IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

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Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Doosan Robotics  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-robotics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36816:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Robotics (DOOSANROBO KS)</a> is a global industrial and collaborative robotics leader. It has opened the books on an up to US$318 million IPO.   </li>
<li>The international bookbuilding will run from 28 August to 15 September, while the domestic book will be open from 11 to 15 September. Pricing will be announced on 19 September.</li>
<li>The bull case rests on the market share gains, rapid forecasted growth, the industry’s largest product lineup, rapid expansion in sales channels and key accounts growth.</li>
</ul>



Doosan Robotics (DOOSANROBO KS) is a global industrial and collaborative robotics leader. It has opened the books on an up to US$318 million IPO.   
The international bookbuilding will run from 28 August to 15 September, while the domestic book will be open from 11 to 15 September. Pricing will be announced on 19 September.
The bull case rests on the market share gains, rapid forecasted growth, the industry’s largest product lineup, rapid expansion in sales channels and key accounts growth.


Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation per share of Doosan Robotics is 42,826 won, which is 65% higher than the high end of the IPO valuation range. </li>
<li>We estimate Doosan Robotics to generate sales of 61.7 billion won (up 37.2% YoY) in 2023 and 97.7 billion won (up 58.2% YoY) in 2024. </li>
<li>If Doosan Robotics is compared to Fanuc, Doosan Robotics' valuation would be much lower. However, one could argue that Doosan Robotics should have higher valuation than Rainbow Robotics.</li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation per share of Doosan Robotics is 42,826 won, which is 65% higher than the high end of the IPO valuation range. 
We estimate Doosan Robotics to generate sales of 61.7 billion won (up 37.2% YoY) in 2023 and 97.7 billion won (up 58.2% YoY) in 2024. 
If Doosan Robotics is compared to Fanuc, Doosan Robotics' valuation would be much lower. However, one could argue that Doosan Robotics should have higher valuation than Rainbow Robotics.


<ul>
<li>Doosan Robotics is getting ready to complete its IPO in Korea in September. The expected IPO price range is 21,000 won to 26,000 won.</li>
<li>The company estimates its sales to surge from 67 billion won in 2023 to 766.3 billion won in 2027, representing 83.9% CAGR from 2023 to 2027.</li>
<li>One of the major reasons why local investors will have a positive view of Doosan Robotics is due to Samsung's investment in Rainbow Robotics whose share price increased 232% YTD. </li>
</ul>


Doosan Robotics is getting ready to complete its IPO in Korea in September. The expected IPO price range is 21,000 won to 26,000 won.
The company estimates its sales to surge from 67 billion won in 2023 to 766.3 billion won in 2027, representing 83.9% CAGR from 2023 to 2027.
One of the major reasons why local investors will have a positive view of Doosan Robotics is due to Samsung's investment in Rainbow Robotics whose share price increased 232% YTD. 


Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> has pulled back from its peak. Direction currently unclear but last week's positive Close was super weak (+0.1%) , may lead to lower prices this week.</li>
<li>If the index falls this week, a -1 or -2 weeks down is the most common pattern, followed by a rebound. Reversal probability is =75% for -2 weeks down.</li>
<li>Valid support levels for buy-the-dips are between 32067 and 31554. If lower, up to -3 weeks down this pattern is still bullish, from -4 weeks it turns bearish.</li>
</ul>



Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) has pulled back from its peak. Direction currently unclear but last week's positive Close was super weak (+0.1%) , may lead to lower prices this week.
If the index falls this week, a -1 or -2 weeks down is the most common pattern, followed by a rebound. Reversal probability is =75% for -2 weeks down.
Valid support levels for buy-the-dips are between 32067 and 31554. If lower, up to -3 weeks down this pattern is still bullish, from -4 weeks it turns bearish.


EQD | Nikkei 225 (NKY) WEEKLY Falling: Support (Short-Term)

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX -0.3% and down WoW; Weak Payrolls numbers lead to fall in US 2Yr to 4.95%, USD weakness;  This week - packed schedule with CPI; Watch Bank earnings</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs flat vs Cash; USDJPY 142.2, on weaker US payrolls;   JP companies struggle to lift ROE due to expanding Equity Base (=more buybacks?); Kishida to reshuffle cabinet</li>
<li>NUGGET. Heat Pumps - A Big Deal for Daikin(6367)/Melco(6503).  A large addressable, and growing market, and great for the environment. Yes, you should get excited!</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX -0.3% and down WoW; Weak Payrolls numbers lead to fall in US 2Yr to 4.95%, USD weakness;  This week - packed schedule with CPI; Watch Bank earnings
JAPAN. NKY Futs flat vs Cash; USDJPY 142.2, on weaker US payrolls;   JP companies struggle to lift ROE due to expanding Equity Base (=more buybacks?); Kishida to reshuffle cabinet
NUGGET. Heat Pumps - A Big Deal for Daikin(6367)/Melco(6503).  A large addressable, and growing market, and great for the environment. Yes, you should get excited!


Ohayo Japan | Weak Payrolls=Lower Rates; Weaker USD; NUGGET:Heat Pumps-The Future of Cooling/Heating

Japan

YASKAWA Electric Corporation manufactures and markets servomotors, controllers, inverters, and industrial robots.  The Company's products include spindle controllers, computerized numerical control (CNC) systems, and system engineering.

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Yaskawa Electric (6506 JP)

Doosan Robotics IPO: The Bull Case

The bull case rests on the market share gains, rapid forecasted growth, the industry’s largest product lineup, rapid expansion in sales channels...

Arun George

Doosan Robotics IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation per share of Doosan Robotics is 42,826 won, which is 65% higher than the high end of the IPO valuation range.

Douglas Kim

Doosan Robotics IPO Preview

Doosan Robotics is getting ready to complete its IPO in Korea in September.The expected IPO price range is 21,000 won to 26,000 won.

Douglas Kim

EQD | Nikkei 225 (NKY) WEEKLY Falling: Support (Short-Term)

Market Reversal Matrix (MRM)'s analysis of the Nikkei 225 WEEKLY support levels + probability of trend reversal for the coming weeks, in case the...

Nico Rosti

Ohayo Japan | Weak Payrolls=Lower Rates; Weaker USD; NUGGET:Heat Pumps-The Future of Cooling/Heating

Weaker Payrolls drive rates down - a bit; Weaker USD; NKY Futs flat vs Cash; USDJPY 142.2; JP companies struggle to lift ROE due to expanding...

Mark Chadwick

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