Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets, At Any Rate

At Any Rate

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets

Analysts from J.P. Morgan’s Research team take a closer look at the stories behind some of the biggest trends, themes and developments in markets today.

Commodities

<ul><li>Brent oil futures trading in line with fair value, with bullish bias in options, as volume of bullish calls hit record high</li><li>Ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran raising concerns about further escalation, with recent attacks and strikes indicating potential for heightened tensions</li><li>Global oil inventories are significantly lower than in previous years, potentially impacting market dynamics and prices as demand and inventory levels play a key role</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Brent oil futures trading in line with fair value, with bullish bias in options, as volume of bullish calls hit record highOngoing conflict between Israel and Iran raising concerns about further escalation, with recent attacks and strikes indicating potential for heightened tensionsGlobal oil inventories are significantly lower than in previous years, potentially impacting market dynamics and prices as demand and inventory levels play a key roleThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global Commodities: This time, it feels different

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 27/Sep, US crude inventories rose by 3.9m barrels, contrasting expectations of a 1.5m barrel drawdown. Gasoline stockpiles also unexpectedly grew.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories rose 55 Bcf for the week ending 27/Sep, lower than analyst expectations of a 59 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 5.7% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>Chevron, Shell, Halliburton, and Schlumberger have all experienced target price downgrades, while Exxon Mobil received an upward revision to its target price. Notably, Goldman Sachs downgraded Occidental to Neutral.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 27/Sep, US crude inventories rose by 3.9m barrels, contrasting expectations of a 1.5m barrel drawdown. Gasoline stockpiles also unexpectedly grew.
US natural gas inventories rose 55 Bcf for the week ending 27/Sep, lower than analyst expectations of a 59 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 5.7% above the 5-year seasonal average.
Chevron, Shell, Halliburton, and Schlumberger have all experienced target price downgrades, while Exxon Mobil received an upward revision to its target price. Notably, Goldman Sachs downgraded Occidental to Neutral.


[ETP 2024/40] WTI Prices Surge as Iran-Israel Tensions Rise; Nat-Gas Rallies on Output Cuts

<ul>
<li>WTI futures fell by 4% for the week ending 27/Sep, as concerns over weak Chinese demand and the easing of supply disruptions in Libya pressured prices.</li>
<li>WTI options Put/Call volume ratio fell to 0.76 (27/Sep) from 0.83 (20/Sep) as call volume jumped by 114.8% WoW while put volume grew by 97.1%.</li>
<li>WTI OI PCR remained at 0.77 for the week ending 27/Sep compared to 13/Sep. Call OI and put OI grew by 9.9% WoW.</li>
</ul>


WTI futures fell by 4% for the week ending 27/Sep, as concerns over weak Chinese demand and the easing of supply disruptions in Libya pressured prices.
WTI options Put/Call volume ratio fell to 0.76 (27/Sep) from 0.83 (20/Sep) as call volume jumped by 114.8% WoW while put volume grew by 97.1%.
WTI OI PCR remained at 0.77 for the week ending 27/Sep compared to 13/Sep. Call OI and put OI grew by 9.9% WoW.


[US Crude Oil Options Weekly 2024/39] WTI Declined as Demand Concerns Offset China's Stimulus

<ul>
<li>US rig count declined by one to 587 for the week ending 27/Sep, marking the sixth drop in seven weeks. Despite this, the rig count increased by six in Q3.</li>
<li>The US oil rig count fell by four to 484 after staying flat last week. Gas rigs rose by three to 99, marking its second increase in six weeks.</li>
<li>For the week ending 27/Sep, US energy producers added one rig in Texas and cut two in New Mexico and one in Louisiana.  </li>
</ul>


US rig count declined by one to 587 for the week ending 27/Sep, marking the sixth drop in seven weeks. Despite this, the rig count increased by six in Q3.
The US oil rig count fell by four to 484 after staying flat last week. Gas rigs rose by three to 99, marking its second increase in six weeks.
For the week ending 27/Sep, US energy producers added one rig in Texas and cut two in New Mexico and one in Louisiana.  


US Rig Count Drops for Second Straight Week as Oil Rigs Decline

<ul><li>Commodity markets are down despite stimulatory measures from China, with oil prices falling due to increased supply from Libya and OPEC plus alliance</li><li>China's demand outlook for oil remains steady, with forecasts for oil demand growth unchanged despite stimulus measures</li><li>Base metals, particularly copper, have seen a price increase due to stronger demand impulses from China, with bullish outlook and potential upside risks for the first half of 2025</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Commodity markets are down despite stimulatory measures from China, with oil prices falling due to increased supply from Libya and OPEC plus allianceChina's demand outlook for oil remains steady, with forecasts for oil demand growth unchanged despite stimulus measuresBase metals, particularly copper, have seen a price increase due to stronger demand impulses from China, with bullish outlook and potential upside risks for the first half of 2025This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global FX and Commodities: Everything Everywhere All at once

United States

Crude oil is a naturally occurring, unrefined petroleum product composed of hydrocarbon deposits and other organic materials. Crude oil can be refined to produce usable products such as gasoline, diesel and various forms of petrochemicals. It is a nonrenewable resource, also known as a fossil fuel, which means that it can't be replaced naturally at the rate we consume it and is therefore a limited resource.

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Crude Oil (CL1 COM COMDTY)

Global Commodities: This time, it feels different

Overall, the oil market is currently stable but facing potential risks from geopolitical tensions and supply concerns, with options trading showing...

At Any Rate

[ETP 2024/40] WTI Prices Surge as Iran-Israel Tensions Rise; Nat-Gas Rallies on Output Cuts

WTI rose amid heightened supply concerns after Iran's missile attacks on Israel, yet long-term demand worries persist. US nat-gas reached a 16-week...

Mint Finance

[US Crude Oil Options Weekly 2024/39] WTI Declined as Demand Concerns Offset China's Stimulus

WTI prices declined as demand concerns overshadowed the impact of China's stimulus. The return of Libyan crude further pressured the market. PC...

Mint Finance

US Rig Count Drops for Second Straight Week as Oil Rigs Decline

For the week ending 27/Sept, the US rig count fell by 1 to 587. Oil rigs dropped by 4, while gas rigs rose by 3. In Q3, the rig count increased by...

Mint Finance

Global FX and Commodities: Everything Everywhere All at once

The bazooka stimulus in China has impacted oil, ag, and gas markets, with crude oil prices dropping due to expectations of increased supply, while...

At Any Rate

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