since the continuation of the tensions in the Red Sea: It looks like the increase in US freight rates has started to impact producer prices.</li>
</ul>


Welcome to our weekly portfolio watch, which today will be all about the (potential) upcoming rebound in the cyclical momentum.
As always we share our trade thoughts and ideas and provide you with our current allocation.
Yesterday’s PPI came in hot as we expected (0.6% MoM in core PPI vs 0.1% expected), which serves as an early sign of a reacceleration in inflationary pressures, which have been our base case since the continuation of the tensions in the Red Sea: It looks like the increase in US freight rates has started to impact producer prices.


Portfolio Watch – Have markets traded the cyclical rebound in advance?

Podcast Exploring Themes Driving Global Markets, Nomura - The Week Ahead

Nomura – The Week Ahead

Podcast Exploring Themes Driving Global Markets

Nomura - The Week Ahead

We explore the main themes that will drive global markets over the coming week, discussing the key market moving events and risks to keep on your radar.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Global markets experienced a wobble following a stronger than expected US CPI inflation report, causing a spike in bond yields and a dip in equity markets.</li><li>The US CPI report breaks the trend of positive data and has implications for the Fed's rate cut decisions. While inflation is expected to moderate this year, it will take several data points to confirm this.</li><li>The upcoming minutes from the January FOMC meeting will provide more details on the Fed's thinking regarding rate cuts and adjustments to the pace of balance sheet rundown.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global markets experienced a wobble following a stronger than expected US CPI inflation report, causing a spike in bond yields and a dip in equity markets.The US CPI report breaks the trend of positive data and has implications for the Fed's rate cut decisions. While inflation is expected to moderate this year, it will take several data points to confirm this.The upcoming minutes from the January FOMC meeting will provide more details on the Fed's thinking regarding rate cuts and adjustments to the pace of balance sheet rundown.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

The Week Ahead - Fed Meeting Minutes, Central Bank Meetings in Indonesia and Korea

Junior Finance Analyst, Steno Research

Ulrik Simmelholt

Junior Finance Analyst

<ul><li>The latest data release from WCI shows the first w/w drop in US freight rates in a couple of months.</li><li>Meanwhile Europe continues its drop in freight rates for the 3rd consecutive week now.</li><li>Looks like the carnage in freight rates is over with seasonal effects in shipping expected to kick in 1-2 months from now based on historic import patterns from Europe and the US.</li></ul>

The latest data release from WCI shows the first w/w drop in US freight rates in a couple of months.Meanwhile Europe continues its drop in freight rates for the 3rd consecutive week now.Looks like the carnage in freight rates is over with seasonal effects in shipping expected to kick in 1-2 months from now based on historic import patterns from Europe and the US.

Shipping Watch: Looks like container rates have topped for now

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>The USD is trading a bit more mixed as the dust settles after yesterday’s US CPI shocker.</li><li>Higher than expected prices drove US yields sharply higher, with the 10Y trading well through the 4.20% area that has capped yields recently, supporting broad USD gains.</li><li>Markets generally have steadied this morning; bond yields have retreated somewhat, with Gilts outperforming strongly after UK price data came in weaker than expected, while stocks are trading mostly higher. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The USD is trading a bit more mixed as the dust settles after yesterday’s US CPI shocker.Higher than expected prices drove US yields sharply higher, with the 10Y trading well through the 4.20% area that has capped yields recently, supporting broad USD gains.Markets generally have steadied this morning; bond yields have retreated somewhat, with Gilts outperforming strongly after UK price data came in weaker than expected, while stocks are trading mostly higher. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily - USD Mixed After CPI-Driven Jump

We aggregate key quotes from earnings, The Transcript

The Transcript

We aggregate key quotes from earnings

Aggregate Key Quotes from Earnings

<ul><li>Companies are expecting the Federal Reserve to reduce rates to ease the burden on consumers and boost confidence in markets.</li><li>Inflation is still a concern for many companies, particularly at the high end, but the Fed cannot act until there is substantial data showing a decrease in inflation.</li><li>The lower income consumers are trading down and experiencing financial difficulties, with subprime delinquencies reaching levels similar to 2009, which is concerning for the market. </li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Companies are expecting the Federal Reserve to reduce rates to ease the burden on consumers and boost confidence in markets.Inflation is still a concern for many companies, particularly at the high end, but the Fed cannot act until there is substantial data showing a decrease in inflation.The lower income consumers are trading down and experiencing financial difficulties, with subprime delinquencies reaching levels similar to 2009, which is concerning for the market. This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

United States

The euro is the official currency of the European Economic & Monetary Union.  The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

EURO/US DOLLAR (EURUSD CURNCY)

Portfolio Watch – Have markets traded the cyclical rebound in advance?

Welcome to our weekly portfolio watch, which today will be all about the (potential) upcoming rebound in the cyclical momentum. As always we share...

Steno Research

The Week Ahead - Fed Meeting Minutes, Central Bank Meetings in Indonesia and Korea

The stronger than expected US CPI inflation report caused turbulence in global markets, leading to a spike in bond yields, a dip in equity markets,...

Nomura – The Week Ahead

Shipping Watch: Looks like container rates have topped for now

The latest data release from WCI shows the first w/w drop in US freight rates in a couple of months. Meanwhile Europe continues its drop in...

Steno Research

FX Daily - USD Mixed After CPI-Driven Jump

Higher than expected prices drove US yields sharply higher, with the 10Y trading well through the 4.20% area that has capped yields recently,...

Scotiabank

Episode 112: Subprime Signals

Companies are counting on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates in order to boost consumer confidence and market trends, while inflation...

The Transcript

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)