Data-Driven Commodity Research, The Commodity Report

The Commodity Report

Data-Driven Commodity Research

A unique newsletter about commodities and macro analysis in a weekly format.

Commodities

<ul><li>CTA Positioning Update The latest CTA picture by UBS shows that managed money is currently maxed long coffee and oil and max short corn, soybeans cotton and lean hogs.</li><li>The contrarian ideas would speculate on the exact opposite of this positioning. On the other hand, the data currently suggests only slight changes in the current positioning.</li><li>On the other hand, the data currently suggests only slight changes in the current positioning.</li></ul>

CTA Positioning Update The latest CTA picture by UBS shows that managed money is currently maxed long coffee and oil and max short corn, soybeans cotton and lean hogs.The contrarian ideas would speculate on the exact opposite of this positioning. On the other hand, the data currently suggests only slight changes in the current positioning.On the other hand, the data currently suggests only slight changes in the current positioning.

The Return of La Niña // CTA Positioning Update

<ul><li>CTA Positioning Update According to UBS’ biweekly CTA momentum study, CTAs bought oil and sold precious metals in size in February.</li><li>The investment bank expects ⅔ of those flows to reverse in the next two weeks.</li><li>CTA’s have meanwhile built a decent short position in agriculturals, and flows should remain negative there.</li></ul>

CTA Positioning Update According to UBS’ biweekly CTA momentum study, CTAs bought oil and sold precious metals in size in February.The investment bank expects ⅔ of those flows to reverse in the next two weeks.CTA’s have meanwhile built a decent short position in agriculturals, and flows should remain negative there.

Commodity Hedge Fund Positioning & Red Sea Update

<ul><li>Latest CTA-Flow Forecast CTA positioning and UBS' flow model indicate slightly bullish momentum for some agriculture commodities as well as energy and on the flip side bearish momentum for precious metals and industrial metals.</li><li>Particularly we would like to highlight the expected bullish flows in cotton and bearish flows in the flesh markets, which align with some of our market setups.</li><li>“In currencies, the US dollar gained renewed momentum from Trump’s win, with the 1.7% rise in the DXY index on 6 November the largest one-day advance in two years.</li></ul>

Latest CTA-Flow Forecast CTA positioning and UBS' flow model indicate slightly bullish momentum for some agriculture commodities as well as energy and on the flip side bearish momentum for precious metals and industrial metals.Particularly we would like to highlight the expected bullish flows in cotton and bearish flows in the flesh markets, which align with some of our market setups.“In currencies, the US dollar gained renewed momentum from Trump’s win, with the 1.7% rise in the DXY index on 6 November the largest one-day advance in two years.

Hershey’s Warns About Cocoa Inflation // Latest CTA-Flow Forecast

Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

<ul><li>The clouds of recession and economic slowdown loom over the horizon, casting a bearish shadow on commodity markets.</li><li>Yet, despite many reasons for pessimism, commodity prices have begun to show signs of resilience last week.</li><li>Even though a sustained long-term rally remains uncertain, the current environment seems ripe for a short-term bounce or mean reversion.</li></ul>

The clouds of recession and economic slowdown loom over the horizon, casting a bearish shadow on commodity markets.Yet, despite many reasons for pessimism, commodity prices have begun to show signs of resilience last week.Even though a sustained long-term rally remains uncertain, the current environment seems ripe for a short-term bounce or mean reversion.

Part Six: Commodities: Priced for a Downturn

<ul><li>Happy new year guys - another chapter has arrived and it’s time to make the best out of it.</li><li>First of all, let’s look at the past, the now and the costly mistakes we made during the past year.</li><li>Soft commodities dominated the commodity front during 2023.</li></ul>

Happy new year guys - another chapter has arrived and it’s time to make the best out of it.First of all, let’s look at the past, the now and the costly mistakes we made during the past year.Soft commodities dominated the commodity front during 2023.

Commodities Going Into 2024 & Our Biggest Mistakes During 2023

United States

Crude oil is a naturally occurring, unrefined petroleum product composed of hydrocarbon deposits and other organic materials. Crude oil can be refined to produce usable products such as gasoline, diesel and various forms of petrochemicals. It is a nonrenewable resource, also known as a fossil fuel, which means that it can't be replaced naturally at the rate we consume it and is therefore a limited resource.

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Crude Oil (CL1 COM COMDTY)

The Return of La Niña // CTA Positioning Update

CTA Positioning Update The latest CTA picture by UBS shows that managed money is currently maxed long coffee and oil and max short corn, soybeans...

The Commodity Report

Commodity Hedge Fund Positioning & Red Sea Update

CTA Positioning Update According to UBS’ biweekly CTA momentum study, CTAs bought oil and sold precious metals in size in February.

The Commodity Report

Hershey’s Warns About Cocoa Inflation // Latest CTA-Flow Forecast

Particularly we would like to highlight the expected bullish flows in cotton and bearish flows in the flesh markets, which align with some of our...

The Commodity Report

Part Six: Commodities: Priced for a Downturn

Even though a sustained long-term rally remains uncertain, the current environment seems ripe for a short-term bounce or mean reversion.

Untying The Gordian Knot

Commodities Going Into 2024 & Our Biggest Mistakes During 2023

Happy new year guys - another chapter has arrived and it’s time to make the best out of it. First of all, let’s look at the past, the now and the...

The Commodity Report

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)